Holger Rune and Tallon Griekspoor will play each other in the quarter of the BNP Paribas Open for the 3rd time in their career. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Holger Rune who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Holger Rune is the pick to win this match.
Holger Rune -> 1.533
Tallon Griekspoor -> 2.5
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Prediction and head to head Holger Rune vs. Tallon Griekspoor
This will be the 3rd time that Holger Rune and Tallon Griekspoor square off. The head to head is 2-0 for Griekspoor (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Griekspoor won 6-4 4-6 6-3 in the 3rd round in Madrid back in 2024.
Highlights Tallon Griekspoor vs Holger Rune – Madrid 28-April-2024
Holger Rune
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 9-6 | 7-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 45-24 | 21-12 | 11-6 | 10-4 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 44-24 | 10-10 | 16-4 | 11-8 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-27 | 8-9 | 21-11 | 21-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 73-29 | 11-5 | 41-17 | 21-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 13, Holger reached the quarter after beating Unknown Player bye, Corentin Moutet 6-2 6-4, Ugo Humbert 5-7 6-4 7-5 and Stefanos Tsitsipas 6-4 6-4.
In the 4th round, The Dane had a good straight sets win against Tsitsipas (6-4 6-4). During the match, Rune scored 67 points vs Tsitsipas’s 52. Holger was quite aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Talking about the service games, Rune blasted 3 aces and he was very solid in conceding no double faults. Overall, Holger Rune was quite effective on serve to win 73% (30/41) of his 1st serve and 65% (11/17) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Holger broke Tsitsipas 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Rune has dropped 2 set in this competition to conquer 54% of the points he played.
Rune has a solid record in the last 8 years having won 66% of his matches (260-136). 7-3 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Rune has an overall58-45 win-loss record in the last 8 years on hard.
Rune has an overall 9-6 win-loss record in 2025, 7-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Tallon Griekspoor
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 11-5 | 8-3 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 33-30 | 10-11 | 8-8 | 11-8 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 36-24 | 14-10 | 3-5 | 12-7 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 28-27 | 5-6 | 12-6 | 4-11 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 59-17 | 11-3 | 36-10 | 9-3 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 43, the Dutch reached the quarter after beating Miomir Kecmanovic 6-7(5) 6-4 6-3, Alexander Zverev 4-6 7-6(5) 7-6(4), Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 7-6(3) 6-3 and Yosuke Watanuki 7-6(4) 6-1.
In the 4th round, The Dutch had a good straight sets win against Watanuki (7-64 6-1). During the match Griekspoor scored 69 points vs Watanuki’s 46. Tallon was extremely aggressive to blast 34 winners.
About the serving games, Griekspoor made 3 aces and he was pretty steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Tallon Griekspoor was pretty efficient on serve to win 81% (34/42) of his 1st serve and 68% (13/19) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Griekspoor broke Watanuki twice after converting 50% of his break points (2/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Dutch has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
Tallon’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in Dubai.
The Dutch has an aggregate 11-5 win-loss record in 2025, 8-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2023 and 2024. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rune | Griekspoor |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 72 | 110 |
| Pts | 243-203 | 352-311 |
| Total Points | 446 | 663 |
| Winners | 96 | 169 |
| %Winners | 40% | 48% |
Rune played 3 matches while Griekspoor competed in 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Holger Rune surrendered 1 set, while Tallon Griekspoor conceded 2 sets. Rune has played 3 set(s) less than Griekspoor (7 vs 10). Therefore, Rune played 38 games less than Griekspoor. Rune scored 96 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Griekspoor managed to score 169 winners (48%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rune | Griekspoor |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 11 | 35 |
| Avg per match | 3.7 | 8.8 |
| 1st in | 131/218 | 223/355 |
| %1st in | 60% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 96/131 | 169/223 |
| %1st pts | 73% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 48/87 | 76/132 |
| %2nd pts | 55% | 58% |
Rune scored 11 aces (3.7 per match). Griekspoor fired 35 aces (8.8 per match). Rune won 73% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Griekspoor won 76% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rune | Griekspoor |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 12 | 11 |
| Converted | 12/26 | 11/23 |
| % Converted | 46% | 48% |
| Conceded | 21 | 20 |
| Saved | 15 | 14 |
| % Saved | 71% | 70% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 6 |
Holger broke his opponents 12 times with a 46% conversion rate. Rune dropped his serve 6 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded. The Dutch broke his opponents 11 times with a 48% conversion rate. Tallon conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded.
| Rune | ||||||||
| R2 Moutet |
R2 Moutet |
R3 Humbert |
R3 Humbert |
R4 Tsitsipas |
R4 Tsitsipas |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-4 | 6-2 6-4 | 5-7 6-4 7-5 | 5-7 6-4 7-5 | 6-4 6-4 | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 14 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | 34 | 34 | 20 | 20 | 144 | |
| pts | 65-48 | 65-48 | 111-103 | 111-103 | 67-52 | 67-52 | 486-406 | |
| Total points | 113 | 113 | 214 | 214 | 119 | 119 | 892 | |
| Winners | 24 | 24 | 42 | 42 | 30 | 30 | 192 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 37% | 38% | 38% | 45% | 45% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||||||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 22 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 20 | |
| 1st in | 34/50 | 34/50 | 56/110 | 56/110 | 41/58 | 41/58 | 262/436 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 68% | 51% | 51% | 71% | 71% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 24/34 | 24/34 | 42/56 | 42/56 | 30/41 | 30/41 | 192/262 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 71% | 75% | 75% | 73% | 73% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/16 | 9/16 | 28/54 | 28/54 | 11/17 | 11/17 | 96/174 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 56% | 52% | 52% | 65% | 65% | 55% | |
| Breaks | ||||||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 24 | |
| Converted | 5/11 | 5/11 | 4/10 | 4/10 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 24/52 | |
| Converted % | 45% | 45% | 40% | 40% | 60% | 60% | 46% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 42 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 3/5 | 7/10 | 7/10 | 5/6 | 5/6 | 30 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 60% | 70% | 70% | 83% | 83% | 71% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | |
| Griekspoor | ||||||||
| R1 Kecmanovic |
R2 Zverev |
R3 Mpetshi |
R4 Watanuki |
Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-75 6-4 6-3 | 4-6 7-65 7-64 | 7-63 6-3 | 7-64 6-1 | ||||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | |||
| Tot Games | 32 | 36 | 22 | 20 | 110 | |||
| pts | 100-92 | 120-121 | 63-52 | 69-46 | 352-311 | |||
| Total points | 192 | 241 | 115 | 115 | 663 | |||
| Winners | 46 | 63 | 26 | 34 | 169 | |||
| %Winners | 46% | 53% | 41% | 49% | 48% | |||
| SERVE | ||||||||
| Aces | 12 | 10 | 10 | 3 | 35 | |||
| Double Faults | 6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 16 | |||
| 1st in | 59/99 | 90/135 | 32/60 | 42/61 | 223/355 | |||
| % 1st in | 60% | 67% | 53% | 69% | 63% | |||
| 1st pts | 46/59 | 63/90 | 26/32 | 34/42 | 169/223 | |||
| % 1st pts | 78% | 70% | 81% | 81% | 76% | |||
| 2nd pts | 23/40 | 19/45 | 21/28 | 13/19 | 76/132 | |||
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 42% | 75% | 68% | 58% | |||
| Breaks | ||||||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | |||
| Converted | 3/5 | 4/9 | 2/5 | 2/4 | 11/23 | |||
| Converted % | 60% | 44% | 40% | 50% | 48% | |||
| Conceded | 3 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 20 | |||
| Saved | 3/3 | 9/14 | 1/2 | 1/1 | 14 | |||
| Saved % | 100% | 64% | 50% | 100% | 52% | |||
| Times Broken | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | |||
Head 2 Head
WWWLWLLWWL
WWWWLWWWLW Tennis Scores in Indian Wells
- Fernando Romboli/John-Patrick SmithRomboli/John-Patrick Smith – Yuki Bhambri/Andre GoranssonBhambri/Andre Goransson (7-65 3-6 10-8) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Marcelo Arevalo/Mate PavicArevalo/Mate Pavic – Matteo Berrettini/Lorenzo SonegoBerrettini/Lorenzo Sonego (7-66 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Christian Harrison/Evan KingHarrison/Evan King – Maximo Gonzalez/Andres MolteniGonzalez/Andres Molteni (7-64 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (1-1) – H2H and prediction
