Maxwell Mckennon and Dan Martin will face off in the qualifications of the Merida Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 11:00 am on CANCHA MERIDA. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Dan Martin who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Dan Martin is the pick to win this match.
Dan Martin -> 1.57
Maxwell Mckennon -> 2.28
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Prediction and head to head Maxwell Mckennon vs. Dan Martin
There is no head to head record between Maxwell Mckennon and Dan Martin since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Maxwell Mckennon
8 - 7win/loss
529
526
WLLWWWWWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 21-13 | 18-10 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 30-22 | 30-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 14-13 | 11-12 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 3-1 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 660 (career-high), Maxwell got to the qualifications after defeating Ray Ho 6-4 6-4.
In the qualifications, Maxwell had a good straight sets win against Ho (6-4 6-4). During the match, Mckennon scored 59 points vs Ho’s 55. The American was pretty aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Talking about the service games, Mckennon struck 5 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Maxwell Mckennon lost the serve once and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Mckennon put 58% of his first serves in, winning 80% (28/35) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (11/25) on the 2nd serve. Maxwell broke Ho 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).
Mckennon has a winning record in the last 4 years having won 57% of his matches (55-42). 1-0 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Mckennon has an overall1-0 win-loss record in the last 4 years on clay.
Mckennon’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in M15 Kingston.
Mckennon has an overall 8-6 win-loss record in 2025, 1-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Merida Challenger
Maxwell has never competed in this tournament before.
Dan Martin
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 24-18 | 9-11 | 9-4 | 6-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 25-32 | 14-15 | 9-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 9-13 | 0-7 | 5-1 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 15-7 | 14-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 785, Martin got to the qualifications after beating Tennyson Whiting 7-5 6-2.
In the qualifications, The Canadian had a good straight sets win against Whiting (7-5 6-2). During the match Martin scored 70 points vs Whiting’s 56. Martin was very aggressive to blast 34 winners.
About the serving games, Martin scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 2 double faults. Dan Martin lost the serve once and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Martin put 75% of his first serves in, winning 71% (34/48) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (8/16) on the 2nd serve. Dan broke Whiting 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Martin has an aggregate 9-7 win-loss record in 2025, 1-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Merida Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2024. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Mckennon | Martin |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 |
| Pts | 59-55 | 70-56 |
| Total Points | 114 | 126 |
| Winners | 28 | 34 |
| %Winners | 47% | 49% |
Both Mckennon and Martin played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Mckennon and Martin have played the same amount of sets 2. They also played the same amount of games (20). Mckennon scored 28 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, The Canadian struck 34 winners (49%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Mckennon | Martin |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 1 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 1 |
| 1st in | 35/60 | 48/64 |
| %1st in | 58% | 75% |
| 1st pts | 28/35 | 34/48 |
| %1st pts | 80% | 71% |
| 2nd pts | 11/25 | 8/16 |
| %2nd pts | 44% | 50% |
Mckennon scored 5 aces . Martin bagged 1 ace . Mckennon won 80% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 44% of the points. On the other side, Martin won 71% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Mckennon | Martin |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 4 |
| Converted | 3/6 | 4/7 |
| % Converted | 50% | 57% |
| Conceded | 2 | 3 |
| Saved | 1 | 2 |
| % Saved | 50% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 |
Maxwell broke his opponent 3 times with a 50% conversion rate. Mckennon surrendered his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Martin broke his opponent 4 times with a 57% conversion rate. Martin conceded his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Mckennon | |||
| Q1 Ho |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
| pts | 59-55 | 59-55 | |
| Total points | 114 | 114 | |
| Winners | 28 | 28 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 47% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 35/60 | 35/60 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 28/35 | 28/35 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/25 | 11/25 | |
| % 2nd pts | 44% | 44% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 3/6 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Martin | |||
| Q1 Whiting |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
| pts | 70-56 | 70-56 | |
| Total points | 126 | 126 | |
| Winners | 34 | 34 | |
| %Winners | 49% | 49% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 48/64 | 48/64 | |
| % 1st in | 75% | 75% | |
| 1st pts | 34/48 | 34/48 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/16 | 8/16 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 4/7 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
WLLWWWWWWL
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