Ben Shelton and Brandon Nakashima will square off in the 4th round of the BNP Paribas Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 11:00 am on STADIUM 2. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Ben Shelton who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Ben Shelton is the pick to win this match.
Ben Shelton -> 1.42
Brandon Nakashima -> 2.86
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Prediction and head to head Ben Shelton vs. Brandon Nakashima
This will be the 4th time that Ben Shelton and Brandon Nakashima clash against each other. The head to head is 3-0 for Shelton (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Shelton won 7-6(3) 7-5 7-5 in the 1st round in at the Australian Open back in January 2025.
Highlights Ben Shelton vs Brandon Nakashima – Australian Open 14-January-2025
Ben Shelton
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 10-5 | 9-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 42-26 | 22-13 | 8-4 | 8-5 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 28-26 | 21-13 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-11 | 16-9 | 0-0 | 24-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-7 | 7-3 | 5-2 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 12 (career-high), the American reached the 4th round after beating Unknown Player bye, Mariano Navone 6-3 6-2 and Karen Khachanov 6-3 7-5.
In the 3rd round, Ben had a good straight sets win against Khachanov (6-3 7-5). During the match, Shelton scored 74 points vs Khachanov’s 64. The American was pretty aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Regarding the service games, Shelton scored 8 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Ben Shelton lost the serve once and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Shelton put 62% of his first serves in, winning 69% (33/48) of the points behind his 1st serve and 55% (16/29) on the 2nd serve. Ben broke Khachanov 3 times after converting 30% of his break points (3/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Ben hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this competition to conquer 55% of the points he played.
Shelton has a solid match record in the last 5 years having won 65% of his matches (137-74). 8-3 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Shelton has a composed74-41 record in the last 5 years on hard.
The American’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal at the Australian Open .
The American has an overall 9-4 win-loss record in 2025, 8-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Brandon Nakashima
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 8-7 | 8-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 61-32 | 24-12 | 13-7 | 15-8 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 21-26 | 9-15 | 3-4 | 8-3 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-26 | 17-13 | 5-5 | 9-4 | 10-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-25 | 17-10 | 4-7 | 20-5 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 33 (career-high), Nakashima got to the 4th round after beating Unknown Player bye, Rinky Hijikata 7-5 6-1 and Matteo Arnaldi 6-2 6-4.
In the 3rd round, The American had a good straight sets win against Arnaldi (6-2 6-4). During the match Nakashima scored 61 points vs Arnaldi’s 40. Nakashima was pretty aggressive to blast 24 winners.
About the serving games, Nakashima scored 4 aces and he was extremely consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Brandon Nakashima was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 89% (24/27) of his 1st serve and 72% (13/18) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The American broke Arnaldi 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The American hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 58% of the points he played.
Brandon’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal Acapulco.
Brandon has an aggregate 8-6 win-loss record in 2025, 8-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2021, 2022, 2023 and 2024. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Shelton | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 38 | 37 |
| Pts | 131-109 | 137-98 |
| Total Points | 240 | 235 |
| Winners | 61 | 57 |
| %Winners | 47% | 42% |
Both Shelton and Nakashima played 2 matches. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Shelton and Nakashima have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Shelton played 1 game more than Nakashima. Shelton scored 61 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, Brandon bagged 57 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Shelton | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 13 | 18 |
| Avg per match | 6.5 | 9 |
| 1st in | 83/133 | 70/116 |
| %1st in | 62% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 61/83 | 57/70 |
| %1st pts | 73% | 81% |
| 2nd pts | 26/50 | 28/46 |
| %2nd pts | 52% | 61% |
Shelton bagged 13 aces (6.5 per match). Nakashima made 18 aces (9 per match). Shelton won 73% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Nakashima won 81% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Shelton | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 6 |
| Converted | 6/16 | 6/10 |
| % Converted | 38% | 60% |
| Conceded | 5 | 4 |
| Saved | 4 | 4 |
| % Saved | 80% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 |
The American broke his opponents 6 times with a 38% conversion rate. Shelton lost his serve once and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded. Brandon broke his opponents 6 times with a 60% conversion rate. Nakashima was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 4 break points.
| Shelton | ||||
| R2 Navone |
R3 Khachanov |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | 6-3 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 21 | 38 | |
| pts | 57-45 | 74-64 | 131-109 | |
| Total points | 102 | 138 | 240 | |
| Winners | 28 | 33 | 61 | |
| %Winners | 49% | 45% | 47% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 5 | 8 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 35/56 | 48/77 | 83/133 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 62% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 28/35 | 33/48 | 61/83 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 69% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/21 | 16/29 | 26/50 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 55% | 52% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 3/10 | 6/16 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 30% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 4/5 | 4 | |
| Saved % | – | 80% | 40% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Nakashima | ||||
| R2 Hijikata |
R3 Arnaldi |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-1 | 6-2 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 18 | 37 | |
| pts | 76-58 | 61-40 | 137-98 | |
| Total points | 134 | 101 | 235 | |
| Winners | 33 | 24 | 57 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 39% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 14 | 4 | 18 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 43/71 | 27/45 | 70/116 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 60% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 33/43 | 24/27 | 57/70 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 89% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/28 | 13/18 | 28/46 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 72% | 61% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Converted | 3/4 | 3/6 | 6/10 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 50% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 1/1 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWLWLWLW
LWWLWWWLWW Tennis Scores in Indian Wells
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Upcoming matches in the draw
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- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Jack DraperDraper – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (2-2) – H2H and prediction
