Evan Zhu and Joshua Sheehy will play each other in the qualifications of the Merida Challenger for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 11:00 am on CANCHA YUCATAN. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Evan Zhu who should win in 3 sets.
Evan Zhu -> 1.56
Joshua Sheehy -> 2.3
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Prediction and head to head Evan Zhu vs. Joshua Sheehy
This will be the 3rd time that Evan Zhu and Joshua Sheehy clash against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Zhu (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they fought against each other, Zhu won 6-2 6-3 in the 1st round in M15 Sunrise back in 2022.
Evan Zhu
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 6-7 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 24-22 | 22-16 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 31-32 | 21-21 | 9-7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 44-31 | 14-13 | 25-12 | 5-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 13-20 | 9-15 | 4-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 628, Evan got to the qualifications after beating Guillermo Tunas 6-2 6-1.
In the qualifications, Zhu had a good straight sets win against Tunas (6-2 6-1). During the match, Zhu scored 58 points vs Tunas’s 34. Zhu was quite aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Talking about the service games, Zhu bagged 4 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Evan Zhu lost the serve once and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Zhu put 59% of his first serves in, winning 75% (24/32) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (10/22) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Tunas 5 times after converting 83% of his break points (5/6).
Zhu has good record in the last 10 years having won 51% of his matches (214-203). 2-2 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Zhu has an aggregate 68-47 record in the last years on clay.
Zhu has an aggregate 6-7 win-loss record in 2025, 2-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Merida Challenger
The American has never competed in this tournament before.
Joshua Sheehy
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 6-6 | 4-5 | 1-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 23-27 | 19-21 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-28 | 30-20 | 2-2 | 7-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 12-19 | 9-15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 22-23 | 21-20 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 781, the American got to the qualifications after beating Cleeve Harper 6-4 6-4.
In the qualifications, The American had a good straight sets win against Harper (6-4 6-4). During the match Sheehy scored 71 points vs Harper’s 62. Joshua was quite aggressive to blast 21 winners.
Talking about serving, Sheehy fired 8 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Joshua Sheehy lost the serve once and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Sheehy put 42% of his first serves in, winning 68% (21/31) of the points behind his 1st serve and 62% (26/42) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Harper 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).
The American has an overall 6-6 win-loss record in 2025, 1-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Zhu | Sheehy |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 15 | 20 |
| Pts | 58-34 | 71-62 |
| Total Points | 92 | 133 |
| Winners | 24 | 21 |
| %Winners | 41% | 30% |
Both Zhu and Sheehy played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Zhu and Sheehy have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Zhu played 5 games less than Sheehy. Evan scored 24 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Joshua bagged 21 winners (30%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Zhu | Sheehy |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 8 |
| 1st in | 32/54 | 31/73 |
| %1st in | 59% | 42% |
| 1st pts | 24/32 | 21/31 |
| %1st pts | 75% | 68% |
| 2nd pts | 10/22 | 26/42 |
| %2nd pts | 45% | 62% |
Zhu managed to score 4 aces . Sheehy bagged 8 aces . Zhu won 75% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 45% of the points. On the other side, Sheehy won 68% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 62% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Zhu | Sheehy |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 3 |
| Converted | 5/6 | 3/4 |
| % Converted | 83% | 75% |
| Conceded | 5 | 4 |
| Saved | 4 | 3 |
| % Saved | 80% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 |
Evan broke his opponent 5 times with a 83% conversion rate. Evan surrendered his serve once and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded. Sheehy broke his opponent 3 times with a 75% conversion rate. Joshua conceded his serve once and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.
| Zhu | |||
| Q1 Tunas | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 15 | |
| pts | 58-34 | 58-34 | |
| Total points | 92 | 92 | |
| Winners | 24 | 24 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 32/54 | 32/54 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 24/32 | 24/32 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/22 | 10/22 | |
| % 2nd pts | 45% | 45% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/6 | 5/6 | |
| Converted % | 83% | 83% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 80% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Sheehy | |||
| Q1 Harper | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
| pts | 71-62 | 71-62 | |
| Total points | 133 | 133 | |
| Winners | 21 | 21 | |
| %Winners | 30% | 30% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 8 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 31/73 | 31/73 | |
| % 1st in | 42% | 42% | |
| 1st pts | 21/31 | 21/31 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 26/42 | 26/42 | |
| % 2nd pts | 62% | 62% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/4 | 3/4 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 75% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
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