Taylor Fritz and Jack Draper will clash against each other in the 4th round of the BNP Paribas Open for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 3:00 pm on STADIUM 1. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jack Draper who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jack Draper is the pick to win this match.
Jack Draper -> 1.9
Taylor Fritz -> 1.9
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Prediction and head to head Taylor Fritz vs. Jack Draper
This will be the 5th time that Taylor Fritz and Jack Draper play each other. The head to head is 2-2 for Fritz and Draper (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Draper won 7-6(6) 4-6 6-4 in the 2nd round in Paris back in 2024.
Highlights Jack Draper vs Taylor Fritz – Paris 30-October-2024
Taylor Fritz
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 10-5 | 9-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 54-23 | 23-10 | 15-7 | 6-4 | 10-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 54-24 | 35-11 | 11-6 | 5-3 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 46-21 | 24-8 | 5-3 | 9-7 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 34-22 | 20-13 | 4-5 | 8-3 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 4 (career-high), Fritz got to the 4th round after defeating Unknown Player bye, Matteo Gigante 6-3 7-5 and Alejandro Tabilo 4-6 6-3 6-1.
In the 3rd round against Tabilo, Fritz recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-3 6-1). During the match, Fritz scored 94 points vs Tabilo’s 75. Taylor was extremely aggressive to blast 39 winners.
Talking about the service games, Fritz scored 12 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Taylor Fritz lost the serve twice and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Fritz put 61% of his first serves in, winning 80% (39/49) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (14/31) on the 2nd serve. Taylor broke Tabilo 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The American has dropped 1 set in this tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
Fritz has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 63% of his matches (372-223). 9-3 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Fritz has an overall 218-112 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the season was winning the title in Australia where he overcame Hubert Hurkacz in the final 6-4 5-7 7-6(4).
The American has a compiled 10-4 win-loss record in 2025, 9-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Jack Draper
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 11-2 | 11-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 39-22 | 19-10 | 5-7 | 7-3 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 34-15 | 15-8 | 3-3 | 16-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 46-19 | 12-6 | 2-2 | 26-7 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-16 | 6-6 | 7-5 | 3-2 | 2-2 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 14, the Brit reached the 4th round after beating Unknown Player bye, Joao Fonseca 6-4 6-0 and Jenson Brooksby 7-5 6-4.
In the 3rd round, Draper had a good straight sets win against Brooksby (7-5 6-4). During the match Draper scored 78 points vs Brooksby’s 59. The Brit was extremely aggressive to blast 27 winners.
About the serving games, Draper scored 4 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Jack Draper was very effective on serve to win 90% (27/30) of his 1st serve and 62% (16/26) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Brit broke Brooksby 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Draper hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.
Jack’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in Doha.
Draper has a composed 9-2 win-loss record in 2025, 9-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Previously, his best result was reaching the 4th round in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Fritz | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 47 | 38 |
| Pts | 162-129 | 139-104 |
| Total Points | 291 | 243 |
| Winners | 74 | 52 |
| %Winners | 46% | 37% |
Both Fritz and Draper played 2 matches. At the moment, Taylor Fritz surrendered 1 set while Jack Draper hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Fritz has played 1 set more than Draper (5 vs 4). Therefore, Fritz played 9 games more than Draper. Taylor scored 74 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, Jack struck 52 winners (37%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Fritz | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 17 | 10 |
| Avg per match | 8.5 | 5 |
| 1st in | 88/144 | 63/116 |
| %1st in | 61% | 54% |
| 1st pts | 74/88 | 52/63 |
| %1st pts | 84% | 83% |
| 2nd pts | 24/56 | 28/53 |
| %2nd pts | 43% | 53% |
Fritz fired 17 aces (8.5 per match). Draper made 10 aces (5 per match). Fritz won 84% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 43% of the points. On the other side, Draper won 83% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Fritz | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 8 |
| Converted | 8/14 | 8/13 |
| % Converted | 57% | 62% |
| Conceded | 13 | 9 |
| Saved | 10 | 7 |
| % Saved | 77% | 78% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 2 |
The American broke his opponents 8 times with a 57% conversion rate. The American lost his serve 3 times and he saved 77% of the break points that he conceded. Jack broke his opponents 8 times with a 62% conversion rate. Jack conceded his serve twice and he saved 78% of the break points that he conceded.
| Fritz | ||||
| R2 Gigante |
R3 Tabilo |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-5 | 4-6 6-3 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 26 | 47 | |
| pts | 68-54 | 94-75 | 162-129 | |
| Total points | 122 | 169 | 291 | |
| Winners | 35 | 39 | 74 | |
| %Winners | 51% | 41% | 46% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 5 | 12 | 17 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 39/64 | 49/80 | 88/144 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 61% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 35/39 | 39/49 | 74/88 | |
| % 1st pts | 90% | 80% | 84% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/25 | 14/31 | 24/56 | |
| % 2nd pts | 40% | 45% | 43% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 5 | 8 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 5/9 | 8/14 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 56% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 7 | 13 | |
| Saved | 5/6 | 5/7 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 83% | 71% | 77% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| Draper | ||||
| R2 Fonseca |
R3 Brooksby |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-0 | 7-5 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 22 | 38 | |
| pts | 61-45 | 78-59 | 139-104 | |
| Total points | 106 | 137 | 243 | |
| Winners | 25 | 27 | 52 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 35% | 37% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 6 | 4 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 3 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 33/60 | 30/56 | 63/116 | |
| % 1st in | 55% | 54% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 25/33 | 27/30 | 52/63 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 90% | 83% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/27 | 16/26 | 28/53 | |
| % 2nd pts | 44% | 62% | 53% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 8 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 3/5 | 8/13 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 60% | 62% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 2 | 9 | |
| Saved | 6/7 | 1/2 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 86% | 50% | 68% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLWLWLWW
WWWWLWWWWL Tennis Scores in Indian Wells
- Holger RuneRune – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Arthur FilsFils – Marcos GironGiron (6-2 2-6 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Yosuke WatanukiWatanuki (7-64 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Tommy PaulPaul (6-4 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (2-3) – H2H and prediction
- Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Jack DraperDraper – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (2-2) – H2H and prediction
