[UPDATED R4]. Prediction, H2H of Madison Keys’s draw vs Vekic, Gauff, Sabalenka, Swiatek to win the Indian Wells

Indian Wells draw preview with H2H - Madison Keys may need to best Donna Vekic, Cori Gauff, Aryna Sabalenka, Iga Swiatek to conquer the event in the BNP Paribas Open.

Madison Keys Stats info

Madison Keys is 4 wins away to conquer the title in Indian Wells. The American has defeated Anastasia Potapova 6-3 6-0 and Elise Mertens 6-2 6-78 6-4 to reach the 4th round where she will face Donna Vekic.

Draw prediction with head to head records

This is Madison Keys’s projected draw alongsideherlikely opponents in BNP Paribas Open. Madison has a unfavourable record (9-11) with the presumable opponents.

R1 – Bye
R2 – Anastasia Potapova (34) – 6-3 6-0
R3 – Elise Mertens (28) – 6-2 6-78 6-4
R4 – Donna Vekic (22) – H2H 2-1
1/4 – Cori Gauff (3) – H2H 3-2
or Belinda Bencic (58) – H2H 2-2
1/2 – Aryna Sabalenka (1) – H2H 2-4
or Jasmine Paolini (6) – H2H 1-1
Fin – Iga Swiatek (2) – H2H 2-4
or Qinwen Zheng (9) – H2H 1-0
Keys
Latest Updated
Draw

See Updated Draw

R4 – Donna Vekic’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 2-1 for Madison Keys

5 - 8win/loss in 2025

Rank
19
High
17
LWWLLLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 5-8 5-8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 32-20 12-10 8-5 2-1 10-4 0-0
2023 29-20 16-9 4-5 2-3 7-3 0-0
2022 28-20 10-9 9-6 2-1 7-4 0-0
2021 19-16 10-12 0-1 5-0 4-3 0-0
2020 8-11 6-6 1-3 1-2 0-0 0-0
2019 37-24 19-15 7-3 7-3 4-3 0-0
2018 34-25 13-11 8-5 6-5 7-4 0-0

Donna Vekic has a 5-7 record in 2025, she played all matches on hard. During the previous 15 years, the Croatian has a 226-158 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Vekic won 5 of her last 10 matches.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open Donna surrendered to Caroline Wozniacki in the 2nd round 7-6(5) 6-3.

H2H Madison Keys vs. Donna Vekic

This would be the 4th time that Madison Keys and Donna Vekic clash against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Keys (see full H2H stats), but Vekic leads 1-0 on hard in major tournaments.

1/4 – Cori Gauff’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 3-2 for Madison Keys

11 - 4win/loss in 2025

Rank
3
High
2
LWWLLLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 11-4 11-4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 54-18 31-10 14-5 4-1 5-2 0-0
2023 51-16 40-9 7-4 0-0 4-3 0-0
2022 38-23 23-16 10-4 0-1 5-2 0-0
2021 36-16 16-10 16-4 0-0 4-2 0-0
2020 12-8 7-5 2-2 3-1 0-0 0-0
2019 29-15 9-6 7-5 7-3 6-1 0-0
2018 9-4 4-2 5-2 0-0 0-0 0-0

Cori Gauff has a 11-3 win-loss record in 2025, she played all matches on hard. Regarding the last 9 years, the American has a 141-61 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Cori won 7 of her last 10 matches.

Her most significant result of this year was winning the title in Australia where she overcame Iga Swiatek in the final 6-4 6-4.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open Gauff was defeated by Maria Sakkari in the semifinal 6-4 6-7(5) 6-2.

H2H Madison Keys vs. Cori Gauff

This contest would be 6th time that Madison Keys and Cori Gauff play each other. The head to head is 3-2 for Keys (see full H2H stats), but Gauff leads 2-1 on hard in major tournaments.

On the other hand, Madison Keys could take on Belinda Bencic. Their head to head record is 2-2.

1/2 – Aryna Sabalenka’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 4-2 for Aryna Sabalenka

17 - 4win/loss in 2025

Rank
1
High
1
LWWWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 17-4 17-4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 56-14 38-7 15-4 2-2 1-1 0-0
2023 55-14 35-9 14-3 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 33-22 20-15 9-5 0-0 4-2 0-0
2021 45-18 24-11 13-3 1-1 7-3 0-0
2020 29-10 14-7 6-3 9-0 0-0 0-0
2019 39-22 28-12 5-5 4-1 2-4 0-0
2018 51-25 34-13 7-6 3-2 7-4 0-0

Aryna Sabalenka has a 14-3 win-loss record in 2025, she played all matches on hard. In the previous 10 years, the Belarussian has a 241-95 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Aryna won 7 of her last 10 matches.

Her most significant achievement of the current season was conquering the competition in Brisbane where she overcame Polina Kudermetova in the final 4-6 6-3 6-2.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open the Belarussian surrendered to Emma Navarro in the 4th round 6-3 3-6 6-2.

H2H Madison Keys vs. Aryna Sabalenka

This contest would be 7th time that Madison Keys and Aryna Sabalenka square off. The head to head is 4-2 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), 3-1 on hard in major tournaments.

On the other hand, Madison Keys may play Jasmine Paolini. Their head to head is 1-1.

Final – Iga Swiatek’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 4-2 for Iga Swiatek

18 - 5win/loss in 2025

Rank
2
High
1
LWWWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 18-5 18-5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 64-9 29-5 26-2 7-1 2-1 0-0
2023 68-11 42-8 19-2 0-0 7-1 0-0
2022 67-9 42-6 18-1 5-1 2-1 0-0
2021 36-15 18-10 12-2 2-1 4-2 0-0
2020 16-5 6-4 7-1 3-0 0-0 0-0
2019 34-17 17-8 10-3 4-3 3-3 0-0
2018 43-6 8-1 34-5 1-0 0-0 0-0

Iga Swiatek has a 17-4 record in 2025, she played all matches on hard. Regarding the previous 10 years, the Pole has a 179-46 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The Pole won 8 of her last 10 matches.

Swiatek’s best result of this season was getting to the final Australia.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open the Pole won the event after beating Maria Sakkari 6-4 6-0.

H2H Madison Keys vs. Iga Swiatek

This match would represent the 7th time that Madison Keys and Iga Swiatek face off. The head to head is 4-2 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), but Keys leads 2-1 on hard in major tournaments.

Notwithstanding, Madison Keys may come up against Qinwen Zheng. Their head to head record is 1-0 for Madison Keys.