[UPDATED QF]. Prediction, H2H of Madison Keys’s draw vs Bencic, Sabalenka, Swiatek to win the Indian Wells

Indian Wells draw preview with H2H - Madison Keys may need to oust Belinda Bencic, Aryna Sabalenka, Iga Swiatek to conquer the competition in the BNP Paribas Open.

Madison Keys Stats info

Madison Keys is 3 wins away to conquer the title in Indian Wells. Keys has defeated Anastasia Potapova 6-3 6-0, Elise Mertens 6-2 6-78 6-4 and Donna Vekic 4-6 7-67 6-3 to reach the quarter where she will face Belinda Bencic.

Draw prediction with head to head records

This is Madison Keys’s projected draw includingherprojected opponents in BNP Paribas Open. Keys has a losing record (6-10) with the likely opponents.

R1 – Bye
R2 – Anastasia Potapova (34) – 6-3 6-0
R3 – Elise Mertens (28) – 6-2 6-78 6-4
R4 – Donna Vekic (22) – 4-6 7-67 6-3
1/4 – Belinda Bencic (58) – H2H 2-2
1/2 – Aryna Sabalenka (1) – H2H 2-4
or Liudmila Samsonova (25) – H2H 5-1
Fin – Iga Swiatek (2) – H2H 2-4
or Qinwen Zheng (9) – H2H 1-0
Keys
Latest Updated
Draw

See Updated Draw

1/4 – Belinda Bencic’s rankings and performance.

Head to head record 2-2

17 - 4win/loss in 2025

Rank
58
High
4
WWWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 17-4 17-4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 8-2 0-0 0-0 8-2 0-0 0-0
2023 31-13 24-10 4-2 0-0 3-1 0-0
2022 42-18 13-9 13-4 10-2 6-3 0-0
2021 37-20 22-9 5-5 5-3 5-3 0-0
2020 8-8 6-5 0-1 2-2 0-0 0-0
2019 50-22 23-9 11-6 9-4 7-3 0-0
2018 27-21 15-12 1-1 7-5 4-3 0-0

Belinda Bencic has a 17-4 record in 2025, she played all matches on hard. Talking about the previous 1 years, Belinda has a 17-4 record on hard. Belinda won 9 of her last 10 matches.

Her most significant achievement of the current season was conquering the tournament in Abu Dhabi where she beat Ashlyn Krueger in the final 4-6 6-1 6-1.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open Belinda didn’t play in this tournament.

H2H Madison Keys vs. Belinda Bencic

This match would represent the 5th time that Madison Keys and Belinda Bencic square off. The head to head is 2-2 (see full H2H stats), 1-0 for Keys on hard in major tournaments.

1/2 – Aryna Sabalenka’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 4-2 for Aryna Sabalenka

15 - 3win/loss in 2025

Rank
1
High
1
WWWLWLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 15-3 15-3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 56-14 38-7 15-4 2-2 1-1 0-0
2023 55-14 35-9 14-3 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 33-22 20-15 9-5 0-0 4-2 0-0
2021 45-18 24-11 13-3 1-1 7-3 0-0
2020 29-10 14-7 6-3 9-0 0-0 0-0
2019 39-22 28-12 5-5 4-1 2-4 0-0
2018 51-25 34-13 7-6 3-2 7-4 0-0

Aryna Sabalenka has a 15-3 record in 2025, she played all matches on hard. During the last 10 years, Sabalenka has a 242-95 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Sabalenka won 7 of her last 10 matches.

Her best result of the year was conquering the competition in Brisbane where she beat Polina Kudermetova in the final 4-6 6-3 6-2.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open the Belarussian capitulated to Emma Navarro in the 4th round 6-3 3-6 6-2.

H2H Madison Keys vs. Aryna Sabalenka

This would be the 7th time that Madison Keys and Aryna Sabalenka fight against each other. The head to head is 4-2 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), 3-1 on hard in major tournaments.

However, Madison Keys may fight against Liudmila Samsonova. Their head to head record is 5-1 for Madison Keys.

Final – Iga Swiatek’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 4-2 for Iga Swiatek

17 - 4win/loss in 2025

Rank
2
High
1
WWWLWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 17-4 17-4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 64-9 29-5 26-2 7-1 2-1 0-0
2023 68-11 42-8 19-2 0-0 7-1 0-0
2022 67-9 42-6 18-1 5-1 2-1 0-0
2021 36-15 18-10 12-2 2-1 4-2 0-0
2020 16-5 6-4 7-1 3-0 0-0 0-0
2019 34-17 17-8 10-3 4-3 3-3 0-0
2018 43-6 8-1 34-5 1-0 0-0 0-0

Iga Swiatek has a 17-4 win-loss record in 2025, she played all matches on hard. Regarding the last 10 years, the Pole has a 179-46 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Swiatek won 8 of her last 10 matches.

Iga’s best achievement of the year was getting to the final Australia.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open Iga won the event after besting Maria Sakkari 6-4 6-0.

H2H Madison Keys vs. Iga Swiatek

This would be the 7th time that Madison Keys and Iga Swiatek fight against each other. The head to head is 4-2 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), but Keys has a winning record of 2-1 on hard in major tournaments.

Yet, Madison Keys could compete against Qinwen Zheng. Their head to head is 1-0 for Madison Keys.