Liudmila Samsonova is 3 wins away to conquer the title in Indian Wells. Samsonova has defeated Caty McNally 7-68 6-4, Daria Kasatkina 2-6 6-3 6-2 and Jasmine Paolini 6-0 6-4 to reach the quarter where she will face Aryna Sabalenka.

Draw prediction with head to head records

This is Liudmila Samsonova’s projected draw andherpresumable opposition in BNP Paribas Open. Samsonova has a losing record (3-11) with the projected opponents.

R1 – Bye
R2 – Caty McNally (491) – 7-68 6-4
R3 – Daria Kasatkina (12) – 2-6 6-3 6-2
R4 – Jasmine Paolini (6) – 6-0 6-4
1/4 – Aryna Sabalenka (1) – H2H 2-2
1/2 – Madison Keys (5) – H2H 1-5
or Belinda Bencic (58) – H2H 5-1
Fin – Iga Swiatek (2) – H2H 0-4
or Qinwen Zheng (9) – H2H 3-2
Latest Updated
Draw

1/4 – Aryna Sabalenka’s rankings and performance.

Head to head record 2-2

63 - 12win/loss in 2025

Rank
1
High
1
LWWWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 63-12 35-6 17-3 4-1 7-2 0-0
2024 56-14 38-7 15-4 2-2 1-1 0-0
2023 55-14 35-9 14-3 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 33-22 20-15 9-5 0-0 4-2 0-0
2021 45-18 24-11 13-3 1-1 7-3 0-0
2020 29-10 14-7 6-3 9-0 0-0 0-0
2019 39-22 28-12 5-5 4-1 2-4 0-0
2018 51-25 34-13 7-6 3-2 7-4 0-0

Aryna Sabalenka has a 15-3 record in 2025, she played all matches on hard. Talking about the previous 10 years, Aryna has a 242-95 record on hard (Click here

to see full career record). The Belarussian won 7 of her last 10 matches.

Her most significant achievement of the current year was winning the competition in Brisbane where she overcame Polina Kudermetova in the final 4-6 6-3 6-2.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open Aryna was overcome by Emma Navarro in the 4th round 6-3 3-6 6-2.

H2H Liudmila Samsonova vs. Aryna Sabalenka

This contest would be 5th time that Liudmila Samsonova and Aryna Sabalenka square off. The head to head is 2-2 for Samsonova and Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), but they are 2-2 on hard in major tournaments.

1/2 – Madison Keys’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 5-1 for Madison Keys

37 - 15win/loss in 2025

Rank
7
High
5
LLLLWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 37-15 24-6 9-4 0-2 4-3 0-0
2024 24-12 7-6 13-4 0-0 4-2 0-0
2023 33-15 19-9 5-3 0-2 9-1 0-0
2022 30-20 25-12 4-4 0-3 1-1 0-0
2021 11-15 3-9 3-4 0-0 5-2 0-0
2020 8-5 8-4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0-0
2019 28-15 16-9 10-3 1-2 1-1 0-0
2018 29-14 16-9 11-4 0-0 2-1 0-0

Madison Keys has a 17-1 record in 2025, she played all matches on hard. In connection to the previous 17 years, Madison has a 246-138 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The American will try to keep a positive momentum since she is on a 10 matches winning streak.

Her best result of this current season was winning the competition in Adelaide where she beat Jessica Pegula in the final 6-3 4-6 6-1, and at the Australian Open where she overcame Aryna Sabalenka in the final 6-3 2-6 7-5.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open the American was overcome by Yulia Putintseva in the 3rd round 6-4 6-1.

H2H Liudmila Samsonova vs. Madison Keys

This contest would be 7th time that Liudmila Samsonova and Madison Keys play each other. The head to head is 5-1 for Keys (see full H2H stats), 3-0 on hard in major tournaments.

However, Liudmila Samsonova could face Belinda Bencic. Their H2H is 5-1 for Liudmila Samsonova.

Final – Iga Swiatek’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 4-0 for Iga Swiatek

64 - 17win/loss in 2025

Rank
2
High
1
WWLLWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 64-17 40-10 11-4 3-2 10-1 0-0
2024 64-9 29-5 26-2 7-1 2-1 0-0
2023 68-11 42-8 19-2 0-0 7-1 0-0
2022 67-9 42-6 18-1 5-1 2-1 0-0
2021 36-15 18-10 12-2 2-1 4-2 0-0
2020 16-5 6-4 7-1 3-0 0-0 0-0
2019 34-17 17-8 10-3 4-3 3-3 0-0
2018 43-6 8-1 34-5 1-0 0-0 0-0

Iga Swiatek has a 17-4 record in 2025, she played all matches on hard. In the last 10 years, the Pole has a 179-46 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Swiatek won 8 of her last 10 matches.

Swiatek’s most significant result of the season was reaching the final Australia.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open Swiatek won the event after downing Maria Sakkari 6-4 6-0.

H2H Liudmila Samsonova vs. Iga Swiatek

This match would represent the 5th time that Liudmila Samsonova and Iga Swiatek clash against each other. The head to head is 4-0 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), 3-0 on hard in major tournaments.

Possibly, Liudmila Samsonova may compete against Qinwen Zheng. Their H2H record is 3-2 for Liudmila Samsonova.