Flavio Cobolli and Kei Nishikori will play each other in the quarter of the Phoenix Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 4:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Kei Nishikori who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Kei Nishikori is the pick to win this match.
Kei Nishikori -> 1.61
Flavio Cobolli -> 2.2
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Prediction and head to head Flavio Cobolli vs. Kei Nishikori
There is no head to head record between Flavio Cobolli and Kei Nishikori since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Flavio Cobolli
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 43-29 | 26-13 | 10-9 | 4-3 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 56-36 | 10-6 | 43-23 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-34 | 6-4 | 24-21 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 46-30 | 5-4 | 39-21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 40, Cobolli got to the quarter after beating Unknown Player bye and Eliot Spizzirri 6-3 5-7 7-5.
In the 2nd round, Cobolli defeated Spizzirri (6-3 5-7 7-5). During the match, Cobolli scored 105 points vs Spizzirri’s 101. Flavio was quite aggressive to blast 43 winners.
Talking about the service games, Cobolli bagged 7 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Flavio Cobolli lost the serve 3 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Cobolli put 59% of his first serves in, winning 65% (43/66) of the points behind his 1st serve and 56% (25/45) on the 2nd serve. Flavio broke Spizzirri 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).
Cobolli has a winning match record in the last 8 years having won 56% of his matches (193-149). 3-5 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Cobolli has an aggregate54-35 record in the last 8 years on hard.
Cobolli has a composed 3-7 win-loss record in 2025, 3-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Phoenix Challenger
Cobolli has never competed in this tournament before.
Kei Nishikori
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 9-6 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 20-11 | 7-5 | 5-3 | 8-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 10-3 | 10-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 26-17 | 15-9 | 7-4 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 76, Nishikori got to the quarter after defeating Luca Nardi 6-4 6-3 and Mikhail Kukushkin 6-3 2-1 ret..
In the 2nd round against Kukushkin, Nishikori had a free pass after Kukushkin retired on a 6-3 2-1 . scoreline.
The Japanese’s best result of the year was reaching the final in Hong Kong.
Nishikori has a composed 9-6 win-loss record in 2025, 8-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Cobolli | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 33 | 31 |
| Pts | 105-101 | 106-83 |
| Total Points | 206 | 189 |
| Winners | 43 | 44 |
| %Winners | 41% | 42% |
Cobolli played 1 match while Nishikori competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Flavio Cobolli surrendered 1 set while Kei Nishikori hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Cobolli has played 2 set(s) less than Nishikori (3 vs 5). However, it’s interesting to notice that Cobolli played 2 games more than Nishikori. Flavio scored 43 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Kei struck 44 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Cobolli | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 7 | 2.5 |
| 1st in | 66/111 | 57/98 |
| %1st in | 59% | 58% |
| 1st pts | 43/66 | 44/57 |
| %1st pts | 65% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 25/45 | 16/41 |
| %2nd pts | 56% | 39% |
Cobolli blasted 7 aces . Nishikori struck 5 aces (2.5 per match). Cobolli won 65% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Nishikori won 77% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 39% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Cobolli | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 8 |
| Converted | 4/9 | 8/11 |
| % Converted | 44% | 73% |
| Conceded | 6 | 12 |
| Saved | 3 | 8 |
| % Saved | 50% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 4 |
Cobolli broke his opponent 4 times with a 44% conversion rate. The Italian surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. The Japanese broke his opponents 8 times with a 73% conversion rate. Kei conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Cobolli | |||
| R2 Spizzirri |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 5-7 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 33 | 33 | |
| pts | 105-101 | 105-101 | |
| Total points | 206 | 206 | |
| Winners | 43 | 43 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 7 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 66/111 | 66/111 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 43/66 | 43/66 | |
| % 1st pts | 65% | 65% | |
| 2nd pts | 25/45 | 25/45 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 4/9 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 3/6 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
| Nishikori | ||||
| R1 Nardi |
R2 Kukushkin |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | 6-3 2-1 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 12 | 31 | |
| pts | 67-55 | 39-28 | 106-83 | |
| Total points | 122 | 67 | 189 | |
| Winners | 26 | 18 | 44 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 46% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 4 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 38/67 | 19/31 | 57/98 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 61% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 26/38 | 18/19 | 44/57 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 95% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/29 | 6/12 | 16/41 | |
| % 2nd pts | 34% | 50% | 39% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 2 | 8 | |
| Converted | 6/7 | 2/4 | 8/11 | |
| Converted % | 86% | 50% | 73% | |
| Conceded | 12 | 0 | 12 | |
| Saved | 8/12 | 0/0 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 67% | – | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 0 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
WLLLLLLLWW
WWLWLLWLLW 
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