Jelle Sels and Adrien Gobat will play each other in the 2nd round of the Cherbourg Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 11:00 am on JEAN JAURES. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jelle Sels who should win in 3 sets.
Jelle Sels -> 1.65
Adrien Gobat -> 2.13
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Prediction and head to head Jelle Sels vs. Adrien Gobat
There is no head to head record between Jelle Sels and Adrien Gobat since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Jelle Sels
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 41-34 | 5-6 | 21-18 | 15-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 48-30 | 13-6 | 28-16 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 11-27 | 5-4 | 3-14 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 48-33 | 0-0 | 26-17 | 22-15 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 37-31 | 2-3 | 14-13 | 20-14 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
Ranked no. 367, the Dutch got to the 2nd round after beating Antoine Escoffier 6-4 6-4.
In the 1st round, Sels had a good straight sets win against Escoffier (6-4 6-4). During the match, Sels scored 72 points vs Escoffier’s 62. Jelle was exceptionally aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Talking about the service games, Sels scored just 1 ace in the encounter and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Jelle Sels was pretty efficient on serve to win 72% (26/36) of his 1st serve and 58% (14/24) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Jelle broke Escoffier 4 times after converting 36% of his break points (4/11).
Sels has positive win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 56% of his matches (312-242). 1-2 on indoor hard courts in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Sels has an aggregate 70-66 win-loss record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
The Dutch has a composed 4-7 win-loss record in 2025, 1-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Cherbourg Challenger
Jelle has never competed in this tournament before.
Adrien Gobat
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 36-25 | 6-7 | 18-9 | 9-7 | 0-0 | 3-2 |
| 2024 | 14-14 | 9-7 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| 2023 | 47-24 | 34-12 | 4-3 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 |
| 2022 | 16-10 | 2-2 | 11-6 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 8-11 | 4-2 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 889, Adrien reached the 2nd round after defeating Evgeny Karlovskiy 4-6 6-3 6-4, Florian Broska 6-3 3-6 6-4 and Paul Jubb 6-3 6-4.
In the 1st round, The French player had a good straight sets win against Jubb (6-3 6-4). During the match Gobat scored 67 points vs Jubb’s 54. The French player was exceptionally aggressive to blast 30 winners.
About the serving games, Gobat blasted 6 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Adrien Gobat lost the serve once and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Gobat put 59% of his first serves in, winning 79% (30/38) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (13/26) on the 2nd serve. The French player broke Jubb 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).
Adrien has a compiled 20-8 win-loss record in 2025, 7-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Cherbourg Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2024. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sels | Gobat |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 20 | 76 |
| Pts | 72-62 | 250-228 |
| Total Points | 134 | 478 |
| Winners | 26 | 105 |
| %Winners | 36% | 42% |
Sels played 1 match while Gobat competed in 3 matches. Gobat started his run from the qualifications while Sels had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Adrien Gobat lost 2 sets while Jelle Sels hasn’t dropped a set so far. Sels has played 6 set(s) less than Gobat (2 vs 8). Therefore, Sels played 56 games less than Gobat. Jelle scored 26 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, Gobat bagged 105 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sels | Gobat |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 1 | 13 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 4.3 |
| 1st in | 36/60 | 150/258 |
| %1st in | 60% | 58% |
| 1st pts | 26/36 | 105/150 |
| %1st pts | 72% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 14/24 | 61/108 |
| %2nd pts | 58% | 56% |
Sels struck 1 ace . Gobat also fired 13 aces (4.3 per match). Sels won 72% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Gobat won 70% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sels | Gobat |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 9 |
| Converted | 4/11 | 9/22 |
| % Converted | 36% | 41% |
| Conceded | 7 | 21 |
| Saved | 5 | 16 |
| % Saved | 71% | 76% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 5 |
Sels broke his opponent 4 times with a 36% conversion rate. The Dutch conceded his serve twice and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded. Gobat broke his opponents 9 times with a 41% conversion rate. Gobat conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 76% of the break points that he conceded.
| Sels | |||
| R1 Escoffier | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
| pts | 72-62 | 72-62 | |
| Total points | 134 | 134 | |
| Winners | 26 | 26 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 36/60 | 36/60 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 26/36 | 26/36 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/24 | 14/24 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/11 | 4/11 | |
| Converted % | 36% | 36% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 | |
| Saved | 5/7 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 71% | 71% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Gobat | |||||
| Q1 Karlovskiy | Q3 Broska | R1 Jubb | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-3 6-4 | 6-3 3-6 6-4 | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 28 | 19 | 76 | |
| pts | 91-88 | 92-86 | 67-54 | 250-228 | |
| Total points | 179 | 178 | 121 | 478 | |
| Winners | 32 | 43 | 30 | 105 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 47% | 45% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 5 | 2 | 6 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 50/92 | 62/102 | 38/64 | 150/258 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 61% | 59% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 32/50 | 43/62 | 30/38 | 105/150 | |
| % 1st pts | 64% | 69% | 79% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 27/42 | 21/40 | 13/26 | 61/108 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 53% | 50% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | |
| Converted | 3/10 | 3/4 | 3/8 | 9/22 | |
| Converted % | 30% | 75% | 38% | 41% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 11 | 5 | 21 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 9/11 | 4/5 | 16 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 82% | 80% | 222% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | |
Tennis Scores in Cherbourg Challenger
- Yuta ShimizuShimizu – Maxime JanvierJanvier (6-2 7-66) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori – Gauthier OnclinOnclin (6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Patrick ZahrajZahraj – Mae MaligeMalige (4-6 6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Pierre-Hugues HerbertHerbert – Arthur BouquierBouquier (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jelle SelsSels – Adrien GobatGobat (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Matteo MartineauMartineau – Kenny de Schepperde Schepper (2-3) – H2H and prediction