
Damir Dzumhur and Aleksandar Kovacevic will face off in the final of the Cap Cana Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 1:30 pm on ESTADIO. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aleksandar Kovacevic who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Aleksandar Kovacevic is the pick to win this match.
Aleksandar Kovacevic -> 1.56
Damir Dzumhur -> 2.3
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Damir Dzumhur vs. Aleksandar Kovacevic
There is no head to head record between Damir Dzumhur and Aleksandar Kovacevic since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Damir Dzumhur
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 27-21 | 8-5 | 17-13 | 2-0 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
2024 | 47-30 | 11-13 | 28-7 | 6-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
2023 | 41-34 | 15-5 | 18-18 | 8-9 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
2022 | 34-28 | 5-5 | 19-12 | 10-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2021 | 32-32 | 6-6 | 17-17 | 6-6 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 84, the Bosnian got to the final after beating Tristan Boyer 3-6 6-4 6-2, Benjamin Bonzi 6-0 6-2, Miomir Kecmanovic 7-6(3) 7-6(5) and Jakub Mensik 5-7 6-4 6-4.
In the semifinal against Mensik, Damir recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 6-4 6-4). During the match, Dzumhur scored 107 points vs Mensik’s 96. The Bosnian was extremely aggressive to blast 45 winners.
Talking about the service games, Dzumhur couldn’t to score even 1 ace during the match and he was quite steady in conceding no double faults. Damir Dzumhur lost the serve 4 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Dzumhur put 73% of his first serves in, winning 64% (45/70) of the points behind his 1st serve and 69% (18/26) on the 2nd serve. The Bosnian broke Mensik 5 times after converting 38% of his break points (5/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Bosnian has surrendered 2 set in this event to conquer 55% of the points he played.
Dzumhur has positive record in the last 10 years having won 55% of his matches (331-269). 8-4 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Dzumhur has a compiled 97-90 record in the last years on hard.
Damir’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in the Cap Cana Challenger.
Dzumhur has a compiled 14-8 win-loss record in 2025, 8-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Cap Cana Challenger
Damir has never competed in this tournament before.
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 25-19 | 8-5 | 4-7 | 12-3 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
2024 | 29-35 | 20-17 | 5-8 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
2023 | 43-27 | 34-15 | 0-5 | 7-2 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
2022 | 41-31 | 22-18 | 4-4 | 15-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2021 | 20-17 | 11-10 | 2-3 | 7-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 94, the American got to the final after defeating Mattia Bellucci 6-4 6-4, Chak Lam Coleman Wong 6-2 7-6(6), Daniel Altmaier 4-6 6-4 6-3 and Alexandre Muller 6-4 2-6 7-6(5).
In the semifinal, The American defeated Muller (6-4 2-6 7-65).During the match Kovacevic scored less points (1) than Muller. In fact, the world no. 84 won 91 points vs Muller’s. That means that Kovacevic was more focused during the important points. Kovacevic was quite aggressive to blast 39 winners.
Talking about serving, Kovacevic managed to score 3 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Aleksandar Kovacevic lost the serve 3 times. Furthermore, Kovacevic put 60% of his first serves in, winning 78% (39/50) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (17/34) on the 2nd serve. Kovacevic broke Muller twice after converting 25% of his break points (2/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Aleksandar has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.
His best result of the current season was winning the title the Oeiras 2 Challenger where he overcame Zsombor Piros in the final 6-4 7-6(4).
Kovacevic has an overall 18-7 win-loss record in 2025, 6-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
Points | Dzumhur | Kovacevic |
---|---|---|
Match played | 4 | 4 |
Tot Set | 10 | 10 |
Tot Games | 99 | 101 |
Pts | 354-290 | 326-298 |
Total Points | 644 | 624 |
Winners | 139 | 141 |
%Winners | 39% | 43% |
Both Dzumhur and Kovacevic played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Damir Dzumhur conceded 2 sets, while Aleksandar Kovacevic conceded 2 sets. Talking about their workload, Dzumhur and Kovacevic have played the same amount of sets 10. However, Dzumhur played 2 games less than Kovacevic. Damir scored 139 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Kovacevic bagged 141 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
Serve | Dzumhur | Kovacevic |
---|---|---|
Aces | 4 | 15 |
Avg per match | 1 | 3.8 |
1st in | 207/302 | 189/297 |
%1st in | 69% | 64% |
1st pts | 139/207 | 141/189 |
%1st pts | 67% | 75% |
2nd pts | 58/95 | 60/108 |
%2nd pts | 61% | 56% |
Dzumhur scored 4 aces (1 per match). Kovacevic managed to score 15 aces (3.8 per match). Dzumhur won 67% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Kovacevic won 75% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
Breaks | Dzumhur | Kovacevic |
---|---|---|
Won | 18 | 11 |
Converted | 18/43 | 11/35 |
% Converted | 42% | 31% |
Conceded | 28 | 14 |
Saved | 18 | 7 |
% Saved | 64% | 50% |
Times Broken | 10 | 7 |
Damir broke his opponents 18 times with a 42% conversion rate. Damir dropped his serve 10 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded. Kovacevic broke his opponents 11 times with a 31% conversion rate. Kovacevic conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
Dzumhur | ||||||
R1 Boyer |
R2 Bonzi |
1/4 Kecmanovic |
1/2 Mensik |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Score | 3-6 6-4 6-2 | 6-0 6-2 | 7-63 7-65 | 5-7 6-4 6-4 | ||
Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | |
Tot Games | 27 | 14 | 26 | 32 | 99 | |
pts | 94-78 | 61-32 | 92-84 | 107-96 | 354-290 | |
Total points | 172 | 93 | 176 | 203 | 644 | |
Winners | 29 | 22 | 43 | 45 | 139 | |
%Winners | 31% | 36% | 47% | 42% | 39% | |
SERVE | ||||||
Aces | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | |
Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | |
1st in | 46/70 | 30/45 | 61/91 | 70/96 | 207/302 | |
% 1st in | 66% | 67% | 67% | 73% | 69% | |
1st pts | 29/46 | 22/30 | 43/61 | 45/70 | 139/207 | |
% 1st pts | 63% | 73% | 70% | 64% | 67% | |
2nd pts | 15/24 | 10/15 | 15/30 | 18/26 | 58/95 | |
% 2nd pts | 63% | 67% | 50% | 69% | 61% | |
Breaks | ||||||
Won | 6 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18 | |
Converted | 6/15 | 5/10 | 2/5 | 5/13 | 18/43 | |
Converted % | 40% | 50% | 40% | 38% | 42% | |
Conceded | 6 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 28 | |
Saved | 2/6 | 3/3 | 8/10 | 5/9 | 18 | |
Saved % | 33% | 100% | 80% | 56% | 67% | |
Times Broken | 4 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 |
Kovacevic | ||||||
R1 Bellucci |
R2 Lam Coleman Wong |
1/4 Altmaier |
1/2 Muller |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Score | 6-4 6-4 | 6-2 7-66 | 4-6 6-4 6-3 | 6-4 2-6 7-65 | ||
Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | |
Tot Games | 20 | 21 | 29 | 31 | 101 | |
pts | 69-58 | 69-54 | 97-94 | 91-92 | 326-298 | |
Total points | 127 | 123 | 191 | 183 | 624 | |
Winners | 28 | 28 | 46 | 39 | 141 | |
%Winners | 41% | 41% | 47% | 43% | 43% | |
SERVE | ||||||
Aces | 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 15 | |
Double Faults | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | |
1st in | 35/55 | 34/57 | 70/101 | 50/84 | 189/297 | |
% 1st in | 64% | 60% | 69% | 60% | 64% | |
1st pts | 28/35 | 28/34 | 46/70 | 39/50 | 141/189 | |
% 1st pts | 80% | 82% | 66% | 78% | 75% | |
2nd pts | 10/20 | 18/23 | 15/31 | 17/34 | 60/108 | |
% 2nd pts | 50% | 78% | 48% | 50% | 56% | |
Breaks | ||||||
Won | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11 | |
Converted | 3/8 | 2/7 | 4/12 | 2/8 | 11/35 | |
Converted % | 38% | 29% | 33% | 25% | 31% | |
Conceded | 3 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 14 | |
Saved | 2/3 | 0/0 | 5/8 | 0/3 | 7 | |
Saved % | 67% | – | 63% | 0% | 33% | |
Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 |
Head 2 Head



Upcoming matches in the draw
- Aleksandar KovacevicKovacevic – Damir DzumhurDzumhur (0-0) – H2H and prediction