Alexandre Muller and Aleksandar Kovacevic will face off in the semifinal of the Cap Cana Challenger for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 1:30 pm on ESTADIO. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alexandre Muller who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Alexandre Muller is the pick to win this match.
Alexandre Muller -> 1.85
Aleksandar Kovacevic -> 1.87

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Prediction and head to head Alexandre Muller vs. Aleksandar Kovacevic

This will be the 2^nd time that Alexandre Muller and Aleksandar Kovacevic clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Kovacevic (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they fought against each other, Kovacevic won 6-3 4-6 6-2 in the final in the Waco Challenger back in 2023.

Alexandre Muller

Ranked no. 44, the French player reached the semifinal after beating Unknown Player bye, James McCabe 6-0 6-2 and Constant Lestienne 7-6(6) 6-4.

In the quarter, Alexandre had a good straight sets win against Lestienne (7-6⁶ 6-4). During the match, Muller scored 78 points vs Lestienne’s 73. Muller was quite aggressive to blast 32 winners.

Regarding the service games, Muller scored 2 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Alexandre Muller lost the serve 4 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Muller put 63% of his first serves in, winning 64% (32/50) of the points behind his 1st serve and 43% (13/30) on the 2nd serve. The French player broke Lestienne 5 times after converting 83% of his break points (5/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Muller hasn’t dropped yet a set in this event to conquer 57% of the points he played.

Muller has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 60% of his matches (382-258). 7-3 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Muller has an aggregate 118-73 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

His best result of the current season was winning the title in Hong Kong where he overcame Kei Nishikori in the final 2-6 6-1 6-3.

Muller has an overall 11-6 win-loss record in 2025, 7-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Cap Cana Challenger

Muller has never competed in this tournament before.

Aleksandar Kovacevic

Ranked no. 94, the American got to the semifinal after defeating Mattia Bellucci 6-4 6-4, Chak Lam Coleman Wong 6-2 7-6(6) and Daniel Altmaier 4-6 6-4 6-3.

In the quarter against Altmaier, The American recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-4 6-3). During the match Kovacevic scored 97 points vs Altmaier’s 94. Kovacevic was quite aggressive to blast 46 winners.

About the serving games, Kovacevic bagged 5 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Aleksandar Kovacevic lost the serve 3 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Kovacevic put 69% of his first serves in, winning 66% (46/70) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (15/31) on the 2nd serve. Aleksandar broke Altmaier 4 times after converting 33% of his break points (4/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The American has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

His best result of the current year was conquering the title the Oeiras 2 Challenger where he overcame Zsombor Piros in the final 6-4 7-6(4).

Aleksandar has a composed 17-7 win-loss record in 2025, 5-4 on hard (See FULL STATS)

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H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Muller	Kovacevic
Match played	2	3
Tot Set	4	7
Tot Games	37	70
Pts	139-107	235-206
Total Points	246	441
Winners	54	102
%Winners	39%	43%

Muller played 2 matches while Kovacevic competed in 3 matches. At the moment, Aleksandar Kovacevic dropped 1 set while Alexandre Muller hasn’t dropped a set so far. Muller has played 3 set(s) less than Kovacevic (4 vs 7). Therefore, Muller played 33 games less than Kovacevic. Alexandre scored 54 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Kovacevic managed to score 102 winners (43%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Muller	Kovacevic
Aces	3	12
Avg per match	1.5	4
1st in	78/120	139/213
%1st in	65%	65%
1st pts	54/78	102/139
%1st pts	69%	73%
2nd pts	21/42	43/74
%2nd pts	50%	58%

Muller scored 3 aces (1.5 per match). Kovacevic made 12 aces (4 per match). Muller won 69% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Kovacevic won 73% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Muller	Kovacevic
Won	10	9
Converted	10/20	9/27
% Converted	50%	33%
Conceded	11	11
Saved	7	7
% Saved	64%	64%
Times Broken	4	4

Muller broke his opponents 10 times with a 50% conversion rate. Alexandre surrendered his serve 4 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded. Kovacevic broke his opponents 9 times with a 33% conversion rate. Kovacevic conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded.

Muller
	R2 McCabe	1/4 Lestienne	Total
Score	6-0 6-2	7-66 6-4
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	14	23	37
pts	61-34	78-73	139-107
Total points	95	151	246
Winners	22	32	54
%Winners	36%	41%	39%
SERVE
Aces	1	2	3
Double Faults	0	2	2
1st in	28/40	50/80	78/120
% 1st in	70%	63%	65%
1st pts	22/28	32/50	54/78
% 1st pts	79%	64%	69%
2nd pts	8/12	13/30	21/42
% 2nd pts	67%	43%	50%
Breaks
Won	5	5	10
Converted	5/14	5/6	10/20
Converted %	36%	83%	50%
Conceded	2	9	11
Saved	2/2	5/9	7
Saved %	100%	56%	78%
Times Broken	0	4	4

Kovacevic
	R1 Bellucci	R2 Lam Coleman Wong	1/4 Altmaier	Total
Score	6-4 6-4	6-2 7-66	4-6 6-4 6-3
Tot Set	2	2	3	7
Tot Games	20	21	29	70
pts	69-58	69-54	97-94	235-206
Total points	127	123	191	441
Winners	28	28	46	102
%Winners	41%	41%	47%	43%
SERVE
Aces	3	4	5	12
Double Faults	2	1	4	7
1st in	35/55	34/57	70/101	139/213
% 1st in	64%	60%	69%	65%
1st pts	28/35	28/34	46/70	102/139
% 1st pts	80%	82%	66%	73%
2nd pts	10/20	18/23	15/31	43/74
% 2nd pts	50%	78%	48%	58%
Breaks
Won	3	2	4	9
Converted	3/8	2/7	4/12	9/27
Converted %	38%	29%	33%	33%
Conceded	3	0	8	11
Saved	2/3	0/0	5/8	7
Saved %	67%	–	63%	65%
Times Broken	1	0	3	4

Tennis Scores in Cap Cana Challenger

• Alexandre MullerMuller – Constant LestienneLestienne (7-6⁶ 6-4) – See score progression
• Jakub MensikMensik – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (6-3 6-7⁷ 6-3) – See score progression
• Aleksandar KovacevicKovacevic – Daniel AltmaierAltmaier (4-6 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Jakob Schnaitter/Mark WallnerSchnaitter/Mark Wallner – Guido Andreozzi/Theo ArribageAndreozzi/Theo Arribage (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Damir DzumhurDzumhur – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (7-6³ 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Francisco Cabral/Hendrik JebensCabral/Hendrik Jebens – Robert Cash/James TracyCash/James Tracy (7-5 6-3) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Damir DzumhurDzumhur – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alexandre MullerMuller – Aleksandar KovacevicKovacevic (0-1) – H2H and prediction