H2H, prediction of Thiago Moura Monteiro vs Daniel Elahi Galan in Santiago Challenger with odds, preview, pick | 16th March 2025

PREVIEW. Santiago Challenger. Moura Monteiro and Elahi Galan Riveros will fight against each other in the final of the Santiago Challenger. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match on Sunday the 16th of March

Prediction and head to head Thiago Moura Monteiro vs. Daniel Elahi Galan

Thiago Moura Monteiro and Daniel Elahi Galan will clash against each other in the final of the Santiago Challenger for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 4:00 pm on CANCHA CENTRAL. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Thiago Moura Monteiro who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Thiago Moura Monteiro is the pick to win this match.
Thiago Moura Monteiro -> 1.7
Daniel Elahi Galan -> 2.05

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Soccer Tonic Predictions

Prediction and head to head Thiago Moura Monteiro vs. Daniel Elahi Galan

This will be the 3rd time that Thiago Moura Monteiro and Daniel Elahi Galan clash against each other. The head to head is 1-1 (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.

The last time that they played each other, Moura Monteiro won 5-7 6-4 6-4 in the 1st round in Bastad back in 2023.

Highlights Thiago Moura Monteiro vs Daniel Elahi Galan – Bastad 17-July-2023

Thiago Moura Monteiro

Thiago Moura Monteiro
Thiago Moura Monteiro

11 - 7win/loss

Hard
3-3
I Hard
0-0
Clay
8-4
Rank
105
High
61
WWWWLWWLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 11-7 3-3 8-4 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 39-28 1-3 33-17 4-6 1-2 0-0
2023 34-30 3-7 30-22 1-0 0-1 0-0
2022 43-33 8-8 28-16 4-7 3-2 0-0
2021 33-27 8-8 25-18 0-0 0-1 0-0

Ranked no. 105, Moura Monteiro reached the final after beating Mateus Alves 7-5 6-7(1) 6-3, Lautaro Midon 7-5 7-5, Genaro Alberto Olivieri 3-6 6-3 6-3 and Ignacio Buse 7-5 7-6(4).

In the semifinal, Thiago had a good straight sets win against Buse (7-5 7-64). During the match, Moura Monteiro scored 81 points vs Buse’s 74. Thiago was exceptionally aggressive to blast 29 winners.

Regarding the service games, Moura Monteiro bagged 2 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Thiago Moura Monteiro lost the serve 3 times. Furthermore, Moura Monteiro put 61% of his first serves in, winning 67% (29/43) of the points behind his 1st serve and 54% (15/28) on the 2nd serve. Moura Monteiro broke Buse 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Moura Monteiro has dropped 2 set in this competition to conquer 53% of the points he played.

Moura Monteiro has winning match record in the last 10 years having won 56% of his matches (352-272). 8-4 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Moura Monteiro has a composed 282-175 win-loss record in the last years on clay.

Thiago’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in the Santiago Challenger.

Moura Monteiro has an aggregate 11-7 win-loss record in 2025, 8-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Santiago Challenger

Moura Monteiro
Santiago Challenger
Moura Monteiro's Record

Daniel Elahi Galan

Daniel Elahi Galan
Daniel Elahi Galan

13 - 6win/loss

Hard
1-2
I Hard
0-0
Clay
12-4
Rank
123
High
56
WWWWLWWLLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 13-6 1-2 12-4 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 32-33 5-7 25-24 0-0 2-2 0-0
2023 32-34 4-12 23-19 0-1 5-2 0-0
2022 48-28 14-7 33-17 0-3 1-1 0-0
2021 28-32 6-9 19-16 1-4 2-3 0-0

Ranked no. 123, Elahi Galan Riveros got to the final after defeating Juan Bautista Torres 6-4 6-4, Pedro Sakamoto 6-3 6-4, Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida 7-6(4) 7-6(4) and Emilio Nava 7-6(8) 6-2.

In the semifinal, The Colombian had a good straight sets win against Nava (7-68 6-2). During the match Elahi Galan Riveros scored 75 points vs Nava’s 66. Elahi Galan Riveros was exceptionally aggressive to blast 34 winners.

Talking about serving, Elahi Galan Riveros scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Daniel Elahi Galan was quite effective on serve to win 72% (34/47) of his 1st serve and 58% (14/24) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Colombian broke Nava 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Daniel hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

His best result of the year was winning the title the Punta Del Este Challenger where he overcame Tomas Barrios Vera in the final 5-7 6-4 6-4.

Daniel has an aggregate 13-6 win-loss record in 2025, 12-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Elahi Galan Riveros
Santiago Challenger
Elahi Galan Riveros's Record
Bonus
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

T.Moura Monteiro
D.Elahi Riveros
9h:43
9h:43
Time on court​
7h:55
7h:55
!
2h:12
2h:12
Last match​
1h:48
1h:48
4
4
Match played
4
4
110
110
Games Played​
86
86
10
10
Set played​​
8
8
350
350
Total points​
329
329
87.5
87.5
Avg point​
82.3
82.3
143
143
Winners
126
126
35.8
35.8
Avg Winners​
31.5
31.5
41%
41%
Ratio winners
38%
38%
-- Serve --
17
17
Aces
8
8
4.3
4.3
Avg Aces
2
2
17
17
Double Faults
12
12
4.3
4.3
Avg Double Faults
3
3
143/182
143/182
1st won total​
126/181
126/181
!
79%
79%
1st won %
70%
70%
66/125
66/125
2nd won total​
46/93
46/93
53%
53%
2nd won %
49%
49%
-- Break Points --
14/35
14/35
BP won
17/53
17/53
3.5/8.8
3.5/8.8
Avg BP won
4.3/13.3
4.3/13.3
40%
40%
Won
32%
32%
11
11
Conceded
27
27
2.8
2.8
Avg Conceded
6.8
6.8
7
7
Broken
10
10
1.8
1.8
Avg Broken
2.5
2.5
4
4
Saved
17
17

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Moura Monteiro Elahi Galan Riveros
Match played 4 4
Tot Set 10 8
Tot Games 110 86
Pts 350-311 329-286
Total Points 661 615
Winners 143 126
%Winners 41% 38%

Both Moura Monteiro and Elahi Galan Riveros played 4 matches. At the moment, Thiago Moura Monteiro surrendered 2 sets while Daniel Elahi Galan hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Moura Monteiro has played 2 sets more than Elahi Galan Riveros (10 vs 8). Therefore, Moura Monteiro played 24 games more than Elahi Galan Riveros. Thiago scored 143 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Daniel blasted 126 winners (38%).

Serve Performance

Serve Moura Monteiro Elahi Galan Riveros
Aces 17 8
Avg per match 4.3 2
1st in 182/307 181/274
%1st in 59% 66%
1st pts 143/182 126/181
%1st pts 79% 70%
2nd pts 66/125 46/93
%2nd pts 53% 49%

Moura Monteiro blasted 17 aces (4.3 per match). Elahi Galan Riveros blasted 8 aces (2 per match). Moura Monteiro won 79% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Elahi Galan Riveros won 70% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 49% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Moura Monteiro Elahi Galan Riveros
Won 14 17
Converted 14/35 17/53
% Converted 40% 32%
Conceded 11 27
Saved 4 17
% Saved 36% 63%
Times Broken 7 10

Thiago broke his opponents 14 times with a 40% conversion rate. Thiago conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 36% of the break points that he conceded. The Colombian broke his opponents 17 times with a 32% conversion rate. The Colombian conceded his serve 10 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded.

Moura Monteiro
R1
Alves
R2
Midon
1/4
Alberto Olivieri
1/2
Buse
Total
Score 7-5 6-71 6-3 7-5 7-5 3-6 6-3 6-3 7-5 7-64
Tot Set 3 2 3 2 10
Tot Games 34 24 27 25 110
pts 101-92 80-66 88-79 81-74 350-311
Total points 193 146 167 155 661
Winners 50 30 34 29 143
%Winners 50% 38% 39% 36% 41%
SERVE
Aces 8 2 5 2 17
Double Faults 6 2 5 4 17
1st in 58/99 37/63 44/74 43/71 182/307
% 1st in 59% 59% 59% 61% 59%
1st pts 50/58 30/37 34/44 29/43 143/182
% 1st pts 86% 81% 77% 67% 79%
2nd pts 23/41 13/26 15/30 15/28 66/125
% 2nd pts 56% 50% 50% 54% 53%
Breaks
Won 2 4 4 4 14
Converted 2/4 4/12 4/10 4/9 14/35
Converted % 50% 33% 40% 44% 40%
Conceded 2 2 4 3 11
Saved 2/2 0/2 2/4 0/3 4
Saved % 100% 0% 50% 0% 38%
Times Broken 0 2 2 3 7
Elahi Galan Riveros
R1
Bautista Torres
R2
Sakamoto
1/4
Pucinelli De Almeida
1/2
Nava
Total
Score 6-4 6-4 6-3 6-4 7-64 7-64 7-68 6-2
Tot Set 2 2 2 2 8
Tot Games 20 19 26 21 86
pts 74-62 66-49 114-109 75-66 329-286
Total points 136 115 223 141 615
Winners 27 23 42 34 126
%Winners 36% 35% 37% 45% 38%
SERVE
Aces 2 2 3 1 8
Double Faults 3 2 6 1 12
1st in 38/58 32/49 64/96 47/71 181/274
% 1st in 66% 65% 67% 66% 66%
1st pts 27/38 23/32 42/64 34/47 126/181
% 1st pts 71% 72% 66% 72% 70%
2nd pts 8/20 9/17 15/32 14/24 46/93
% 2nd pts 40% 53% 47% 58% 49%
Breaks
Won 5 6 3 3 17
Converted 5/17 6/12 3/18 3/6 17/53
Converted % 29% 50% 17% 50% 32%
Conceded 7 7 9 4 27
Saved 4/7 4/7 6/9 3/4 17
Saved % 57% 57% 67% 75% 64%
Times Broken 3 3 3 1 10

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Moura Monteiro
WWWWLWWLWL
Elahi Galan
WWWWLWWLLL
2025 2024 2023
11 - 7
13 - 6
3-3
Hard
1-2
8-4
Clay
12-4
See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Bonus

Upcoming matches in the draw

  • Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura MonteiroDaniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan (1-1) – H2H and prediction