[UPDATED QF]. Prediction, H2H of Arthur Fils’s draw vs Medvedev, Rune, Alcaraz to win the Indian Wells

Indian Wells draw preview with H2H - Arthur Fils may need to best Daniil Medvedev, Holger Rune, Carlos Alcaraz to conquer the title in the BNP Paribas Open.

Arthur Fils Stats info

Arthur Fils is 3 wins away to conquer the title in Indian Wells. Fils has defeated Gabriel Diallo 6-2 6-2, Lorenzo Musetti 3-6 7-64 6-3 and Marcos Giron 6-2 2-6 6-3 to reach the quarter where he will face Daniil Medvedev.

Draw prediction with head to head records

This is Arthur Fils’s projected draw withhispresumable opponents in BNP Paribas Open. Arthur has a neutral record (2-2) with the projected opponents.

R1 – Bye
R2 – Gabriel Diallo (88) – 6-2 6-2
R3 – Lorenzo Musetti (16) – 3-6 7-64 6-3
R4 – Marcos Giron (48) – 6-2 2-6 6-3
1/4 – Daniil Medvedev (6) – H2H 0-1
1/2 – Holger Rune (13) – H2H 2-1
or Tallon Griekspoor (43) – H2H 1-1
Fin – Carlos Alcaraz (3) – H2H 0-0
or Ben Shelton (12) – H2H 1-2
Fils
Latest Updated
Draw

See Updated Draw

1/4 – Daniil Medvedev’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 1-0 for Daniil Medvedev

11 - 5win/loss in 2025

Rank
6
High
1
WWWLWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 11-5 8-3 0-0 3-2 0-0 0-0
2024 46-21 28-9 11-5 1-5 6-2 0-0
2023 66-18 38-8 10-3 11-4 7-3 0-0
2022 45-19 26-8 3-2 8-6 8-3 0-0
2021 63-13 33-5 5-3 18-3 7-2 0-0
2020 28-10 14-4 0-2 14-4 0-0 0-0
2019 59-21 34-8 8-5 12-5 5-3 0-0
2018 53-25 27-9 1-5 21-7 4-4 0-0

Daniil Medvedev has a 11-5 record in 2025, 8-3 on hard. During the last 13 years, Medvedev has a 255-82 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Daniil won 7 of his last 10 matches.

The Russian’s most significant result of this season was getting to the semifinal Marseille.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open Medvedev lost to Carlos Alcaraz in the final 7-6(5) 6-1.

H2H Arthur Fils vs. Daniil Medvedev

This would be the 2nd time that Arthur Fils and Daniil Medvedev clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard in major tournaments.

1/2 – Holger Rune’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 2-1 for Arthur Fils

9 - 6win/loss in 2025

Rank
13
High
4
WWWLWLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 9-6 7-3 0-1 2-2 0-0 0-0
2024 45-24 21-12 11-6 10-4 3-2 0-0
2023 44-24 10-10 16-4 11-8 7-2 0-0
2022 50-27 8-9 21-11 21-4 0-3 0-0
2021 73-29 11-5 41-17 21-7 0-0 0-0
2020 32-16 1-3 28-11 3-2 0-0 0-0
2019 6-10 0-3 5-6 1-1 0-0 0-0
2018 1-0 0-0 0-0 1-0 0-0 0-0

Holger Rune has a 9-6 record in 2025, 7-3 on hard. As for the previous 8 years, Rune has a 58-45 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Holger won 6 of his last 10 matches.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open Holger was overcome by Daniil Medvedev in the quarter 7-5 6-4.

H2H Arthur Fils vs. Holger Rune

This match would represent the 4th time that Arthur Fils and Holger Rune square off. The head to head is 2-1 for Fils (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard in major tournaments.

Yet, Arthur Fils may square off with Tallon Griekspoor. Their H2H is 1-1.

Final – Carlos Alcaraz’s rankings and performance.

Head to head record 0-0

14 - 2win/loss in 2025

Rank
3
High
1
WWWLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 14-2 9-2 0-0 5-0 0-0 0-0
2024 54-15 22-7 17-4 7-3 8-1 0-0
2023 65-12 26-6 25-3 2-3 12-0 0-0
2022 57-13 21-4 27-4 6-4 3-1 0-0
2021 48-19 15-8 22-7 10-3 1-1 0-0
2020 39-7 10-0 29-7 0-0 0-0 0-0
2019 18-10 3-2 15-8 0-0 0-0 0-0
2018 6-2 0-0 6-2 0-0 0-0 0-0

Carlos Alcaraz has a 14-2 record in 2025, 9-2 on hard. Regarding the previous 8 years, the Spaniard has a 106-29 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Carlos won 9 of his last 10 matches.

His most significant achievement of this current year was winning the title in Rotterdam where he beat Alex De Minaur in the final 6-4 3-6 6-2.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open the Spaniard won the title after downing Daniil Medvedev 7-6(5) 6-1.

H2H Arthur Fils vs. Carlos Alcaraz

There is no head to head record between Arthur Fils and Carlos Alcaraz since this would be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

Anyhow, Arthur Fils may compete against Ben Shelton. Their head to head record is 2-1 for Ben Shelton.