Nuno Borges and Alexander Bublik will fight against each other in the semifinal of the Phoenix Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 1:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Nuno Borges who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Nuno Borges is the pick to win this match.
Nuno Borges -> 1.5
Alexander Bublik -> 2.45

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Prediction and head to head Nuno Borges vs. Alexander Bublik

This will be the 2nd time that Nuno Borges and Alexander Bublik play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Borges (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.

The last time that they played, Borges won 6-4 6-4 in the 2nd round in Rome back in 2024.

Nuno Borges

Nuno Borges

13 - 9win/loss

Hard
11-7
I Hard
1-1
Clay
1-1
Rank
47
High
30
LWWLLLWWWL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 33-33 17-14 9-11 3-4 4-4 0-0
2024 33-26 20-12 13-7 0-4 0-3 0-0
2023 37-26 20-11 8-7 6-4 3-4 0-0
2022 49-26 7-5 28-13 11-5 3-3 0-0
2021 52-21 6-4 46-17 0-0 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 36, Nuno got to the semifinal after defeating Unknown Player bye, Jacob Fearnley 6-2 7-5 and Colton Smith 6-4 6-4.

In the quarter, Nuno had a good straight sets win against Smith (6-4 6-4). During the match, Borges scored 63 points vs Smith’s 46. The Portuguese was quite aggressive to blast 29 winners.

Regarding the service games, Borges fired 2 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Nuno Borges lost the serve twice and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Borges put 63% of his first serves in, winning 81% (29/36) of the points behind his 1st serve and 43% (9/21) on the 2nd serve. Nuno broke Smith 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Portuguese hasn’t conceded yet a set in this event to win 58% of the points he played.

Borges has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 68% of his matches (286-135). 11-6 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Borges has a compiled 141-56 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

The Portuguese’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in Auckland.

Nuno has an aggregate 13-8 win-loss record in 2025, 11-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Phoenix Challenger

Phoenix Challenger
Borges's Record

Alexander Bublik

Alexander Bublik

6 - 8win/loss

Hard
4-5
I Hard
2-3
Rank
11
High
11
LLWWWWLWWL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 48-24 12-11 23-6 8-6 5-1 0-0
2024 25-25 10-11 5-6 6-4 4-4 0-0
2023 28-30 3-12 7-9 9-7 9-2 0-0
2022 33-27 5-8 2-6 17-8 9-5 0-0
2021 35-30 14-12 4-6 10-8 7-4 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 82, Bublik reached the semifinal after defeating Aleksandar Vukic 6-3 3-6 6-3, Rinky Hijikata 6-2 5-7 6-3 and Corentin Moutet 2-6 7-6(4) 7-5.

In the quarter against Moutet, The Kazakhstani recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 7-64 7-5). During the match Bublik scored 103 points vs Moutet’s 102. Alexander was pretty aggressive to blast 39 winners.

About the serving games, Bublik scored 8 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Alexander Bublik lost the serve 5 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Bublik put 62% of his first serves in, winning 67% (39/58) of the points behind his 1st serve and 51% (18/35) on the 2nd serve. Bublik broke Moutet 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Bublik has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.

Alexander has a composed 5-8 win-loss record in 2025, 3-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Phoenix Challenger

Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2023. See his history.

Phoenix Challenger
Bublik's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

N.Borges
A.Bublik
2h:32
2h:32
Time on court​
!
5h:45
5h:45
1h:14
1h:14
Last match​
!
2h:25
2h:25
2
2
Match played
!
3
3
40
40
Games Played​
89
89
4
4
Set played​​
9
9
136
136
Total points​
286
286
68
68
Avg point​
95.3
95.3
59
59
Winners
128
128
29.5
29.5
Avg Winners​
42.7
42.7
43%
43%
Ratio winners
45%
45%
-- Serve --
7
7
Aces
46
46
3.5
3.5
Avg Aces
!
15.3
15.3
4
4
Double Faults
12
12
2
2
Avg Double Faults
4
4
59/75
59/75
1st won total​
128/166
128/166
!
79%
79%
1st won %
!
77%
77%
21/42
21/42
2nd won total​
43/95
43/95
50%
50%
2nd won %
45%
45%
-- Break Points --
8/13
8/13
BP won
11/19
11/19
4/6.5
4/6.5
Avg BP won
3.7/6.3
3.7/6.3
!
62%
62%
Won
!
58%
58%
9
9
Conceded
17
17
4.5
4.5
Avg Conceded
5.7
5.7
3
3
Broken
9
9
1.5
1.5
Avg Broken
3
3
6
6
Saved
8
8
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Borges Bublik
Match played 2 3
Tot Set 4 9
Tot Games 40 89
Pts 136-99 286-261
Total Points 235 547
Winners 59 128
%Winners 43% 45%

Borges played 2 matches while Bublik competed in 3 matches. At the moment, Alexander Bublik surrendered 3 sets while Nuno Borges hasn’t lost a set so far. Borges has played 5 set(s) less than Bublik (4 vs 9). Therefore, Borges played 49 games less than Bublik. Nuno scored 59 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Alexander struck 128 winners (45%).

Serve Performance

Serve Borges Bublik
Aces 7 46
Avg per match 3.5 15.3
1st in 75/117 166/261
%1st in 64% 64%
1st pts 59/75 128/166
%1st pts 79% 77%
2nd pts 21/42 43/95
%2nd pts 50% 45%

Borges blasted 7 aces (3.5 per match). Bublik bagged 46 aces (15.3 per match). Borges won 79% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Bublik won 77% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 45% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Borges Bublik
Won 8 11
Converted 8/13 11/19
% Converted 62% 58%
Conceded 9 17
Saved 6 8
% Saved 67% 47%
Times Broken 3 9

Borges broke his opponents 8 times with a 62% conversion rate. The Portuguese dropped his serve 3 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Alexander broke his opponents 11 times with a 58% conversion rate. The Kazakhstani conceded his serve 9 times and he saved 47% of the break points that he conceded.

Borges
R2
Fearnley		 1/4
Smith		 Total
Score 6-2 7-5 6-4 6-4
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 20 20 40
pts 73-53 63-46 136-99
Total points 126 109 235
Winners 30 29 59
%Winners 41% 46% 43%
SERVE
Aces 5 2 7
Double Faults 2 2 4
1st in 39/60 36/57 75/117
% 1st in 65% 63% 64%
1st pts 30/39 29/36 59/75
% 1st pts 77% 81% 79%
2nd pts 12/21 9/21 21/42
% 2nd pts 57% 43% 50%
Breaks
Won 4 4 8
Converted 4/6 4/7 8/13
Converted % 67% 57% 62%
Conceded 6 3 9
Saved 5/6 1/3 6
Saved % 83% 33% 58%
Times Broken 1 2 3
Bublik
R1
Vukic		 R2
Hijikata		 1/4
Moutet		 Total
Score 6-3 3-6 6-3 6-2 5-7 6-3 2-6 7-64 7-5
Tot Set 3 3 3 9
Tot Games 27 29 33 89
pts 89-76 94-83 103-102 286-261
Total points 165 177 205 547
Winners 48 41 39 128
%Winners 54% 44% 38% 45%
SERVE
Aces 19 19 8 46
Double Faults 3 6 3 12
1st in 57/80 51/88 58/93 166/261
% 1st in 71% 58% 62% 64%
1st pts 48/57 41/51 39/58 128/166
% 1st pts 84% 80% 67% 77%
2nd pts 10/23 15/37 18/35 43/95
% 2nd pts 43% 41% 51% 45%
Breaks
Won 2 5 4 11
Converted 2/6 5/7 4/6 11/19
Converted % 33% 71% 67% 58%
Conceded 2 7 8 17
Saved 1/2 4/7 3/8 8
Saved % 50% 57% 38% 73%
Times Broken 1 3 5 9

Tennis Scores in Phoenix Challenger

Upcoming matches in the draw

Borges
More Stats
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Bublik

Click for FULL STATS