Alexander Bublik and Rinky Hijikata will face off in the 2nd round of the Phoenix Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 11:00 am on Court 2. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alexander Bublik who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Alexander Bublik is the pick to win this match.
Alexander Bublik -> 1.43
Rinky Hijikata -> 2.66
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Prediction and head to head Alexander Bublik vs. Rinky Hijikata
There is no head to head record between Alexander Bublik and Rinky Hijikata since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Alexander Bublik
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 18-14 | 5-7 | 11-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 25-25 | 10-11 | 5-6 | 6-4 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 28-30 | 3-12 | 7-9 | 9-7 | 9-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-27 | 5-8 | 2-6 | 17-8 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-30 | 14-12 | 4-6 | 10-8 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 82, the Kazakhstani got to the 2nd round after defeating Aleksandar Vukic 6-3 3-6 6-3.
In the 1st round, Bublik defeated Vukic (6-3 3-6 6-3). During the match, Bublik scored 89 points vs Vukic’s 76. Alexander was very aggressive to blast 48 winners.
Regarding the service games, Bublik scored 19 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Alexander Bublik lost the serve once and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Bublik put 71% of his first serves in, winning 84% (48/57) of the points behind his 1st serve and 43% (10/23) on the 2nd serve. The Kazakhstani broke Vukic twice after converting 33% of his break points (2/6).
Bublik has positive win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 56% of his matches (324-250). 1-5 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Bublik has an aggregate 128-104 record in the last years on hard.
Alexander has a compiled 3-8 win-loss record in 2025, 1-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Phoenix Challenger
Rinky Hijikata
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 12-17 | 7-10 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 36-33 | 29-21 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 5-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-34 | 37-23 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 9-6 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 53-29 | 37-19 | 2-2 | 10-6 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 41-13 | 31-9 | 9-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 83, Hijikata reached the 2nd round after beating Brandon Holt 7-6(0) 7-6(3).
In the 1st round, The Australian had a good straight sets win against Holt (7-60 7-63). During the match Hijikata scored 83 points vs Holt’s 77. Hijikata was pretty aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Talking about serving, Hijikata bagged 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Rinky Hijikata was very efficient on serve to win 73% (37/51) of his 1st serve and 59% (20/34) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Australian broke Holt once after converting 25% of his break points (1/4).
The Australian has a composed 7-9 win-loss record in 2025, 6-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Phoenix Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2023 and 2024. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Bublik | Hijikata |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 27 | 26 |
| Pts | 89-76 | 83-77 |
| Total Points | 165 | 160 |
| Winners | 48 | 37 |
| %Winners | 54% | 45% |
Both Bublik and Hijikata played 1 match. At the moment, Alexander Bublik conceded 1 set while Rinky Hijikata hasn’t conceded a set so far. Bublik has played 1 set more than Hijikata (3 vs 2). Therefore, Bublik played 1 game more than Hijikata. Alexander scored 48 winners (54% of the total points). On the other side, The Australian made 37 winners (45%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Bublik | Hijikata |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 19 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 19 | 3 |
| 1st in | 57/80 | 51/85 |
| %1st in | 71% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 48/57 | 37/51 |
| %1st pts | 84% | 73% |
| 2nd pts | 10/23 | 20/34 |
| %2nd pts | 43% | 59% |
Bublik struck 19 aces . Hijikata fired 3 aces . Bublik won 84% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 43% of the points. On the other side, Hijikata won 73% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Bublik | Hijikata |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 2 | 1 |
| Converted | 2/6 | 1/4 |
| % Converted | 33% | 25% |
| Conceded | 2 | 4 |
| Saved | 1 | 3 |
| % Saved | 50% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 |
Alexander broke his opponent twice with a 33% conversion rate. Bublik conceded his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Hijikata broke his opponent once with a 25% conversion rate. Rinky conceded his serve once and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.
| Bublik | |||
| R1 Vukic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 3-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 27 | |
| pts | 89-76 | 89-76 | |
| Total points | 165 | 165 | |
| Winners | 48 | 48 | |
| %Winners | 54% | 54% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 19 | 19 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 57/80 | 57/80 | |
| % 1st in | 71% | 71% | |
| 1st pts | 48/57 | 48/57 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 84% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/23 | 10/23 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | 43% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/6 | 2/6 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Hijikata | |||
| R1 Holt |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-60 7-63 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 26 | |
| pts | 83-77 | 83-77 | |
| Total points | 160 | 160 | |
| Winners | 37 | 37 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 51/85 | 51/85 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 37/51 | 37/51 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/34 | 20/34 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 59% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 1 | 1 | |
| Converted | 1/4 | 1/4 | |
| Converted % | 25% | 25% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWLWLWW
LWWWLLLWLL Tennis Scores in Phoenix Challenger
- Joao FonsecaFonseca – Pavel KotovKotov (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Corentin MoutetMoutet – Nikoloz BasilashviliBasilashvili (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Rinky HijikataHijikata – Brandon HoltHolt (7-60 7-63) – See score progression
- Alexander BublikBublik – Aleksandar VukicVukic (6-3 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Hugo GastonGaston – Adam WaltonWalton (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Kei NishikoriNishikori – Luca NardiNardi (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Jacob FearnleyFearnley – James DuckworthDuckworth (7-63 6-3) – See score progression
- Eliot SpizzirriSpizzirri – Li TuTu (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Reilly OpelkaOpelka – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (4-6 7-5 7-5) – See score progression
- Mikhail KukushkinKukushkin – Yasutaka UchiyamaUchiyama (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Roman SafiullinSafiullin – Christopher EubanksEubanks (7-62 6-1) – See score progression
- Colton SmithSmith – Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko (6-1 7-5) – See score progression
- Kei NishikoriNishikori – Luca NardiNardi (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Kei NishikoriNishikori – Mikhail KukushkinKukushkin (10-0) – H2H and prediction
- Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero – Corentin MoutetMoutet (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Reilly OpelkaOpelka – Hugo GastonGaston (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Nuno BorgesBorges – Jacob FearnleyFearnley (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Rinky HijikataHijikata – Alexander BublikBublik (0-0) – H2H and prediction
