Daniil Medvedev is 3 wins away to conquer the title in Indian Wells. Medvedev has defeated Bu Yunchaokete 6-2 6-2, Alex Michelsen 2-0 ret. and Tommy Paul 6-4 6-0 to reach the quarter where he will face Arthur Fils.
Draw prediction with head to head records
This is Daniil Medvedev’s projected draw andhisplausible opposition in BNP Paribas Open. Medvedev has a losing record (5-7) with the projected opponents.
1/4 – Arthur Fils’s rankings and performance.
Head to head 1-0 for Daniil Medvedev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 8-5 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 42-28 | 15-9 | 14-10 | 7-6 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-24 | 5-4 | 13-8 | 21-10 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 43-28 | 0-1 | 23-15 | 20-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-26 | 3-2 | 29-17 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Arthur Fils has a 8-4 record in 2025, 6-3 on hard. Regarding the previous 6 years, Arthur has a 29-19 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Arthur won 7 of his last 10 matches.
Last year in BNP Paribas Open Arthur lost to Casper Ruud in the 3rd round 6-2 6-4.
H2H Daniil Medvedev vs. Arthur Fils
This match would represent the 2nd time that Daniil Medvedev and Arthur Fils face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard in major tournaments.
1/2 – Holger Rune’s rankings and performance.
Head to head 2-1 for Daniil Medvedev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 11-6 | 9-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 45-24 | 21-12 | 11-6 | 10-4 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 44-24 | 10-10 | 16-4 | 11-8 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-27 | 8-9 | 21-11 | 21-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 73-29 | 11-5 | 41-17 | 21-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 32-16 | 1-3 | 28-11 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2019 | 6-10 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2018 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Holger Rune has a 9-6 record in 2025, 7-3 on hard. Regarding the last 8 years, the Dane has a 58-45 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Holger won 6 of his last 10 matches.
Last year in BNP Paribas Open Rune lost to Daniil Medvedev in the quarter 7-5 6-4.
H2H Daniil Medvedev vs. Holger Rune
This contest would be 4th time that Daniil Medvedev and Holger Rune fight against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard in major tournaments.
Nonetheless, Daniil Medvedev may come up against Tallon Griekspoor. Their H2H is 1-0 for Tallon Griekspoor.
Final – Carlos Alcaraz’s rankings and performance.
Head to head 6-2 for Carlos Alcaraz
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 15-3 | 10-3 | 0-0 | 5-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 54-13 | 22-5 | 17-4 | 7-3 | 8-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 65-12 | 26-6 | 25-3 | 2-3 | 12-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 57-13 | 21-4 | 27-4 | 6-4 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 48-19 | 15-8 | 22-7 | 10-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 39-7 | 10-0 | 29-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2019 | 18-10 | 3-2 | 15-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2018 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Carlos Alcaraz has a 14-2 record in 2025, 9-2 on hard. In the course of the previous 8 years, Carlos has a 106-29 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Carlos won 9 of his last 10 matches.
His best result of the year was winning the competition in Rotterdam where he defeated Alex De Minaur in the final 6-4 3-6 6-2.
Last year in BNP Paribas Open Carlos conquered the event after defeating Daniil Medvedev 7-6(5) 6-1.
H2H Daniil Medvedev vs. Carlos Alcaraz
This match would represent the 9th time that Daniil Medvedev and Carlos Alcaraz square off. The head to head is 6-2 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), 3-1 on hard in major tournaments.
Yet, Daniil Medvedev could take on Ben Shelton. Their H2H record is 1-0 for Ben Shelton.
