Liudmila Samsonova is 4 wins away to conquer the title in Indian Wells. Samsonova has defeated Caty McNally 7-68 6-4 and Daria Kasatkina 2-6 6-3 6-2 to reach the 4th round where she will face Jasmine Paolini.

Draw prediction with head to head records

This is Liudmila Samsonova’s projected draw together withherlikely opponents in BNP Paribas Open. The Russian has a losing record (4-9) against the likely opponents.

R1 – Bye
R2 – Caty McNally (491) – 7-68 6-4
R3 – Daria Kasatkina (12) – 2-6 6-3 6-2
R4 – Jasmine Paolini (6) – H2H 2-0
1/4 – Aryna Sabalenka (1) – H2H 2-2
or Sonay Kartal (83) – H2H 0-0
1/2 – Cori Gauff (3) – H2H 0-3
or Madison Keys (5) – H2H 1-5
Fin – Iga Swiatek (2) – H2H 0-4
or Qinwen Zheng (9) – H2H 3-2
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Draw

R4 – Jasmine Paolini’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 2-0 for Liudmila Samsonova

46 - 21win/loss in 2025

Rank
8
High
4
LLLLWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 46-21 27-12 13-3 3-3 3-3 0-0
2024 42-21 19-10 12-5 3-4 8-2 0-0
2023 43-30 20-16 16-8 5-3 2-3 0-0
2022 30-25 14-11 10-10 6-3 0-1 0-0
2021 34-24 17-13 12-7 5-3 0-1 0-0
2020 7-15 1-8 4-5 2-2 0-0 0-0
2019 48-29 12-8 32-14 4-6 0-1 0-0
2018 28-33 9-9 18-18 1-3 0-3 0-0

Jasmine Paolini has a 8-4 win-loss record in 2025, she played all matches on hard. Regarding the last 13 years, the Italian has a 135-101 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Paolini won 6 of her last 10 matches.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open Paolini was overcome by Anastasia Potapova in the 4th round 7-5 0-6 6-3.

H2H Liudmila Samsonova vs. Jasmine Paolini

This contest would be 3rd time that Liudmila Samsonova and Jasmine Paolini face off. The head to head is 2-0 for Samsonova (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard in major tournaments.

1/4 – Aryna Sabalenka’s rankings and performance.

Head to head record 2-2

63 - 12win/loss in 2025

Rank
1
High
1
LWWWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 63-12 35-6 17-3 4-1 7-2 0-0
2024 56-14 38-7 15-4 2-2 1-1 0-0
2023 55-14 35-9 14-3 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 33-22 20-15 9-5 0-0 4-2 0-0
2021 45-18 24-11 13-3 1-1 7-3 0-0
2020 29-10 14-7 6-3 9-0 0-0 0-0
2019 39-22 28-12 5-5 4-1 2-4 0-0
2018 51-25 34-13 7-6 3-2 7-4 0-0

Aryna Sabalenka has a 14-3 record in 2025, she played all matches on hard. As for the previous 10 years, the Belarussian has a 241-95 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Aryna won 7 of her last 10 matches.

Her most significant result of this year was winning the title in Brisbane where she overcame Polina Kudermetova in the final 4-6 6-3 6-2.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open Sabalenka was overcome by Emma Navarro in the 4th round 6-3 3-6 6-2.

H2H Liudmila Samsonova vs. Aryna Sabalenka

This contest would be 5th time that Liudmila Samsonova and Aryna Sabalenka fight against each other. The head to head is 2-2 for Samsonova and Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), but they are 2-2 on hard in major tournaments.

Alternatively, Liudmila Samsonova could fight against Sonay Kartal. Their H2H is 0-0.

1/2 – Cori Gauff’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 3-0 for Cori Gauff

48 - 16win/loss in 2025

Rank
3
High
2
LWLWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 48-16 29-9 18-3 1-2 0-2 0-0
2024 54-18 31-10 14-5 4-1 5-2 0-0
2023 51-16 40-9 7-4 0-0 4-3 0-0
2022 38-23 23-16 10-4 0-1 5-2 0-0
2021 36-16 16-10 16-4 0-0 4-2 0-0
2020 12-8 7-5 2-2 3-1 0-0 0-0
2019 29-15 9-6 7-5 7-3 6-1 0-0
2018 9-4 4-2 5-2 0-0 0-0 0-0

Cori Gauff has a 11-3 win-loss record in 2025, she played all matches on hard. During the last 9 years, Gauff has a 141-61 record on hard (Click here

to see full career record). Gauff won 7 of her last 10 matches.

Her best achievement of the year was winning the tournament in Australia where she overcame Iga Swiatek in the final 6-4 6-4.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open the American was overcome by Maria Sakkari in the semifinal 6-4 6-7(5) 6-2.

H2H Liudmila Samsonova vs. Cori Gauff

This would be the 4th time that Liudmila Samsonova and Cori Gauff play each other. The head to head is 3-0 for Gauff (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard in major tournaments.

Nonetheless, Liudmila Samsonova may square off with Madison Keys. Their H2H is 5-1 for Madison Keys.

Final – Iga Swiatek’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 4-0 for Iga Swiatek

64 - 17win/loss in 2025

Rank
2
High
1
WWLLWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 64-17 40-10 11-4 3-2 10-1 0-0
2024 64-9 29-5 26-2 7-1 2-1 0-0
2023 68-11 42-8 19-2 0-0 7-1 0-0
2022 67-9 42-6 18-1 5-1 2-1 0-0
2021 36-15 18-10 12-2 2-1 4-2 0-0
2020 16-5 6-4 7-1 3-0 0-0 0-0
2019 34-17 17-8 10-3 4-3 3-3 0-0
2018 43-6 8-1 34-5 1-0 0-0 0-0

Iga Swiatek has a 17-4 win-loss record in 2025, she played all matches on hard. Talking about the last 10 years, the Pole has a 179-46 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Iga won 8 of her last 10 matches.

The Pole’s most significant result of the year was getting to the final Australia.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open the Pole conquered the event after beating Maria Sakkari 6-4 6-0.

H2H Liudmila Samsonova vs. Iga Swiatek

This match would represent the 5th time that Liudmila Samsonova and Iga Swiatek play each other. The head to head is 4-0 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), 3-0 on hard in major tournaments.

Notwithstanding, Liudmila Samsonova may face Qinwen Zheng. Their H2H is 3-2 for Liudmila Samsonova.