[UPDATED R4]. Prediction, H2H of Aryna Sabalenka’s draw vs Kartal, Paolini, Gauff, Swiatek to win the Indian Wells

Indian Wells draw preview with H2H - Aryna Sabalenka may need to defeat Sonay Kartal, Jasmine Paolini, Cori Gauff, Iga Swiatek to conquer the event in the BNP Paribas Open.

Aryna Sabalenka Stats info

Aryna Sabalenka is 4 wins away to conquer the title in Indian Wells. The Belarussian has defeated Mccartney Kessler 7-64 6-3 and Lucia Bronzetti 6-1 6-2 to reach the 4th round where she will face Sonay Kartal.

Draw prediction with head to head records

This is Aryna Sabalenka’s projected draw alongsideherpresumable opponents in BNP Paribas Open. Sabalenka has a negative record (11-15) with the projected opponents.

R1 – Bye
R2 – Mccartney Kessler (48) – 7-64 6-3
R3 – Lucia Bronzetti (62) – 6-1 6-2
R4 – Sonay Kartal (83) – H2H 0-0
1/4 – Jasmine Paolini (6) – H2H 3-2
or Liudmila Samsonova (25) – H2H 2-2
1/2 – Cori Gauff (3) – H2H 4-5
or Madison Keys (5) – H2H 4-2
Fin – Iga Swiatek (2) – H2H 4-8
or Qinwen Zheng (9) – H2H 5-0
Sabalenka
Latest Updated
Draw

See Updated Draw

R4 – Sonay Kartal’s rankings and performance.

Head to head record 0-0

24 - 20win/loss in 2025

Rank
69
High
44
LWWWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 24-20 12-10 6-5 1-1 5-4 0-0
2024 53-9 30-3 0-0 15-2 8-4 0-0
2023 32-18 7-3 11-6 8-4 6-5 0-0
2022 34-12 10-3 5-1 15-4 4-4 0-0
2021 15-1 5-0 10-1 0-0 0-0 0-0
2020 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2019 7-4 2-2 5-2 0-0 0-0 0-0

Sonay Kartal has a 7-4 record in 2025, she played all matches on hard. In the course of the previous 7 years, Sonay has a 61-15 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The Brit won 7 of her last 10 matches.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open Kartal didn’t compete in this event.

H2H Aryna Sabalenka vs. Sonay Kartal

There is no head to head record between Aryna Sabalenka and Sonay Kartal since this would be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.

1/4 – Jasmine Paolini’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 3-2 for Aryna Sabalenka

46 - 21win/loss in 2025

Rank
8
High
4
LLLLWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 46-21 27-12 13-3 3-3 3-3 0-0
2024 42-21 19-10 12-5 3-4 8-2 0-0
2023 43-30 20-16 16-8 5-3 2-3 0-0
2022 30-25 14-11 10-10 6-3 0-1 0-0
2021 34-24 17-13 12-7 5-3 0-1 0-0
2020 7-15 1-8 4-5 2-2 0-0 0-0
2019 48-29 12-8 32-14 4-6 0-1 0-0
2018 28-33 9-9 18-18 1-3 0-3 0-0

Jasmine Paolini has a 8-4 win-loss record in 2025, she played all matches on hard. In the course of the previous 13 years, Jasmine has a 135-101 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Jasmine won 6 of her last 10 matches.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open Paolini lost to Anastasia Potapova in the 4th round 7-5 0-6 6-3.

H2H Aryna Sabalenka vs. Jasmine Paolini

This contest would be 6th time that Aryna Sabalenka and Jasmine Paolini play each other. The head to head is 3-2 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), but they are 1-1 on hard in major tournaments.

Nevertheless, Aryna Sabalenka may fight against Liudmila Samsonova. Their head to head record is 2-2.

1/2 – Cori Gauff’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 5-4 for Cori Gauff

48 - 16win/loss in 2025

Rank
3
High
2
LWLWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 48-16 29-9 18-3 1-2 0-2 0-0
2024 54-18 31-10 14-5 4-1 5-2 0-0
2023 51-16 40-9 7-4 0-0 4-3 0-0
2022 38-23 23-16 10-4 0-1 5-2 0-0
2021 36-16 16-10 16-4 0-0 4-2 0-0
2020 12-8 7-5 2-2 3-1 0-0 0-0
2019 29-15 9-6 7-5 7-3 6-1 0-0
2018 9-4 4-2 5-2 0-0 0-0 0-0

Cori Gauff has a 11-3 win-loss record in 2025, she played all matches on hard. In the previous 9 years, Gauff has a 141-61 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Gauff won 7 of her last 10 matches.

Her best result of the current year was winning the competition in Australia where she overcame Iga Swiatek in the final 6-4 6-4.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open Cori was defeated by Maria Sakkari in the semifinal 6-4 6-7(5) 6-2.

H2H Aryna Sabalenka vs. Cori Gauff

This would be the 10th time that Aryna Sabalenka and Cori Gauff clash against each other. The head to head is 5-4 for Gauff (see full H2H stats), but they are 3-3 on hard in major tournaments.

Nevertheless, Aryna Sabalenka may take on Madison Keys. Their head to head is 4-2 for Aryna Sabalenka.

Final – Iga Swiatek’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 8-4 for Iga Swiatek

64 - 17win/loss in 2025

Rank
2
High
1
WWLLWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 64-17 40-10 11-4 3-2 10-1 0-0
2024 64-9 29-5 26-2 7-1 2-1 0-0
2023 68-11 42-8 19-2 0-0 7-1 0-0
2022 67-9 42-6 18-1 5-1 2-1 0-0
2021 36-15 18-10 12-2 2-1 4-2 0-0
2020 16-5 6-4 7-1 3-0 0-0 0-0
2019 34-17 17-8 10-3 4-3 3-3 0-0
2018 43-6 8-1 34-5 1-0 0-0 0-0

Iga Swiatek has a 17-4 record in 2025, she played all matches on hard. During the previous 10 years, Iga has a 179-46 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Iga won 8 of her last 10 matches.

Swiatek’s best achievement of the current year was getting to the final Australia.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open Swiatek conquered the event after downing Maria Sakkari 6-4 6-0.

H2H Aryna Sabalenka vs. Iga Swiatek

This would be the 13th time that Aryna Sabalenka and Iga Swiatek square off. The head to head is 8-4 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), but they are 3-3 on hard in major tournaments.

Anyhow, Aryna Sabalenka could compete against Qinwen Zheng. Their head to head is 5-0 for Aryna Sabalenka.