Iga Swiatek and Qinwen Zheng will face off in the quarter of the BNP Paribas Open for the 8th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 11:00 am on STADIUM 1. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Iga Swiatek who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Iga Swiatek is the pick to win this match.
Iga Swiatek -> 1.25
Qinwen Zheng -> 3.94
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Prediction and head to head Iga Swiatek vs. Qinwen Zheng
This will be the 8th time that Iga Swiatek and Qinwen Zheng fight against each other. The head to head is 6-1 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), 4-0 on hard.
The last time that they played, Zheng won 6-2 7-5 in the semifinal in Paris back in 2024.
Iga Swiatek
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 34-10 | 21-6 | 11-4 | 0-0 | 2-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 64-9 | 29-5 | 26-2 | 7-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 68-11 | 42-8 | 19-2 | 0-0 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 67-9 | 42-6 | 18-1 | 5-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-15 | 18-10 | 12-2 | 2-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 2, Iga reached the quarter after defeating Unknown Player bye, Caroline Garcia 6-2 6-0, Dayana Yastremska 6-0 6-2 and Karolina Muchova 6-1 6-1.
In the 4th round, The Pole had a good straight sets win against Muchova (6-1 6-1). During the match, Swiatek scored 50 points vs Muchova’s 26. Iga was pretty aggressive to blast 21 winners.
Talking about the service games, Swiatek wasn’t able to score even 1 ace in the course of the match and she committed only 1 double fault. Iga Swiatek was very effective on serve to win 88% (21/24) of her 1st serve and 54% (7/13) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Iga broke Muchova 5 times after converting 45% of her break points (5/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Pole hasn’t lost yet a set in this competition to conquer 64% of the points she played.
Swiatek has a superlative match record in the last 10 years having won 82% of her matches (366-80). 17-4 on hard in 2025. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this event, Swiatek has a compiled 179-46 match record in the last years on hard.
The Pole’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in Australia.
Iga has an overall 17-4 win-loss record in 2025, 17-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Qinwen Zheng
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 19-10 | 7-5 | 10-4 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 52-18 | 31-10 | 17-4 | 3-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-19 | 23-11 | 11-4 | 3-1 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-19 | 27-12 | 10-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 34-11 | 7-1 | 16-6 | 11-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 9, the Chinese reached the quarter after defeating Unknown Player bye, Victoria Azarenka 6-3 6-4, Lulu Sun 6-4 7-5 and Marta Kostyuk 6-3 6-2.
In the 4th round, The Chinese had a good straight sets win against Kostyuk (6-3 6-2). During the match Zheng scored 64 points vs Kostyuk’s 47. The Chinese was exceptionally aggressive to blast 21 winners.
Talking about serving, Zheng blasted 3 aces and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Qinwen Zheng lost the serve twice and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Zheng put 56% of her first serves in, winning 68% (21/31) of the points behind her 1st serve and 54% (13/24) on the 2nd serve. Qinwen broke Kostyuk 5 times after converting 56% of her break points (5/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Qinwen hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 56% of the points she played.
The Chinese has a compiled 4-3 win-loss record in 2025, 4-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2022 and 2024. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Swiatek | Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 42 | 58 |
| Pts | 165-91 | 204-161 |
| Total Points | 256 | 365 |
| Winners | 56 | 73 |
| %Winners | 34% | 36% |
Both Swiatek and Zheng played 3 matches. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Swiatek and Zheng have played the same amount of sets 6. However, Swiatek played 16 games less than Zheng. The Pole scored 56 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, Qinwen managed to score 73 winners (36%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Swiatek | Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 11 |
| Avg per match | 1.3 | 3.7 |
| 1st in | 72/123 | 105/184 |
| %1st in | 59% | 57% |
| 1st pts | 56/72 | 73/105 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 30/51 | 38/79 |
| %2nd pts | 59% | 48% |
Swiatek scored 4 aces (1.3 per match). Zheng bagged 11 aces (3.7 per match). Swiatek won 78% points on her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Zheng won 70% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 48% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Swiatek | Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 16 | 16 |
| Converted | 16/31 | 16/32 |
| % Converted | 52% | 50% |
| Conceded | 4 | 15 |
| Saved | 3 | 6 |
| % Saved | 75% | 40% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 9 |
Iga broke her opponents 16 times with a 52% conversion rate. The Pole conceded her serve once and she saved 75% of the break points that she conceded. The Chinese broke her opponents 16 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Chinese conceded her serve 9 times and she saved 40% of the break points that she conceded.
| Swiatek | |||||
| R2 Garcia |
R3 Yastremska |
R4 Muchova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-0 | 6-0 6-2 | 6-1 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 14 | 14 | 14 | 42 | |
| pts | 57-31 | 58-34 | 50-26 | 165-91 | |
| Total points | 88 | 92 | 76 | 256 | |
| Winners | 19 | 16 | 21 | 56 | |
| %Winners | 33% | 28% | 42% | 34% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 28/44 | 20/42 | 24/37 | 72/123 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 48% | 65% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 19/28 | 16/20 | 21/24 | 56/72 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 80% | 88% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/16 | 14/22 | 7/13 | 30/51 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 64% | 54% | 59% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 6 | 5 | 5 | 16 | |
| Converted | 6/9 | 5/11 | 5/11 | 16/31 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 45% | 45% | 52% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 75% | – | – | 25% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| Zheng | |||||
| R2 Azarenka |
R3 Sun |
R4 Kostyuk |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 6-4 7-5 | 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 22 | 17 | 58 | |
| pts | 64-48 | 76-66 | 64-47 | 204-161 | |
| Total points | 112 | 142 | 111 | 365 | |
| Winners | 24 | 28 | 21 | 73 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 37% | 33% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | 3 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 5 | 1 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 34/59 | 40/70 | 31/55 | 105/184 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 57% | 56% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 24/34 | 28/40 | 21/31 | 73/105 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 70% | 68% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/25 | 12/30 | 13/24 | 38/79 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 40% | 54% | 48% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 6 | 5 | 16 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 6/14 | 5/9 | 16/32 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 43% | 56% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 8 | 4 | 15 | |
| Saved | 0/3 | 4/8 | 2/4 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 50% | 50% | 33% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 4 | 2 | 9 | |
Head 2 Head
WWLWWWWWLW
LWWLWWWWLW Tennis Scores in Indian Wells
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- Tereza Mihalikova/Olivia NichollsMihalikova/Olivia Nicholls – Anna Kalinskaya/Caty McNallyKalinskaya/Caty McNally (6-4 7-61) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Thomas FancuttFancutt – Maxime ChazalChazal (w/o) – Stats, scores, rankings
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- Albert Alcaraz IvorraAlcaraz Ivorra – Alexandar LazarovLazarov (6-4 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Belinda BencicBencic – Madison KeysKeys (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (1-6) – H2H and prediction
