Aryna Sabalenka is 3 wins away to conquer the title in Indian Wells. Aryna has defeated Mccartney Kessler 7-64 6-3, Lucia Bronzetti 6-1 6-2 and Sonay Kartal 6-1 6-2 to reach the quarter where she will face Liudmila Samsonova.
Draw prediction with head to head records
This is Aryna Sabalenka’s projected draw together withherplausible opposition in BNP Paribas Open. Aryna has a unfavourable record (10-12) with the projected opponents.
1/4 – Liudmila Samsonova’s rankings and performance.
Head to head record 2-2
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 30-23 | 15-15 | 8-5 | 0-0 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 26-23 | 12-15 | 6-5 | 0-0 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 34-24 | 25-15 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-17 | 26-10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-22 | 15-9 | 6-9 | 8-3 | 10-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 20-12 | 10-6 | 4-4 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2019 | 32-28 | 8-9 | 10-10 | 9-6 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2018 | 65-23 | 12-4 | 49-16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-1 |
Liudmila Samsonova has a 9-6 win-loss record in 2025, she played all matches on hard. Regarding the previous 10 years, Ludmilla has a 119-75 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Samsonova won 6 of her last 10 matches.
The Russian’s best achievement of the season was getting to the semifinal Adelaide.
Last year in BNP Paribas Open Ludmilla capitulated to Naomi Osaka in the 2nd round 7-5 6-3.
H2H Aryna Sabalenka vs. Liudmila Samsonova
This would be the 5th time that Aryna Sabalenka and Liudmila Samsonova play each other. The head to head is 2-2 for Sabalenka and Samsonova (see full H2H stats), but they are 2-2 on hard in major tournaments.
1/2 – Madison Keys’s rankings and performance.
Head to head 4-2 for Aryna Sabalenka
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 37-15 | 24-6 | 9-4 | 0-2 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 24-12 | 7-6 | 13-4 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-15 | 19-9 | 5-3 | 0-2 | 9-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-20 | 25-12 | 4-4 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 11-15 | 3-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 8-5 | 8-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2019 | 28-15 | 16-9 | 10-3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2018 | 29-14 | 16-9 | 11-4 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
Madison Keys has a 17-1 record in 2025, she played all matches on hard. As for the previous 17 years, Keys has a 246-138 record on hard (Click here
to see full career record). The American will try to keep a positive momentum since she is on a 10 matches winning streak.Her best result of the current year was winning the competition in Adelaide where she overcame Jessica Pegula in the final 6-3 4-6 6-1, and at the Australian Open where she beat Aryna Sabalenka in the final 6-3 2-6 7-5.
Last year in BNP Paribas Open the American capitulated to Yulia Putintseva in the 3rd round 6-4 6-1.
H2H Aryna Sabalenka vs. Madison Keys
This would be the 7th time that Aryna Sabalenka and Madison Keys square off. The head to head is 4-2 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), 3-1 on hard in major tournaments.
Possibly, Aryna Sabalenka could fight against Belinda Bencic. Their H2H record is 2-1 for Aryna Sabalenka.
Final – Iga Swiatek’s rankings and performance.
Head to head 8-4 for Iga Swiatek
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 64-17 | 40-10 | 11-4 | 3-2 | 10-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 64-9 | 29-5 | 26-2 | 7-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 68-11 | 42-8 | 19-2 | 0-0 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 67-9 | 42-6 | 18-1 | 5-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-15 | 18-10 | 12-2 | 2-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 16-5 | 6-4 | 7-1 | 3-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2019 | 34-17 | 17-8 | 10-3 | 4-3 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2018 | 43-6 | 8-1 | 34-5 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Iga Swiatek has a 17-4 record in 2025, she played all matches on hard. During the previous 10 years, Iga has a 179-46 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Swiatek won 8 of her last 10 matches.
Swiatek’s most significant result of this season was getting to the final Australia.
Last year in BNP Paribas Open the Pole conquered the title after besting Maria Sakkari 6-4 6-0.
H2H Aryna Sabalenka vs. Iga Swiatek
This match would represent the 13th time that Aryna Sabalenka and Iga Swiatek play each other. The head to head is 8-4 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), but they are 3-3 on hard in major tournaments.
Alternatively, Aryna Sabalenka may come up against Qinwen Zheng. Their head to head record is 5-0 for Aryna Sabalenka.