Thiago Moura Monteiro and Ignacio Buse will fight against each other in the semifinal of the Santiago Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 1:30 pm on CANCHA CENTRAL. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Thiago Moura Monteiro who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Thiago Moura Monteiro is the pick to win this match.
Thiago Moura Monteiro -> 1.37
Ignacio Buse -> 2.89

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Prediction and head to head Thiago Moura Monteiro vs. Ignacio Buse

There is no head to head record between Thiago Moura Monteiro and Ignacio Buse since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.

Thiago Moura Monteiro

Ranked no. 105, Thiago reached the semifinal after defeating Mateus Alves 7-5 6-7(1) 6-3, Lautaro Midon 7-5 7-5 and Genaro Alberto Olivieri 3-6 6-3 6-3.

In the quarter against Alberto Olivieri, The Brazilian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-3 6-3). During the match, Moura Monteiro scored 88 points vs Alberto Olivieri’s 79. The Brazilian was extremely aggressive to blast 34 winners.

Regarding the service games, Moura Monteiro fired 5 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Thiago Moura Monteiro lost the serve twice and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Moura Monteiro put 59% of his first serves in, winning 77% (34/44) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (15/30) on the 2nd serve. Moura Monteiro broke Alberto Olivieri 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Brazilian has surrendered 2 set in this competition to conquer 53% of the points he played.

Moura Monteiro has good record in the last 10 years having won 56% of his matches (351-272). 7-4 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Moura Monteiro has a compiled 281-175 match record in the last years on clay.

The Brazilian has an overall 10-7 win-loss record in 2025, 7-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Santiago Challenger

Ignacio Buse

Ranked no. 227, the Peruvian reached the semifinal after beating Pol Martin Tiffon 6-3 2-6 6-2, Kilian Feldbausch 6-3 7-6(2) and Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva 6-2 6-2.

In the quarter, The Peruvian had a good straight sets win against Lucas Reis Da (6-2 6-2). During the match Buse scored 56 points vs Lucas Reis Da’s 36. Buse was very aggressive to blast 24 winners.

Talking about serving, Buse bagged 3 aces and he was extremely solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Ignacio Buse lost the serve once and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Buse put 72% of his first serves in, winning 77% (24/31) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (6/12) on the 2nd serve. Ignacio broke Lucas Reis Da 5 times after converting 42% of his break points (5/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Ignacio has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

Ignacio has an aggregate 5-7 win-loss record in 2025, 4-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Santiago Challenger

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2^nd round in 2024. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Moura Monteiro	Buse
Match played	3	3
Tot Set	8	7
Tot Games	85	63
Pts	269-237	219-178
Total Points	506	397
Winners	114	100
%Winners	42%	46%

Both Moura Monteiro and Buse played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Thiago Moura Monteiro conceded 2 sets, while Ignacio Buse surrendered 1 set. Moura Monteiro has played 1 set more than Buse (8 vs 7). Therefore, Moura Monteiro played 22 games more than Buse. The Brazilian scored 114 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Buse scored 100 winners (46%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Moura Monteiro	Buse
Aces	15	5
Avg per match	5	1.7
1st in	139/236	144/210
%1st in	59%	69%
1st pts	114/139	100/144
%1st pts	82%	69%
2nd pts	51/97	32/66
%2nd pts	53%	48%

Moura Monteiro recorded 15 aces (5 per match). Buse blasted 5 aces (1.7 per match). Moura Monteiro won 82% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Buse won 69% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Moura Monteiro	Buse
Won	10	12
Converted	10/26	12/26
% Converted	38%	46%
Conceded	8	21
Saved	4	15
% Saved	50%	71%
Times Broken	4	6

Moura Monteiro broke his opponents 10 times with a 38% conversion rate. Thiago dropped his serve 4 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. The Peruvian broke his opponents 12 times with a 46% conversion rate. The Peruvian conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded.

Moura Monteiro
	R1 Alves	R2 Midon	1/4 Alberto Olivieri	Total
Score	7-5 6-71 6-3	7-5 7-5	3-6 6-3 6-3
Tot Set	3	2	3	8
Tot Games	34	24	27	85
pts	101-92	80-66	88-79	269-237
Total points	193	146	167	506
Winners	50	30	34	114
%Winners	50%	38%	39%	42%
SERVE
Aces	8	2	5	15
Double Faults	6	2	5	13
1st in	58/99	37/63	44/74	139/236
% 1st in	59%	59%	59%	59%
1st pts	50/58	30/37	34/44	114/139
% 1st pts	86%	81%	77%	82%
2nd pts	23/41	13/26	15/30	51/97
% 2nd pts	56%	50%	50%	53%
Breaks
Won	2	4	4	10
Converted	2/4	4/12	4/10	10/26
Converted %	50%	33%	40%	38%
Conceded	2	2	4	8
Saved	2/2	0/2	2/4	4
Saved %	100%	0%	50%	50%
Times Broken	0	2	2	4

Buse
	R1 Martin	R2 Feldbausch	1/4 Lucas Reis Da	Total
Score	6-3 2-6 6-2	6-3 7-62	6-2 6-2
Tot Set	3	2	2	7
Tot Games	25	22	16	63
pts	78-75	85-67	56-36	219-178
Total points	153	152	92	397
Winners	33	43	24	100
%Winners	42%	51%	43%	46%
SERVE
Aces	1	1	3	5
Double Faults	3	1	0	4
1st in	51/80	62/87	31/43	144/210
% 1st in	64%	71%	72%	69%
1st pts	33/51	43/62	24/31	100/144
% 1st pts	65%	69%	77%	69%
2nd pts	15/29	11/25	6/12	32/66
% 2nd pts	52%	44%	50%	48%
Breaks
Won	4	3	5	12
Converted	4/7	3/7	5/12	12/26
Converted %	57%	43%	42%	46%
Conceded	6	13	2	21
Saved	3/6	11/13	1/2	15
Saved %	50%	85%	50%	62%
Times Broken	3	2	1	6

Tennis Scores in Santiago Challenger

• Emilio NavaNava – Andrea CollariniCollarini (5-7 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Ignacio BuseBuse – Joao Lucas Reis Da SilvaLucas Reis Da Silva (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
• Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan – Matheus Pucinelli De AlmeidaPucinelli De Almeida (7-6⁴ 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro – Genaro Alberto OlivieriAlberto Olivieri (3-6 6-3 6-3) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Emilio NavaNava – Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan (0-1) – H2H and prediction