Yuta Shimizu and Jelle Sels will clash against each other in the quarter of the Cherbourg Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 4:00 pm on JEAN JAURES. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Yuta Shimizu who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Yuta Shimizu is the pick to win this match.
Yuta Shimizu -> 1.59
Jelle Sels -> 2.24
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Prediction and head to head Yuta Shimizu vs. Jelle Sels
There is no head to head record between Yuta Shimizu and Jelle Sels since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Yuta Shimizu
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 8-8 | 5-6 | 1-0 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 39-29 | 35-25 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 36-24 | 35-23 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 44-23 | 36-21 | 7-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-12 | 12-8 | 0-0 | 5-4 | 1-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 197, Shimizu got to the quarter after beating Denis Yevseyev 6-2 3-6 6-3 and Maxime Janvier 6-2 7-6(6).
In the 2nd round, Yuta had a good straight sets win against Janvier (6-2 7-66). During the match, Shimizu scored 78 points vs Janvier’s 64. The Japanese was quite aggressive to blast 38 winners.
Regarding the service games, Shimizu scored just 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 2 double faults. Yuta Shimizu lost the serve twice and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Shimizu put 72% of his first serves in, winning 75% (38/51) of the points behind his 1st serve and 40% (8/20) on the 2nd serve. Yuta broke Janvier 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Shimizu has conceded 1 set in this tournament to conquer 53% of the points he played.
Shimizu has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (263-150). 2-1 on indoor hard courts in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Shimizu has an overall 21-14 record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
Shimizu has an overall 6-6 win-loss record in 2025, 2-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Cherbourg Challenger
The Japanese has never competed in this tournament before.
Jelle Sels
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 12-13 | 3-5 | 5-5 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 48-30 | 13-6 | 28-16 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 11-27 | 5-4 | 3-14 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 48-33 | 0-0 | 26-17 | 22-15 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 37-31 | 2-3 | 14-13 | 20-14 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
Ranked no. 367, the Dutch got to the quarter after beating Antoine Escoffier 6-4 6-4 and Adrien Gobat 6-4 6-1.
In the 2nd round, The Dutch had a good straight sets win against Gobat (6-4 6-1). During the match Sels scored 63 points vs Gobat’s 42. Jelle was quite aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Talking about serving, Sels recorded 6 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Jelle Sels lost the serve once and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Sels put 68% of his first serves in, winning 78% (25/32) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (7/15) on the 2nd serve. The Dutch broke Gobat 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Jelle hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
Sels has a compiled 5-7 win-loss record in 2025, 2-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Shimizu | Sels |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 47 | 37 |
| Pts | 185-162 | 135-104 |
| Total Points | 347 | 239 |
| Winners | 85 | 51 |
| %Winners | 46% | 38% |
Both Shimizu and Sels played 2 matches. At the moment, Yuta Shimizu lost 1 set while Jelle Sels hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Shimizu has played 1 set more than Sels (5 vs 4). Therefore, Shimizu played 10 games more than Sels. Yuta scored 85 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, Sels recorded 51 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Shimizu | Sels |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 7 |
| Avg per match | 1.5 | 3.5 |
| 1st in | 123/177 | 68/107 |
| %1st in | 69% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 85/123 | 51/68 |
| %1st pts | 69% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 24/54 | 21/39 |
| %2nd pts | 44% | 54% |
Shimizu struck 3 aces (1.5 per match). Sels fired 7 aces (3.5 per match). Shimizu won 69% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 44% of the points. On the other side, Sels won 75% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Shimizu | Sels |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 9 |
| Converted | 8/19 | 9/20 |
| % Converted | 42% | 45% |
| Conceded | 15 | 13 |
| Saved | 11 | 10 |
| % Saved | 73% | 77% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 3 |
Yuta broke his opponents 8 times with a 42% conversion rate. Yuta surrendered his serve 4 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded. The Dutch broke his opponents 9 times with a 45% conversion rate. The Dutch conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 77% of the break points that he conceded.
| Shimizu | ||||
| R1 Yevseyev |
R2 Janvier |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 3-6 6-3 | 6-2 7-66 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 21 | 47 | |
| pts | 107-98 | 78-64 | 185-162 | |
| Total points | 205 | 142 | 347 | |
| Winners | 47 | 38 | 85 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 49% | 46% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 2 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 72/106 | 51/71 | 123/177 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 72% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 47/72 | 38/51 | 85/123 | |
| % 1st pts | 65% | 75% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/34 | 8/20 | 24/54 | |
| % 2nd pts | 47% | 40% | 44% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Converted | 4/10 | 4/9 | 8/19 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 44% | 42% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 6 | 15 | |
| Saved | 7/9 | 4/6 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 78% | 67% | 73% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Sels | ||||
| R1 Escoffier |
R2 Gobat |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | 6-4 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 17 | 37 | |
| pts | 72-62 | 63-42 | 135-104 | |
| Total points | 134 | 105 | 239 | |
| Winners | 26 | 25 | 51 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 40% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 6 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 36/60 | 32/47 | 68/107 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 68% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 26/36 | 25/32 | 51/68 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 78% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/24 | 7/15 | 21/39 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 47% | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 9 | |
| Converted | 4/11 | 5/9 | 9/20 | |
| Converted % | 36% | 56% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 6 | 13 | |
| Saved | 5/7 | 5/6 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 71% | 83% | 77% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
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- Jelle SelsSels – Yuta ShimizuShimizu (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Matteo MartineauMartineau – Jurij RodionovRodionov (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Patrick ZahrajZahraj – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
