Pierre-Hugues Herbert and Jelle Sels will play each other in the final of the Cherbourg Challenger for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 3:00 pm on JEAN JAURES. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Pierre-Hugues Herbert who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Pierre-Hugues Herbert is the pick to win this match.
Pierre-Hugues Herbert -> 1.363
Jelle Sels -> 2.93
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Prediction and head to head Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs. Jelle Sels
This will be the 3rd time that Pierre-Hugues Herbert and Jelle Sels play each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Herbert (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they squared off, Herbert won 6-3 6-4 in the 1st round in the Roanne Challenger back in 2024.
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 11-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 11-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 33-31 | 3-5 | 8-11 | 19-12 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 26-22 | 2-4 | 5-4 | 16-11 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 18-15 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 10-7 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 17-21 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 9-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 180, the French player reached the final after defeating Clement Chidekh 2-6 6-3 6-3, Arthur Bouquier 6-3 3-6 6-3, Emil Ruusuvuori 7-6(5) 6-1 and Jurij Rodionov 6-4 6-2.
In the semifinal, Herbert had a good straight sets win against Rodionov (6-4 6-2). During the match, Herbert scored 57 points vs Rodionov’s 43. Herbert was exceptionally aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Regarding the service games, Herbert scored 8 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Pierre-Hugues Herbert was exceptionally effective on serve to win 81% (26/32) of his 1st serve and 61% (11/18) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Pierre-Hugues broke Rodionov 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Pierre-Hugues has conceded 2 set in this tournament to conquer 53% of the points he played.
Herbert has favorable win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 55% of his matches (244-203). 11-4 on indoor hard courts in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Herbert has a composed 119-75 match record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
Herbert’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in the Quimper Challenger.
The French player has a compiled 11-6 win-loss record in 2025, 11-4 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Cherbourg Challenger
Jelle Sels
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 7-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 48-30 | 13-6 | 28-16 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 11-27 | 5-4 | 3-14 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 48-33 | 0-0 | 26-17 | 22-15 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 37-31 | 2-3 | 14-13 | 20-14 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
Ranked no. 367, Sels got to the final after defeating Antoine Escoffier 6-4 6-4, Adrien Gobat 6-4 6-1, Yuta Shimizu 7-5 6-3 and Patrick Zahraj 6-3 6-7(2) 6-3.
In the semifinal, The Dutch defeated Zahraj (6-3 6-72 6-3). During the match Sels scored 100 points vs Zahraj’s 91. Sels was very aggressive to blast 54 winners.
Talking about serving, Sels managed to score 8 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Jelle Sels lost the serve 3 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Sels put 73% of his first serves in, winning 73% (54/74) of the points behind his 1st serve and 37% (10/27) on the 2nd serve. The Dutch broke Zahraj 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Sels has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
The Dutch’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in the Cherbourg Challenger.
The Dutch has a compiled 7-7 win-loss record in 2025, 4-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Herbert | Sels |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 10 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 91 | 89 |
| Pts | 293-262 | 310-256 |
| Total Points | 555 | 566 |
| Winners | 139 | 140 |
| %Winners | 47% | 45% |
Both Herbert and Sels played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Pierre-Hugues Herbert conceded 2 sets, while Jelle Sels dropped 1 set. Herbert has played 1 set more than Sels (10 vs 9). Therefore, Herbert played 2 games more than Sels. Herbert scored 139 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, Jelle managed to score 140 winners (45%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Herbert | Sels |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 37 | 20 |
| Avg per match | 9.3 | 5 |
| 1st in | 171/284 | 193/283 |
| %1st in | 60% | 68% |
| 1st pts | 139/171 | 140/193 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 73% |
| 2nd pts | 56/113 | 46/90 |
| %2nd pts | 50% | 51% |
Herbert recorded 37 aces (9.3 per match). Sels made 20 aces (5 per match). Herbert won 81% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Sels won 73% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Herbert | Sels |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 11 | 17 |
| Converted | 11/30 | 17/39 |
| % Converted | 37% | 44% |
| Conceded | 20 | 26 |
| Saved | 16 | 19 |
| % Saved | 80% | 73% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 7 |
Herbert broke his opponents 11 times with a 37% conversion rate. Herbert surrendered his serve 4 times and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded. The Dutch broke his opponents 17 times with a 44% conversion rate. Sels conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded.
| Herbert | ||||||
| R1 Chidekh |
R2 Bouquier |
1/4 Ruusuvuori |
1/2 Rodionov |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 2-6 6-3 6-3 | 6-3 3-6 6-3 | 7-65 6-1 | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 27 | 20 | 18 | 91 | |
| pts | 86-86 | 80-75 | 70-58 | 57-43 | 293-262 | |
| Total points | 172 | 155 | 128 | 100 | 555 | |
| Winners | 42 | 39 | 32 | 26 | 139 | |
| %Winners | 49% | 49% | 46% | 46% | 47% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 8 | 9 | 12 | 8 | 37 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | |
| 1st in | 55/93 | 44/79 | 40/62 | 32/50 | 171/284 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 56% | 65% | 64% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 42/55 | 39/44 | 32/40 | 26/32 | 139/171 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 89% | 80% | 81% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/38 | 19/35 | 10/22 | 11/18 | 56/113 | |
| % 2nd pts | 42% | 54% | 45% | 61% | 50% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 2/9 | 3/9 | 3/5 | 11/30 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 22% | 33% | 60% | 37% | |
| Conceded | 12 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 20 | |
| Saved | 10/12 | 4/5 | 1/2 | 1/1 | 16 | |
| Saved % | 83% | 80% | 50% | 100% | 78% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | |
| Sels | ||||||
| R1 Escoffier |
R2 Gobat |
1/4 Shimizu |
1/2 Zahraj |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | 6-4 6-1 | 7-5 6-3 | 6-3 6-72 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 17 | 21 | 31 | 89 | |
| pts | 72-62 | 63-42 | 75-61 | 100-91 | 310-256 | |
| Total points | 134 | 105 | 136 | 191 | 566 | |
| Winners | 26 | 25 | 35 | 54 | 140 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 40% | 47% | 54% | 45% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 1 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 20 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 36/60 | 32/47 | 51/75 | 74/101 | 193/283 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 68% | 68% | 73% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 26/36 | 25/32 | 35/51 | 54/74 | 140/193 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 78% | 69% | 73% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/24 | 7/15 | 15/24 | 10/27 | 46/90 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 47% | 63% | 37% | 51% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 17 | |
| Converted | 4/11 | 5/9 | 3/9 | 5/10 | 17/39 | |
| Converted % | 36% | 56% | 33% | 50% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 26 | |
| Saved | 5/7 | 5/6 | 5/6 | 4/7 | 19 | |
| Saved % | 71% | 83% | 83% | 57% | 74% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWLLWWWL
WWWWLLWLWL Tennis Scores in Cherbourg Challenger
- Oleg Prihodko/Vitaliy SachkoPrihodko/Vitaliy Sachko – Lukas Pokorny/Giorgio RiccaPokorny/Giorgio Ricca (6-2 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Pierre-Hugues HerbertHerbert – Jelle SelsSels (2-0) – H2H and prediction
