H2H, prediction of Damir Dzumhur vs Aleksandar Kovacevic in Cap Cana Challenger with odds, preview, pick | 16th March 2025

PREVIEW. Cap Cana Challenger. Dzumhur and Kovacevic will face off in the final of the Cap Cana Challenger. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match on Sunday the 16th of March

Prediction and head to head Damir Dzumhur vs. Aleksandar Kovacevic

Damir Dzumhur and Aleksandar Kovacevic will face off in the final of the Cap Cana Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 1:30 pm on ESTADIO. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aleksandar Kovacevic who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Aleksandar Kovacevic is the pick to win this match.
Aleksandar Kovacevic -> 1.56
Damir Dzumhur -> 2.3

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Soccer Tonic Predictions

Prediction and head to head Damir Dzumhur vs. Aleksandar Kovacevic

There is no head to head record between Damir Dzumhur and Aleksandar Kovacevic since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

Damir Dzumhur

Damir Dzumhur
Damir Dzumhur

14 - 9win/loss

Hard
8-5
I Hard
2-0
Clay
4-4
Rank
70
High
23
WLLLLWWLLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 27-21 8-5 17-13 2-0 0-3 0-0
2024 47-30 11-13 28-7 6-7 2-3 0-0
2023 41-34 15-5 18-18 8-9 0-1 0-1
2022 34-28 5-5 19-12 10-11 0-0 0-0
2021 32-32 6-6 17-17 6-6 3-3 0-0

Ranked no. 84, the Bosnian got to the final after beating Tristan Boyer 3-6 6-4 6-2, Benjamin Bonzi 6-0 6-2, Miomir Kecmanovic 7-6(3) 7-6(5) and Jakub Mensik 5-7 6-4 6-4.

In the semifinal against Mensik, Damir recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 6-4 6-4). During the match, Dzumhur scored 107 points vs Mensik’s 96. The Bosnian was extremely aggressive to blast 45 winners.

Talking about the service games, Dzumhur couldn’t to score even 1 ace during the match and he was quite steady in conceding no double faults. Damir Dzumhur lost the serve 4 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Dzumhur put 73% of his first serves in, winning 64% (45/70) of the points behind his 1st serve and 69% (18/26) on the 2nd serve. The Bosnian broke Mensik 5 times after converting 38% of his break points (5/13).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Bosnian has surrendered 2 set in this event to conquer 55% of the points he played.

Dzumhur has positive record in the last 10 years having won 55% of his matches (331-269). 8-4 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Dzumhur has a compiled 97-90 record in the last years on hard.

Damir’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in the Cap Cana Challenger.

Dzumhur has a compiled 14-8 win-loss record in 2025, 8-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Cap Cana Challenger

Damir has never competed in this tournament before.

Dzumhur
Cap Cana Challenger
Dzumhur's Record

Aleksandar Kovacevic

Aleksandar Kovacevic
Aleksandar Kovacevic

19 - 7win/loss

Hard
7-4
I Hard
12-3
Rank
76
High
72
WLLWLLLLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 25-19 8-5 4-7 12-3 1-4 0-0
2024 29-35 20-17 5-8 2-6 2-4 0-0
2023 43-27 34-15 0-5 7-2 2-5 0-0
2022 41-31 22-18 4-4 15-9 0-0 0-0
2021 20-17 11-10 2-3 7-4 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 94, the American got to the final after defeating Mattia Bellucci 6-4 6-4, Chak Lam Coleman Wong 6-2 7-6(6), Daniel Altmaier 4-6 6-4 6-3 and Alexandre Muller 6-4 2-6 7-6(5).

In the semifinal, The American defeated Muller (6-4 2-6 7-65).During the match Kovacevic scored less points (1) than Muller. In fact, the world no. 84 won 91 points vs Muller’s. That means that Kovacevic was more focused during the important points. Kovacevic was quite aggressive to blast 39 winners.

Talking about serving, Kovacevic managed to score 3 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Aleksandar Kovacevic lost the serve 3 times. Furthermore, Kovacevic put 60% of his first serves in, winning 78% (39/50) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (17/34) on the 2nd serve. Kovacevic broke Muller twice after converting 25% of his break points (2/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Aleksandar has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.

His best result of the current season was winning the title the Oeiras 2 Challenger where he overcame Zsombor Piros in the final 6-4 7-6(4).

Kovacevic has an overall 18-7 win-loss record in 2025, 6-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Kovacevic
Cap Cana Challenger
Kovacevic's Record
Bonus
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

D.Dzumhur
A.Kovacevic
8h:14
8h:14
Time on court​
7h:58
7h:58
!
2h:43
2h:43
Last match​
!
2h:25
2h:25
4
4
Match played
4
4
99
99
Games Played​
101
101
10
10
Set played​​
10
10
354
354
Total points​
326
326
88.5
88.5
Avg point​
81.5
81.5
139
139
Winners
141
141
34.8
34.8
Avg Winners​
35.3
35.3
39%
39%
Ratio winners
43%
43%
-- Serve --
4
4
Aces
15
15
1
1
Avg Aces
3.8
3.8
5
5
Double Faults
10
10
1.3
1.3
Avg Double Faults
2.5
2.5
139/207
139/207
1st won total​
141/189
141/189
67%
67%
1st won %
!
75%
75%
58/95
58/95
2nd won total​
60/108
60/108
!
61%
61%
2nd won %
56%
56%
-- Break Points --
18/43
18/43
BP won
11/35
11/35
4.5/10.8
4.5/10.8
Avg BP won
2.8/8.8
2.8/8.8
42%
42%
Won
31%
31%
28
28
Conceded
14
14
7
7
Avg Conceded
3.5
3.5
10
10
Broken
7
7
2.5
2.5
Avg Broken
1.8
1.8
18
18
Saved
7
7

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Dzumhur Kovacevic
Match played 4 4
Tot Set 10 10
Tot Games 99 101
Pts 354-290 326-298
Total Points 644 624
Winners 139 141
%Winners 39% 43%

Both Dzumhur and Kovacevic played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Damir Dzumhur conceded 2 sets, while Aleksandar Kovacevic conceded 2 sets. Talking about their workload, Dzumhur and Kovacevic have played the same amount of sets 10. However, Dzumhur played 2 games less than Kovacevic. Damir scored 139 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Kovacevic bagged 141 winners (43%).

Serve Performance

Serve Dzumhur Kovacevic
Aces 4 15
Avg per match 1 3.8
1st in 207/302 189/297
%1st in 69% 64%
1st pts 139/207 141/189
%1st pts 67% 75%
2nd pts 58/95 60/108
%2nd pts 61% 56%

Dzumhur scored 4 aces (1 per match). Kovacevic managed to score 15 aces (3.8 per match). Dzumhur won 67% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Kovacevic won 75% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Dzumhur Kovacevic
Won 18 11
Converted 18/43 11/35
% Converted 42% 31%
Conceded 28 14
Saved 18 7
% Saved 64% 50%
Times Broken 10 7

Damir broke his opponents 18 times with a 42% conversion rate. Damir dropped his serve 10 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded. Kovacevic broke his opponents 11 times with a 31% conversion rate. Kovacevic conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.

Dzumhur
R1
Boyer
R2
Bonzi
1/4
Kecmanovic
1/2
Mensik
Total
Score 3-6 6-4 6-2 6-0 6-2 7-63 7-65 5-7 6-4 6-4
Tot Set 3 2 2 3 10
Tot Games 27 14 26 32 99
pts 94-78 61-32 92-84 107-96 354-290
Total points 172 93 176 203 644
Winners 29 22 43 45 139
%Winners 31% 36% 47% 42% 39%
SERVE
Aces 0 1 3 0 4
Double Faults 1 2 2 0 5
1st in 46/70 30/45 61/91 70/96 207/302
% 1st in 66% 67% 67% 73% 69%
1st pts 29/46 22/30 43/61 45/70 139/207
% 1st pts 63% 73% 70% 64% 67%
2nd pts 15/24 10/15 15/30 18/26 58/95
% 2nd pts 63% 67% 50% 69% 61%
Breaks
Won 6 5 2 5 18
Converted 6/15 5/10 2/5 5/13 18/43
Converted % 40% 50% 40% 38% 42%
Conceded 6 3 10 9 28
Saved 2/6 3/3 8/10 5/9 18
Saved % 33% 100% 80% 56% 67%
Times Broken 4 0 2 4 10
Kovacevic
R1
Bellucci
R2
Lam Coleman Wong
1/4
Altmaier
1/2
Muller
Total
Score 6-4 6-4 6-2 7-66 4-6 6-4 6-3 6-4 2-6 7-65
Tot Set 2 2 3 3 10
Tot Games 20 21 29 31 101
pts 69-58 69-54 97-94 91-92 326-298
Total points 127 123 191 183 624
Winners 28 28 46 39 141
%Winners 41% 41% 47% 43% 43%
SERVE
Aces 3 4 5 3 15
Double Faults 2 1 4 3 10
1st in 35/55 34/57 70/101 50/84 189/297
% 1st in 64% 60% 69% 60% 64%
1st pts 28/35 28/34 46/70 39/50 141/189
% 1st pts 80% 82% 66% 78% 75%
2nd pts 10/20 18/23 15/31 17/34 60/108
% 2nd pts 50% 78% 48% 50% 56%
Breaks
Won 3 2 4 2 11
Converted 3/8 2/7 4/12 2/8 11/35
Converted % 38% 29% 33% 25% 31%
Conceded 3 0 8 3 14
Saved 2/3 0/0 5/8 0/3 7
Saved % 67% 63% 0% 33%
Times Broken 1 0 3 3 7

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Dzumhur
WLLLLWWLLW
Kovacevic
WLLWLLLLWW
2025 2024 2023
25 - 21
25 - 19
8-5
Hard
8-5
0-0
I Hard
12-3
17-13
Clay
4-7
0-3
Grass
1-4
See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Bonus

Upcoming matches in the draw