Daniil Medvedev is 2 wins away to conquer the title in Indian Wells. Daniil has defeated Bu Yunchaokete 6-2 6-2, Alex Michelsen 2-0 ret., Tommy Paul 6-4 6-0 and Arthur Fils 6-4 2-6 7-67 to reach the semifinal where he will face Holger Rune.
Draw prediction with head to head records
This is Daniil Medvedev’s projected draw includinghislikely opposition in BNP Paribas Open. Daniil has a unfavourable record (4-7) against the plausible opposition.
1/2 – Holger Rune’s rankings and performance.
Head to head 2-1 for Daniil Medvedev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 10-6 | 8-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 45-24 | 21-12 | 11-6 | 10-4 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 44-24 | 10-10 | 16-4 | 11-8 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-27 | 8-9 | 21-11 | 21-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 73-29 | 11-5 | 41-17 | 21-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 32-16 | 1-3 | 28-11 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2019 | 6-10 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2018 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Holger Rune has a 10-6 record in 2025, 8-3 on hard. Regarding the previous 8 years, Holger has a 59-45 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The Dane won 7 of his last 10 matches.
Last year in BNP Paribas Open Rune surrendered to Daniil Medvedev in the quarter 7-5 6-4.
H2H Daniil Medvedev vs. Holger Rune
This would be the 4th time that Daniil Medvedev and Holger Rune fight against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard in major tournaments.
Final – Carlos Alcaraz’s rankings and performance.
Head to head 6-2 for Carlos Alcaraz
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 15-2 | 10-2 | 0-0 | 5-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 54-15 | 22-7 | 17-4 | 7-3 | 8-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 65-12 | 26-6 | 25-3 | 2-3 | 12-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 57-13 | 21-4 | 27-4 | 6-4 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 48-19 | 15-8 | 22-7 | 10-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 39-7 | 10-0 | 29-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2019 | 18-10 | 3-2 | 15-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2018 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Carlos Alcaraz has a 15-2 win-loss record in 2025, 10-2 on hard. In the course of the previous 8 years, the Spaniard has a 107-29 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The Spaniard won 9 of his last 10 matches.
His most significant achievement of this current season was winning the tournament in Rotterdam where he defeated Alex De Minaur in the final 6-4 3-6 6-2.
Last year in BNP Paribas Open Alcaraz won the tournament after ousting Daniil Medvedev 7-6(5) 6-1.
H2H Daniil Medvedev vs. Carlos Alcaraz
This contest would be 9th time that Daniil Medvedev and Carlos Alcaraz face off. The head to head is 6-2 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), 3-1 on hard in major tournaments.
Alternatively, Daniil Medvedev may compete against Jack Draper. Their head to head is 1-0 for Daniil Medvedev.
