Carlos Alcaraz is 3 wins away to conquer the title in Indian Wells. Alcaraz has defeated Quentin Halys 6-4 6-2, Denis Shapovalov 6-2 6-4 and Grigor Dimitrov 6-1 6-1 to reach the quarter where he will face Francisco Cerundolo.

Draw prediction with head to head records

This is Carlos Alcaraz’s projected draw includinghisprojected opposition in BNP Paribas Open. The Spaniard has a winning record (9-3) against the plausible opponents.

R1 – Bye
R2 – Quentin Halys (59) – 6-4 6-2
R3 – Denis Shapovalov (28) – 6-2 6-4
R4 – Grigor Dimitrov (15) – 6-1 6-1
1/4 – Francisco Cerundolo (26) – H2H 1-1
1/2 – Ben Shelton (12) – H2H 2-0
or Jack Draper (14) – H2H 3-1
Fin – Daniil Medvedev (6) – H2H 6-2
or Holger Rune (13) – H2H 2-1
Latest Updated
Draw

1/4 – Francisco Cerundolo’s rankings and performance.

Head to head record 1-1

38 - 25win/loss in 2025

Rank
21
High
18
LLWWLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 38-25 12-8 21-11 5-4 0-2 0-0
2024 35-31 5-10 21-13 9-5 0-3 0-0
2023 39-26 10-10 19-12 4-2 6-2 0-0
2022 36-28 7-8 25-10 3-7 1-3 0-0
2021 44-24 3-2 39-21 0-0 2-1 0-0
2020 36-11 5-0 31-11 0-0 0-0 0-0
2019 58-21 3-2 55-18 0-1 0-0 0-0
2018 33-12 0-0 33-12 0-0 0-0 0-0

Francisco Cerundolo has a 13-5 record in 2025, 5-2 on hard. In connection to the previous 10 years, Cerundolo has a 38-35 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Cerundolo won 7 of his last 10 matches.

The Argentine’s most significant achievement of this season was getting to the final Buenos Aires.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open Cerundolo lost to Ben Shelton in the 3rd round 7-6(5) 3-6 7-6(5).

H2H Carlos Alcaraz vs. Francisco Cerundolo

This would be the 3rd time that Carlos Alcaraz and Francisco Cerundolo clash against each other. The head to head is 1-1

for Alcaraz and Cerundolo (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard in major tournaments.

1/2 – Ben Shelton’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 2-0 for Carlos Alcaraz

40 - 24win/loss in 2025

Rank
9
High
5
LLLLWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 40-24 23-9 7-5 4-6 6-4 0-0
2024 42-26 22-13 8-4 8-5 4-4 0-0
2023 28-26 21-13 4-8 1-2 2-3 0-0
2022 40-11 16-9 0-0 24-2 0-0 0-0
2021 18-7 7-3 5-2 6-2 0-0 0-0

Ben Shelton has a 10-4 win-loss record in 2025, 9-3 on hard. Talking about the previous 5 years, Ben has a 75-41 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Ben won 7 of his last 10 matches.

Ben’s best achievement of the current season was reaching the semifinal at the Australian Open .

Last year in BNP Paribas Open

the American was overcome by Jannik Sinner in the 4th round 7-6(4) 6-1.

H2H Carlos Alcaraz vs. Ben Shelton

This contest would be 3rd time that Carlos Alcaraz and Ben Shelton play each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard in major tournaments.

Anyhow, Carlos Alcaraz may play Jack Draper. Their head to head is 3-1 for Carlos Alcaraz.

Final – Daniil Medvedev’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 6-2 for Carlos Alcaraz

41 - 23win/loss in 2025

Rank
13
High
1
LWWLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 41-23 20-12 6-4 10-4 5-3 0-0
2024 46-21 28-9 11-5 1-5 6-2 0-0
2023 66-18 38-8 10-3 11-4 7-3 0-0
2022 45-19 26-8 3-2 8-6 8-3 0-0
2021 63-13 33-5 5-3 18-3 7-2 0-0
2020 28-10 14-4 0-2 14-4 0-0 0-0
2019 59-21 34-8 8-5 12-5 5-3 0-0
2018 53-25 27-9 1-5 21-7 4-4 0-0

Daniil Medvedev has a 11-5 record in 2025, 8-3 on hard. In the previous 13 years, Medvedev has a 255-82 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Daniil won 7 of his last 10 matches.

Medvedev’s best achievement of the current year was reaching the semifinal Marseille.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open Daniil was overcome by Carlos Alcaraz in the final 7-6(5) 6-1.

H2H Carlos Alcaraz vs. Daniil Medvedev

This match would represent the 9th time that Carlos Alcaraz and Daniil Medvedev fight against each other. The head to head is 6-2 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), 3-1 on hard in major tournaments.

On the other hand, Carlos Alcaraz could play Holger Rune. Their H2H record is 2-1 for Carlos Alcaraz.