Holger Rune is 2 wins away to conquer the title in Indian Wells. Rune has defeated Corentin Moutet 6-2 6-4, Ugo Humbert 5-7 6-4 7-5, Stefanos Tsitsipas 6-4 6-4 and Tallon Griekspoor 5-7 6-0 6-3 to reach the semifinal where he will face Daniil Medvedev.

Draw prediction with head to head records

This is Holger Rune’s projected draw alongsidehislikely opponents in BNP Paribas Open. Holger has a unfavourable record (2-4) with the likely opposition.

R1 – Bye
R2 – Corentin Moutet (79) – 6-2 6-4
R3 – Ugo Humbert (19) – 5-7 6-4 7-5
R4 – Stefanos Tsitsipas (9) – 6-4 6-4
1/4 – Tallon Griekspoor (43) – 5-7 6-0 6-3
1/2 – Daniil Medvedev (6) – H2H 1-2
Fin – Carlos Alcaraz (3) – H2H 1-2
or Jack Draper (14) – H2H 1-0
Latest Updated
Draw

1/2 – Daniil Medvedev’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 2-1 for Daniil Medvedev

12 - 5win/loss in 2025

Rank
6
High
1
WWWWLWW
ALL STATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 12-5 9-3 0-0 3-2 0-0 0-0
2024 46-21 28-9 11-5 1-5 6-2 0-0
2023 66-18 38-8 10-3 11-4 7-3 0-0
2022 45-19 26-8 3-2 8-6 8-3 0-0
2021 63-13 33-5 5-3 18-3 7-2 0-0
2020 28-10 14-4 0-2 14-4 0-0 0-0
2019 59-21 34-8 8-5 12-5 5-3 0-0
2018 53-25 27-9 1-5 21-7 4-4 0-0

Daniil Medvedev has a 12-5 win-loss record in 2025, 9-3 on hard. In connection to the last 13 years, Daniil has a 256-82 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Medvedev won 8 of his last 10 matches.

The Russian’s best achievement of the season was getting to the semifinal Marseille.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open the Russian lost to Carlos Alcaraz in the final 7-6(5) 6-1.

H2H Holger Rune vs. Daniil Medvedev

This match would represent the 4th time that Holger Rune and Daniil Medvedev face off. The head to head is 2-1 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard in major tournaments.

Final – Carlos Alcaraz’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 2-1 for Carlos Alcaraz

15 - 2win/loss in 2025

Rank
3
High
1
WWWWLWW
ALL STATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 15-2 10-2 0-0 5-0 0-0 0-0
2024 54-15 22-7 17-4 7-3 8-1 0-0
2023 65-12 26-6 25-3 2-3 12-0 0-0
2022 57-13 21-4 27-4 6-4 3-1 0-0
2021 48-19 15-8 22-7 10-3 1-1 0-0
2020 39-7 10-0 29-7 0-0 0-0 0-0
2019 18-10 3-2 15-8 0-0 0-0 0-0
2018 6-2 0-0 6-2 0-0 0-0 0-0

Carlos Alcaraz has a 15-2 record in 2025, 10-2 on hard. Regarding the last 8 years, Carlos has a 107-29 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Alcaraz won 9 of his last 10 matches.

His best achievement of the year was winning the competition in Rotterdam where he defeated Alex De Minaur in the final 6-4 3-6 6-2.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open the Spaniard conquered the tournament after beating Daniil Medvedev 7-6(5) 6-1.

H2H Holger Rune vs. Carlos Alcaraz

This match would represent the 4th time that Holger Rune and Carlos Alcaraz square off. The head to head is 2-1 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard in major tournaments.

Possibly, Holger Rune may come up against Jack Draper. Their H2H is 1-0 for Holger Rune.