[UPDATED SF]. Prediction, H2H of Carlos Alcaraz’s draw vs Draper, Medvedev to win the Indian Wells

Indian Wells draw preview with H2H - Carlos Alcaraz may need to beat Jack Draper, Daniil Medvedev to conquer the tournament in the BNP Paribas Open.

Carlos Alcaraz Stats info

Carlos Alcaraz is 2 wins away to conquer the title in Indian Wells. Alcaraz has defeated Quentin Halys 6-4 6-2, Denis Shapovalov 6-2 6-4, Grigor Dimitrov 6-1 6-1 and Francisco Cerundolo 6-3 7-64 to reach the semifinal where he will face Jack Draper.

Draw prediction with head to head records

This is Carlos Alcaraz’s projected draw together withhisplausible opponents in BNP Paribas Open. The Spaniard has a positive record (9-3) with the projected opponents.

R1 – Bye
R2 – Quentin Halys (59) – 6-4 6-2
R3 – Denis Shapovalov (28) – 6-2 6-4
R4 – Grigor Dimitrov (15) – 6-1 6-1
1/4 – Francisco Cerundolo (26) – 6-3 7-64
1/2 – Jack Draper (14) – H2H 3-1
Fin – Daniil Medvedev (6) – H2H 6-2
or Holger Rune (13) – H2H 2-1
Alcaraz
Latest Updated
Draw

See Updated Draw

1/2 – Jack Draper’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 3-1 for Carlos Alcaraz

11 - 2win/loss in 2025

Rank
14
High
12
WWWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 11-2 11-2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 39-22 19-10 5-7 7-3 8-2 0-0
2023 34-15 15-8 3-3 16-4 0-0 0-0
2022 46-19 12-6 2-2 26-7 6-4 0-0
2021 18-16 6-6 7-5 3-2 2-2 0-1
2020 17-6 2-1 0-0 14-4 0-0 1-1
2019 41-17 30-10 0-0 10-4 1-3 0-0
2018 31-9 21-2 7-2 3-3 0-2 0-0

Jack Draper has a 11-2 win-loss record in 2025, he played all matches on hard. In the course of the last 8 years, Draper has a 116-45 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The Brit won 8 of his last 10 matches.

Jack’s most significant result of the year was reaching the final Doha.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open the Brit lost to Christopher O Connell in the 1st round 1-6 6-3 6-2.

H2H Carlos Alcaraz vs. Jack Draper

This would be the 5th time that Carlos Alcaraz and Jack Draper fight against each other. The head to head is 3-1 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard in major tournaments.

Final – Daniil Medvedev’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 6-2 for Carlos Alcaraz

12 - 5win/loss in 2025

Rank
6
High
1
WWWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 12-5 9-3 0-0 3-2 0-0 0-0
2024 46-21 28-9 11-5 1-5 6-2 0-0
2023 66-18 38-8 10-3 11-4 7-3 0-0
2022 45-19 26-8 3-2 8-6 8-3 0-0
2021 63-13 33-5 5-3 18-3 7-2 0-0
2020 28-10 14-4 0-2 14-4 0-0 0-0
2019 59-21 34-8 8-5 12-5 5-3 0-0
2018 53-25 27-9 1-5 21-7 4-4 0-0

Daniil Medvedev has a 12-5 win-loss record in 2025, 9-3 on hard. In the previous 13 years, Medvedev has a 256-82 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Daniil won 8 of his last 10 matches.

The Russian’s most significant result of this current year was getting to the semifinal Marseille.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open the Russian capitulated to Carlos Alcaraz in the final 7-6(5) 6-1.

H2H Carlos Alcaraz vs. Daniil Medvedev

This contest would be 9th time that Carlos Alcaraz and Daniil Medvedev face off. The head to head is 6-2 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), 3-1 on hard in major tournaments.

However, Carlos Alcaraz may compete against Holger Rune. Their head to head record is 2-1 for Carlos Alcaraz.