Iga Swiatek and Mirra Andreeva will fight against each other in the semifinal of the BNP Paribas Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 4:00 pm on STADIUM 1. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Iga Swiatek who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Iga Swiatek is the pick to win this match.
Iga Swiatek -> 1.59
Mirra Andreeva -> 2.36

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Prediction and head to head Iga Swiatek vs. Mirra Andreeva

This will be the 3rd time that Iga Swiatek and Mirra Andreeva play each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Swiatek and Andreeva (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Andreeva won 6-3 6-3 in the quarter in Dubai back in February 2025.

Highlights Mirra Andreeva vs Iga Swiatek – Dubai 20-February-2025

Iga Swiatek

Iga Swiatek

18 - 5win/loss

Hard
18-5
I Hard
0-0
Rank
2
High
1
LWWWWLWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 18-5 18-5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 64-9 29-5 26-2 7-1 2-1 0-0
2023 68-11 42-8 19-2 0-0 7-1 0-0
2022 67-9 42-6 18-1 5-1 2-1 0-0
2021 36-15 18-10 12-2 2-1 4-2 0-0

Ranked no. 2, the Pole got to the semifinal after defeating Unknown Player bye, Caroline Garcia 6-2 6-0, Dayana Yastremska 6-0 6-2, Karolina Muchova 6-1 6-1 and Qinwen Zheng 6-3 6-3.

In the quarter, The Pole had a good straight sets win against Zheng (6-3 6-3). During the match, Swiatek scored 66 points vs Zheng’s 47. The Pole was extremely aggressive to blast 26 winners.

Regarding the service games, Swiatek scored just 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 2 double faults. Iga Swiatek lost the serve twice and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Swiatek put 65% of her first serves in, winning 74% (26/35) of the points behind her 1st serve and 42% (8/19) on the 2nd serve. The Pole was clinical in her return game without wasting any break point and break Zheng 5 times.

Overall Performance in this tournament

Iga hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this tournament to conquer 63% of the points she played.

Swiatek has a fantastic match record in the last 10 years having won 82% of her matches (367-80). 18-4 on hard in 2025. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this event, Swiatek has a composed 180-46 match record in the last years on hard.

Swiatek’s best result of the season was reaching the final in Australia.

Swiatek has a composed 18-4 win-loss record in 2025, 18-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Indian Wells

Indian Wells
Swiatek's Record

Mirra Andreeva

Mirra Andreeva

18 - 3win/loss

Hard
18-3
I Hard
0-0
Rank
11
High
9
WWWWWWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 19-3 19-3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 34-16 18-9 16-5 0-0 0-2 0-0
2023 36-9 7-4 23-4 0-0 6-1 0-0
2022 39-9 21-5 18-4 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 11, Mirra reached the semifinal after beating Unknown Player bye, Varvara Gracheva 7-5 6-4, Clara Tauson 6-3 6-0, Elena Rybakina 6-1 6-2 and Elina Svitolina 7-5 6-3.

In the quarter, Mirra had a good straight sets win against Svitolina (7-5 6-3). During the match Andreeva scored 71 points vs Svitolina’s 53. Mirra was pretty aggressive to blast 28 winners.

About the serving games, Andreeva wasn’t able to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Mirra Andreeva was very effective on serve to win 82% (28/34) of her 1st serve and 67% (12/18) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Mirra broke Svitolina 4 times after converting 44% of her break points (4/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Russian hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 58% of the points she played.

Her best result of the season was winning the title in Dubai where she overcame Clara Tauson in the final 7-6(1) 6-1.

The Russian has a composed 17-3 win-loss record in 2025, 17-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Indian Wells

Previously, her best result was reaching the 1st round in 2024. See her history.

Indian Wells
Andreeva's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

I.Swiatek
M.Andreeva
4h:38
4h:38
Time on court​
5h:19
5h:19
1h:34
1h:34
Last match​
1h:28
1h:28
4
4
Match played
4
4
60
60
Games Played​
73
73
8
8
Set played​​
8
8
231
231
Total points​
259
259
57.8
57.8
Avg point​
64.8
64.8
82
82
Winners
91
91
20.5
20.5
Avg Winners​
22.8
22.8
35%
35%
Ratio winners
35%
35%
-- Serve --
5
5
Aces
7
7
1.3
1.3
Avg Aces
1.8
1.8
7
7
Double Faults
6
6
1.8
1.8
Avg Double Faults
1.5
1.5
82/107
82/107
1st won total​
91/125
91/125
!
77%
77%
1st won %
!
73%
73%
38/70
38/70
2nd won total​
43/74
43/74
54%
54%
2nd won %
58%
58%
-- Break Points --
21/36
21/36
BP won
21/40
21/40
5.3/9
5.3/9
Avg BP won
5.3/10
5.3/10
!
58%
58%
Won
!
53%
53%
9
9
Conceded
13
13
2.3
2.3
Avg Conceded
3.3
3.3
3
3
Broken
6
6
!
0.8
0.8
Avg Broken
1.5
1.5
6
6
Saved
7
7

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Swiatek Andreeva
Match played 4 4
Tot Set 8 8
Tot Games 60 73
Pts 231-138 259-186
Total Points 369 445
Winners 82 91
%Winners 35% 35%

Both Swiatek and Andreeva played 4 matches. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Swiatek and Andreeva have played the same amount of sets 8. However, Swiatek played 13 games less than Andreeva. Iga scored 82 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, Mirra blasted 91 winners (35%).

Serve Performance

Serve Swiatek Andreeva
Aces 5 7
Avg per match 1.3 1.8
1st in 107/177 125/199
%1st in 60% 63%
1st pts 82/107 91/125
%1st pts 77% 73%
2nd pts 38/70 43/74
%2nd pts 54% 58%

Swiatek managed to score 5 aces (1.3 per match). Andreeva fired 7 aces (1.8 per match). Swiatek won 77% points behind her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Andreeva won 73% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 58% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Swiatek Andreeva
Won 21 21
Converted 21/36 21/40
% Converted 58% 53%
Conceded 9 13
Saved 6 7
% Saved 67% 54%
Times Broken 3 6

Iga broke her opponents 21 times with a 58% conversion rate. Iga conceded her serve 3 times and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded. Mirra broke her opponents 21 times with a 53% conversion rate. Andreeva conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 54% of the break points that she conceded.

Swiatek
R2
Garcia
R3
Yastremska
R4
Muchova
1/4
Zheng
Total
Score 6-2 6-0 6-0 6-2 6-1 6-1 6-3 6-3
Tot Set 2 2 2 2 8
Tot Games 14 14 14 18 60
pts 57-31 58-34 50-26 66-47 231-138
Total points 88 92 76 113 369
Winners 19 16 21 26 82
%Winners 33% 28% 42% 39% 35%
SERVE
Aces 3 1 0 1 5
Double Faults 3 1 1 2 7
1st in 28/44 20/42 24/37 35/54 107/177
% 1st in 64% 48% 65% 65% 60%
1st pts 19/28 16/20 21/24 26/35 82/107
% 1st pts 68% 80% 88% 74% 77%
2nd pts 9/16 14/22 7/13 8/19 38/70
% 2nd pts 56% 64% 54% 42% 54%
Breaks
Won 6 5 5 5 21
Converted 6/9 5/11 5/11 5/5 21/36
Converted % 67% 45% 45% 100% 58%
Conceded 4 0 0 5 9
Saved 3/4 0/0 0/0 3/5 6
Saved % 75% 60% 34%
Times Broken 1 0 0 2 3
Andreeva
R2
Gracheva
R3
Tauson
R4
Rybakina
1/4
Svitolina
Total
Score 7-5 6-4 6-3 6-0 6-1 6-2 7-5 6-3
Tot Set 2 2 2 2 8
Tot Games 22 15 15 21 73
pts 76-64 54-32 58-37 71-53 259-186
Total points 140 86 95 124 445
Winners 25 18 20 28 91
%Winners 33% 33% 34% 39% 35%
SERVE
Aces 2 3 2 0 7
Double Faults 2 1 1 2 6
1st in 42/69 24/38 25/40 34/52 125/199
% 1st in 61% 63% 63% 65% 63%
1st pts 25/42 18/24 20/25 28/34 91/125
% 1st pts 60% 75% 80% 82% 73%
2nd pts 15/27 10/14 6/15 12/18 43/74
% 2nd pts 56% 71% 40% 67% 58%
Breaks
Won 6 5 6 4 21
Converted 6/10 5/9 6/12 4/9 21/40
Converted % 60% 56% 50% 44% 53%
Conceded 6 0 1 6 13
Saved 2/6 0/0 0/1 5/6 7
Saved % 33% 0% 83% 29%
Times Broken 4 0 1 1 6

Tennis Scores in Indian Wells

  • Asia Muhammad/Demi SchuursMuhammad/Demi SchuursKaterina Siniakova/Taylor TownsendSiniakova/Taylor Townsend (6-4 4-6 10-8) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Tereza Mihalikova/Olivia NichollsMihalikova/Olivia NichollsSu-Wei Hsieh/Shuai ZhangHsieh/Shuai Zhang (7-5 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Albert Alcaraz IvorraAlcaraz IvorraMatheus Pucinelle De AlmeidaPucinelle De Almeida (6-3 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Giovanni FonioFonioThomas FancuttFancutt (6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw