Daniil Medvedev is 3 wins away to conquer the title in Indian Wells. Medvedev has defeated Bu Yunchaokete 6-2 6-2, Alex Michelsen 2-0 ret. and Tommy Paul 6-4 6-0 to reach the quarter where he will face Arthur Fils.

Draw prediction with head to head records

This is Daniil Medvedev’s projected draw andhisplausible opposition in BNP Paribas Open. Medvedev has a losing record (5-7) with the projected opponents.

R1 – Bye
R2 – Bu Yunchaokete (71) – 6-2 6-2
R3 – Alex Michelsen (32) – 2-0 ret.
R4 – Tommy Paul (11) – 6-4 6-0
1/4 – Arthur Fils (21) – H2H 1-0
1/2 – Holger Rune (13) – H2H 2-1
or Tallon Griekspoor (43) – H2H 0-1
Fin – Carlos Alcaraz (3) – H2H 2-6
or Ben Shelton (12) – H2H 0-1
Latest Updated
Draw

1/4 – Arthur Fils’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 1-0 for Daniil Medvedev

8 - 4win/loss in 2025

Rank
21
High
19
WWWLLWW
ALL STATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 8-4 6-3 0-0 2-1 0-0 0-0
2024 42-28 15-9 14-10 7-6 6-3 0-0
2023 43-24 5-4 13-8 21-10 4-2 0-0
2022 43-28 0-1 23-15 20-12 0-0 0-0
2021 33-26 3-2 29-17 1-7 0-0 0-0
2020 1-2 0-0 1-1 0-1 0-0 0-0

Arthur Fils has a 8-4 record in 2025, 6-3 on hard. Regarding the previous 6 years, Arthur has a 29-19 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Arthur won 7 of his last 10 matches.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open Arthur lost to Casper Ruud in the 3rd round 6-2 6-4.

H2H Daniil Medvedev vs. Arthur Fils

This match would represent the 2nd time that Daniil Medvedev and Arthur Fils face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard in major tournaments.

1/2 – Holger Rune’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 2-1 for Daniil Medvedev

9 - 6win/loss in 2025

Rank
13
High
4
WWWLWLL
ALL STATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 9-6 7-3 0-1 2-2 0-0 0-0
2024 45-24 21-12 11-6 10-4 3-2 0-0
2023 44-24 10-10 16-4 11-8 7-2 0-0
2022 50-27 8-9 21-11 21-4 0-3 0-0
2021 73-29 11-5 41-17 21-7 0-0 0-0
2020 32-16 1-3 28-11 3-2 0-0 0-0
2019 6-10 0-3 5-6 1-1 0-0 0-0
2018 1-0 0-0 0-0 1-0 0-0 0-0

Holger Rune has a 9-6 record in 2025, 7-3 on hard. Regarding the last 8 years, the Dane has a 58-45 record on hard (Click here
to see full career record). Holger won 6 of his last 10 matches.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open Rune lost to Daniil Medvedev in the quarter 7-5 6-4.

H2H Daniil Medvedev vs. Holger Rune

This contest would be 4th time that Daniil Medvedev and Holger Rune fight against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard in major tournaments.

Nonetheless, Daniil Medvedev may come up against Tallon Griekspoor. Their H2H is 1-0 for Tallon Griekspoor.

Final – Carlos Alcaraz’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 6-2 for Carlos Alcaraz

14 - 2win/loss in 2025

Rank
3
High
1
WWWLWWW
ALL STATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 14-2 9-2 0-0 5-0 0-0 0-0
2024 54-15 22-7 17-4 7-3 8-1 0-0
2023 65-12 26-6 25-3 2-3 12-0 0-0
2022 57-13 21-4 27-4 6-4 3-1 0-0
2021 48-19 15-8 22-7 10-3 1-1 0-0
2020 39-7 10-0 29-7 0-0 0-0 0-0
2019 18-10 3-2 15-8 0-0 0-0 0-0
2018 6-2 0-0 6-2 0-0 0-0 0-0

Carlos Alcaraz has a 14-2 record in 2025, 9-2 on hard. In the course of the previous 8 years, Carlos has a 106-29 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Carlos won 9 of his last 10 matches.

His best result of the year was winning the competition in Rotterdam where he defeated Alex De Minaur in the final 6-4 3-6 6-2.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open Carlos conquered the event after defeating Daniil Medvedev 7-6(5) 6-1.

H2H Daniil Medvedev vs. Carlos Alcaraz

This match would represent the 9th time that Daniil Medvedev and Carlos Alcaraz square off. The head to head is 6-2 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), 3-1 on hard in major tournaments.

Yet, Daniil Medvedev could take on Ben Shelton. Their H2H record is 1-0 for Ben Shelton.