[UPDATED R4]. Prediction, H2H of Carlos Alcaraz’s draw vs Dimitrov, De Minaur, Fritz, Medvedev to win the Indian Wells

Indian Wells draw preview with H2H - Carlos Alcaraz may need to defeat Grigor Dimitrov, Alex De Minaur, Taylor Fritz, Daniil Medvedev to conquer the tournament in the BNP Paribas Open.

Carlos Alcaraz Stats info

Carlos Alcaraz is 4 wins away to conquer the title in Indian Wells. The Spaniard has defeated Quentin Halys 6-4 6-2 and Denis Shapovalov 6-2 6-4 to reach the 4th round where he will face Grigor Dimitrov.

Draw prediction with head to head records

This is Carlos Alcaraz’s projected draw together withhislikely opponents in BNP Paribas Open. Alcaraz has a positive record (14-4) with the projected opponents.

R1 – Bye
R2 – Quentin Halys (59) – 6-4 6-2
R3 – Denis Shapovalov (28) – 6-2 6-4
R4 – Grigor Dimitrov (15) – H2H 3-2
1/4 – Alex De Minaur (10) – H2H 3-0
or Francisco Cerundolo (26) – H2H 1-1
1/2 – Taylor Fritz (4) – H2H 2-0
or Ben Shelton (12) – H2H 2-0
Fin – Daniil Medvedev (6) – H2H 6-2
or Holger Rune (13) – H2H 2-1
Alcaraz
Latest Updated
Draw

See Updated Draw

R4 – Grigor Dimitrov’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 3-2 for Carlos Alcaraz

5 - 5win/loss in 2025

Rank
15
High
3
LWWLLLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 5-5 5-5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 46-18 21-7 8-4 13-5 4-2 0-0
2023 43-21 16-10 10-5 10-4 7-2 0-0
2022 26-22 10-11 10-5 5-4 1-2 0-0
2021 24-18 18-10 3-5 2-2 1-1 0-0
2020 18-11 8-5 6-2 4-4 0-0 0-0
2019 24-21 12-10 7-6 5-3 0-2 0-0
2018 25-19 11-9 7-5 6-3 1-2 0-0

Grigor Dimitrov has a 5-4 record in 2025, he played all matches on hard. In the previous 19 years, the Bulgarian has a 272-158 record on hard (Click here to see full career record).

Dimitrov’s best achievement of the current season was reaching the semifinal Brisbane.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open Grigor lost to Daniil Medvedev in the 4th round 6-4 6-4.

H2H Carlos Alcaraz vs. Grigor Dimitrov

This match would represent the 6th time that Carlos Alcaraz and Grigor Dimitrov square off. The head to head is 3-2 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), but Dimitrov has a winning record of 2-0 on hard in major tournaments.

1/4 – Alex De Minaur’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 3-0 for Carlos Alcaraz

15 - 5win/loss in 2025

Rank
11
High
6
LWWLLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 15-5 10-4 0-0 5-1 0-0 0-0
2024 47-21 19-6 10-5 11-9 7-1 0-0
2023 46-26 26-12 4-5 10-6 6-3 0-0
2022 47-25 19-10 9-6 12-5 7-4 0-0
2021 25-25 10-10 4-5 3-7 8-3 0-0
2020 13-10 6-5 0-2 7-3 0-0 0-0
2019 41-20 25-10 1-4 13-3 2-3 0-0
2018 51-30 24-13 9-9 5-4 13-4 0-0

Alex De Minaur has a 15-4 record in 2025, 10-3 on hard. During the previous 11 years, the Australian has a 181-89 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). De Minaur won 7 of his last 10 matches.

De Minaur’s best achievement of the year was reaching the final Rotterdam.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open Alex surrendered to Alexander Zverev in the 4th round 5-7 6-2 6-3.

H2H Carlos Alcaraz vs. Alex De Minaur

This contest would be 4th time that Carlos Alcaraz and Alex De Minaur face off. The head to head is 3-0 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard in major tournaments.

Yet, Carlos Alcaraz may face Francisco Cerundolo. Their H2H is 1-1.

1/2 – Taylor Fritz’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 2-0 for Carlos Alcaraz

10 - 5win/loss in 2025

Rank
4
High
4
LWWLWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 10-5 9-4 0-0 1-1 0-0 0-0
2024 54-23 23-10 15-7 6-4 10-2 0-0
2023 54-24 35-11 11-6 5-3 3-4 0-0
2022 46-21 24-8 5-3 9-7 8-3 0-0
2021 34-22 20-13 4-5 8-3 2-1 0-0
2020 15-16 11-9 2-3 2-4 0-0 0-0
2019 40-30 17-14 12-8 4-5 7-3 0-0
2018 45-28 29-12 6-5 5-6 5-5 0-0

Taylor Fritz has a 10-4 win-loss record in 2025, 9-3 on hard. In the course of the last 12 years, the American has a 245-124 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Fritz won 7 of his last 10 matches.

His best result of the year was winning the title in Australia where he beat Hubert Hurkacz in the final 6-4 5-7 7-6(4).

Last year in BNP Paribas Open Fritz capitulated to Holger Rune in the 4th round 2-6 7-6(2) 6-3.

H2H Carlos Alcaraz vs. Taylor Fritz

This contest would be 3rd time that Carlos Alcaraz and Taylor Fritz face off. The head to head is 2-0 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard in major tournaments.

Nonetheless, Carlos Alcaraz may square off with Ben Shelton. Their head to head is 2-0 for Carlos Alcaraz.

Final – Daniil Medvedev’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 6-2 for Carlos Alcaraz

12 - 6win/loss in 2025

Rank
8
High
1
LWWWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 12-6 9-4 0-0 3-2 0-0 0-0
2024 46-21 28-9 11-5 1-5 6-2 0-0
2023 66-18 38-8 10-3 11-4 7-3 0-0
2022 45-19 26-8 3-2 8-6 8-3 0-0
2021 63-13 33-5 5-3 18-3 7-2 0-0
2020 28-10 14-4 0-2 14-4 0-0 0-0
2019 59-21 34-8 8-5 12-5 5-3 0-0
2018 53-25 27-9 1-5 21-7 4-4 0-0

Daniil Medvedev has a 11-5 win-loss record in 2025, 8-3 on hard. In the course of the last 13 years, Medvedev has a 255-82 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The Russian won 7 of his last 10 matches.

Daniil’s best achievement of the season was reaching the semifinal Marseille.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open Daniil lost to Carlos Alcaraz in the final 7-6(5) 6-1.

H2H Carlos Alcaraz vs. Daniil Medvedev

This match would represent the 9th time that Carlos Alcaraz and Daniil Medvedev square off. The head to head is 6-2 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), 3-1 on hard in major tournaments.

Nevertheless, Carlos Alcaraz may square off with Holger Rune. Their head to head is 2-1 for Carlos Alcaraz.