Daniil Medvedev is 2 wins away to conquer the title in Indian Wells. Daniil has defeated Bu Yunchaokete 6-2 6-2, Alex Michelsen 2-0 ret., Tommy Paul 6-4 6-0 and Arthur Fils 6-4 2-6 7-67 to reach the semifinal where he will face Holger Rune.

Draw prediction with head to head records

This is Daniil Medvedev’s projected draw includinghislikely opposition in BNP Paribas Open. Daniil has a unfavourable record (4-7) against the plausible opposition.

R1 – Bye
R2 – Bu Yunchaokete (71) – 6-2 6-2
R3 – Alex Michelsen (32) – 2-0 ret.
R4 – Tommy Paul (11) – 6-4 6-0
1/4 – Arthur Fils (21) – 6-4 2-6 7-67
1/2 – Holger Rune (13) – H2H 2-1
Fin – Carlos Alcaraz (3) – H2H 2-6
or Jack Draper (14) – H2H 1-0
MedvedevMedvedev
Latest Updated
Draw

1/2 – Holger Rune’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 2-1 for Daniil Medvedev

10 - 6win/loss in 2025

Rank
13
High
4
WWWWLWL
ALL STATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 10-6 8-3 0-1 2-2 0-0 0-0
2024 45-24 21-12 11-6 10-4 3-2 0-0
2023 44-24 10-10 16-4 11-8 7-2 0-0
2022 50-27 8-9 21-11 21-4 0-3 0-0
2021 73-29 11-5 41-17 21-7 0-0 0-0
2020 32-16 1-3 28-11 3-2 0-0 0-0
2019 6-10 0-3 5-6 1-1 0-0 0-0
2018 1-0 0-0 0-0 1-0 0-0 0-0

Holger Rune has a 10-6 record in 2025, 8-3 on hard. Regarding the previous 8 years, Holger has a 59-45 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The Dane won 7 of his last 10 matches.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open Rune surrendered to Daniil Medvedev in the quarter 7-5 6-4

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H2H Daniil Medvedev vs. Holger Rune

This would be the 4th time that Daniil Medvedev and Holger Rune fight against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard in major tournaments.

Final – Carlos Alcaraz’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 6-2 for Carlos Alcaraz

15 - 2win/loss in 2025

Rank
3
High
1
WWWWLWW
ALL STATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 15-2 10-2 0-0 5-0 0-0 0-0
2024 54-15 22-7 17-4 7-3 8-1 0-0
2023 65-12 26-6 25-3 2-3 12-0 0-0
2022 57-13 21-4 27-4 6-4 3-1 0-0
2021 48-19 15-8 22-7 10-3 1-1 0-0
2020 39-7 10-0 29-7 0-0 0-0 0-0
2019 18-10 3-2 15-8 0-0 0-0 0-0
2018 6-2 0-0 6-2 0-0 0-0 0-0

Carlos Alcaraz has a 15-2 win-loss record in 2025, 10-2 on hard. In the course of the previous 8 years, the Spaniard has a 107-29 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The Spaniard won 9 of his last 10 matches.

His most significant achievement of this current season was winning the tournament in Rotterdam where he defeated Alex De Minaur in the final 6-4 3-6 6-2.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open Alcaraz won the tournament after ousting Daniil Medvedev 7-6(5) 6-1.

H2H Daniil Medvedev vs. Carlos Alcaraz

This contest would be 9th time that Daniil Medvedev and Carlos Alcaraz face off. The head to head is 6-2 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), 3-1 on hard in major tournaments.

Alternatively, Daniil Medvedev may compete against Jack Draper. Their head to head is 1-0 for Daniil Medvedev.