Holger Rune is 3 wins away to conquer the title in Indian Wells. Rune has defeated Corentin Moutet 6-2 6-4, Ugo Humbert 5-7 6-4 7-5 and Stefanos Tsitsipas 6-4 6-4 to reach the quarter where he will face Tallon Griekspoor.

Draw prediction with head to head records

This is Holger Rune’s projected draw includinghisplausible opposition in BNP Paribas Open. Holger has a negative record (2-6) against the projected opposition.

R1 – Bye
R2 – Corentin Moutet (79) – 6-2 6-4
R3 – Ugo Humbert (19) – 5-7 6-4 7-5
R4 – Stefanos Tsitsipas (9) – 6-4 6-4
1/4 – Tallon Griekspoor (43) – H2H 0-2
1/2 – Daniil Medvedev (6) – H2H 1-2
or Arthur Fils (21) – H2H 1-2
Fin – Carlos Alcaraz (3) – H2H 1-2
or Ben Shelton (12) – H2H 1-0
Latest Updated
Draw

1/4 – Tallon Griekspoor’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 2-0 for Tallon Griekspoor

32 - 24win/loss in 2025

Rank
25
High
21
LWWLLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 32-24 10-11 13-8 5-4 4-1 0-0
2024 33-30 10-11 8-8 11-8 4-3 0-0
2023 36-24 14-10 3-5 12-7 7-2 0-0
2022 28-27 5-6 12-6 4-11 7-4 0-0
2021 59-17 11-3 36-10 9-3 3-1 0-0
2020 18-9 3-1 12-5 3-3 0-0 0-0
2019 25-26 4-4 16-11 4-9 1-1 0-1
2018 22-13 3-4 14-6 5-2 0-0 0-1

Tallon Griekspoor has a 11-5 record in 2025, 8-3 on hard. As for the previous 11 years, Griekspoor has a 135-71 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Tallon won 8 of his last 10 matches.

Tallon’s most significant result of the season was reaching the semifinal Dubai.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open Tallon lost to Alexander Zverev in the 3rd round 7-6(7) 6-3.

H2H Holger Rune vs. Tallon Griekspoor

This contest would be 3rd time that Holger Rune and Tallon Griekspoor face off. The head to head is 2-0 for Griekspoor (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard in major tournaments.

1/2 – Daniil Medvedev’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 2-1 for Daniil Medvedev

41 - 23win/loss in 2025

Rank
13
High
1
LWWLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 41-23 20-12 6-4 10-4 5-3 0-0
2024 46-21 28-9 11-5 1-5 6-2 0-0
2023 66-18 38-8 10-3 11-4 7-3 0-0
2022 45-19 26-8 3-2 8-6 8-3 0-0
2021 63-13 33-5 5-3 18-3 7-2 0-0
2020 28-10 14-4 0-2 14-4 0-0 0-0
2019 59-21 34-8 8-5 12-5 5-3 0-0
2018 53-25 27-9 1-5 21-7 4-4 0-0

Daniil Medvedev has a 11-5 win-loss record in 2025, 8-3 on hard. In the course of the last 13 years, the Russian has a 255-82 record on hard (Click here

to see full career record). Daniil won 7 of his last 10 matches.

Daniil’s most significant achievement of this current season was getting to the semifinal Marseille.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open Medvedev lost to Carlos Alcaraz in the final 7-6(5) 6-1.

H2H Holger Rune vs. Daniil Medvedev

This match would represent the 4th time that Holger Rune and Daniil Medvedev clash against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard in major tournaments.

Alternatively, Holger Rune may square off with Arthur Fils. Their head to head record is 2-1 for Arthur Fils.

Final – Carlos Alcaraz’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 2-1 for Carlos Alcaraz

71 - 9win/loss in 2025

Rank
1
High
1
LWWWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 71-9 28-4 22-1 10-3 11-1 0-0
2024 54-13 22-5 17-4 7-3 8-1 0-0
2023 65-12 26-6 25-3 2-3 12-0 0-0
2022 57-13 21-4 27-4 6-4 3-1 0-0
2021 48-19 15-8 22-7 10-3 1-1 0-0
2020 39-7 10-0 29-7 0-0 0-0 0-0
2019 18-10 3-2 15-8 0-0 0-0 0-0
2018 6-2 0-0 6-2 0-0 0-0 0-0

Carlos Alcaraz has a 14-2 win-loss record in 2025, 9-2 on hard. In the course of the last 8 years, the Spaniard has a 106-29 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The Spaniard won 9 of his last 10 matches.

His best achievement of the current year was conquering the tournament in Rotterdam where he overcame Alex De Minaur in the final 6-4 3-6 6-2.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open the Spaniard conquered the title after downing Daniil Medvedev 7-6(5) 6-1.

H2H Holger Rune vs. Carlos Alcaraz

This contest would be 4th time that Holger Rune and Carlos Alcaraz face off. The head to head is 2-1 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard in major tournaments.

Nonetheless, Holger Rune may come up against Ben Shelton. Their H2H is 1-0 for Holger Rune.