Aryna Sabalenka is 2 wins away to conquer the title in Indian Wells. Aryna has defeated Mccartney Kessler 7-64 6-3, Lucia Bronzetti 6-1 6-2, Sonay Kartal 6-1 6-2 and Liudmila Samsonova 6-2 6-3 to reach the semifinal where she will face Madison Keys.
Draw prediction with head to head records
This is Aryna Sabalenka’s projected draw includingherlikely opponents in BNP Paribas Open. Sabalenka has a negative record (8-10) against the presumable opposition.
1/2 – Madison Keys’s rankings and performance.
Head to head 4-2 for Aryna Sabalenka
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 37-15 | 24-6 | 9-4 | 0-2 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 24-12 | 7-6 | 13-4 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-15 | 19-9 | 5-3 | 0-2 | 9-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-20 | 25-12 | 4-4 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 11-15 | 3-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 8-5 | 8-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2019 | 28-15 | 16-9 | 10-3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2018 | 29-14 | 16-9 | 11-4 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
Madison Keys has a 18-1 record in 2025, she played all matches on hard. In connection to the last 17 years, the American has a 247-138 record on hard (Click here
to see full career record). Madison will try to keep a positive momentum since she is on a 10 matches winning streak.Her best result of this current year was conquering the competition in Adelaide where she overcame Jessica Pegula in the final 6-3 4-6 6-1, and at the Australian Open where she defeated Aryna Sabalenka in the final 6-3 2-6 7-5.
Last year in BNP Paribas Open Madison lost to Yulia Putintseva in the 3rd round 6-4 6-1.
H2H Aryna Sabalenka vs. Madison Keys
This would be the 7th time that Aryna Sabalenka and Madison Keys fight against each other. The head to head is 4-2 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), 3-1 on hard in major tournaments.
Final – Iga Swiatek’s rankings and performance.
Head to head 8-4 for Iga Swiatek
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 64-17 | 40-10 | 11-4 | 3-2 | 10-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 64-9 | 29-5 | 26-2 | 7-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 68-11 | 42-8 | 19-2 | 0-0 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 67-9 | 42-6 | 18-1 | 5-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-15 | 18-10 | 12-2 | 2-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 16-5 | 6-4 | 7-1 | 3-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2019 | 34-17 | 17-8 | 10-3 | 4-3 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2018 | 43-6 | 8-1 | 34-5 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Iga Swiatek has a 18-4 record in 2025, she played all matches on hard. Talking about the previous 10 years, the Pole has a 180-46 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The Pole won 8 of her last 10 matches.
Swiatek’s most significant result of the year was reaching the final Australia.
Last year in BNP Paribas Open Iga won the tournament after ousting Maria Sakkari 6-4 6-0.
H2H Aryna Sabalenka vs. Iga Swiatek
This match would represent the 13th time that Aryna Sabalenka and Iga Swiatek square off. The head to head is 8-4 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), but they are 3-3 on hard in major tournaments.
Possibly, Aryna Sabalenka could face Mirra Andreeva. Their H2H is 4-1 for Aryna Sabalenka.