Taro Daniel and Nikoloz Basilashvili will face off in the qualifications of the Phoenix Challenger for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 12:30 pm on COURT 2. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Nikoloz Basilashvili who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Nikoloz Basilashvili is the pick to win this match.
Nikoloz Basilashvili -> 1.23
Taro Daniel -> 3.82
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Prediction and head to head Taro Daniel vs. Nikoloz Basilashvili
This will be the 3rd time that Taro Daniel and Nikoloz Basilashvili clash against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Basilashvili (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Basilashvili won 7-5 6-4 in the final in the Seoul Challenger back in 2024.
Taro Daniel
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 4-10 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 31-33 | 16-16 | 5-11 | 9-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 45-30 | 34-16 | 7-10 | 2-1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 43-29 | 27-17 | 12-7 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 30-25 | 5-7 | 21-15 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 116, Taro got to the qualifications after defeating Mathis Bondaz 6-1 6-4.
In the qualifications, Daniel had a good straight sets win against Bondaz (6-1 6-4). During the match, Daniel scored 62 points vs Bondaz’s 34. Daniel was extremely aggressive to blast 19 winners.
Regarding the service games, Daniel bagged 4 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Taro Daniel was quite efficient on serve to win 76% (19/25) of his 1st serve and 73% (16/22) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Taro broke Bondaz 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
Daniel has good match record in the last 10 years having won 54% of his matches (310-264). 4-7 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Daniel has a composed 150-119 record in the last years on hard.
Daniel has an aggregate 4-8 win-loss record in 2025, 4-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Phoenix Challenger
Nikoloz Basilashvili
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 13-9 | 7-6 | 0-1 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 51-32 | 11-8 | 27-15 | 13-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 4-19 | 1-8 | 0-5 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 16-31 | 3-11 | 5-9 | 4-7 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-27 | 18-11 | 8-8 | 3-5 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 152, the Georgean got to the qualifications after defeating Terence Atmane 6-4 4-6 6-4.
In the qualifications, The Georgean defeated Atmane (6-4 4-6 6-4). During the match Basilashvili scored 103 points vs Atmane’s 102. Basilashvili was exceptionally aggressive to blast 54 winners.
About the serving games, Basilashvili blasted 15 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Nikoloz Basilashvili lost the serve twice and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Basilashvili put 65% of his first serves in, winning 75% (54/72) of the points behind his 1st serve and 42% (16/38) on the 2nd serve. Basilashvili broke Atmane 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).
The Georgean has a compiled 12-6 win-loss record in 2025, 6-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Daniel | Basilashvili |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 17 | 30 |
| Pts | 62-34 | 103-102 |
| Total Points | 96 | 205 |
| Winners | 19 | 54 |
| %Winners | 31% | 52% |
Both Daniel and Basilashvili played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Nikoloz Basilashvili surrendered 1 set while Taro Daniel hasn’t lost a set so far. Daniel has played 1 set(s) less than Basilashvili (2 vs 3). Therefore, Daniel played 13 games less than Basilashvili. The Japanese scored 19 winners (31% of the total points). On the other side, The Georgean fired 54 winners (52%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Daniel | Basilashvili |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 15 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 15 |
| 1st in | 25/47 | 72/110 |
| %1st in | 53% | 65% |
| 1st pts | 19/25 | 54/72 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 16/22 | 16/38 |
| %2nd pts | 73% | 42% |
Daniel made 4 aces . Basilashvili managed to score 15 aces . Daniel won 76% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 73% of the points. On the other side, Basilashvili won 75% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 42% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Daniel | Basilashvili |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 3 |
| Converted | 4/8 | 3/9 |
| % Converted | 50% | 33% |
| Conceded | 4 | 9 |
| Saved | 3 | 7 |
| % Saved | 75% | 78% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 |
The Japanese broke his opponent 4 times with a 50% conversion rate. Taro surrendered his serve once and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. The Georgean broke his opponent 3 times with a 33% conversion rate. Nikoloz conceded his serve twice and he saved 78% of the break points that he conceded.
| Daniel | |||
| Q1 Bondaz |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
| pts | 62-34 | 62-34 | |
| Total points | 96 | 96 | |
| Winners | 19 | 19 | |
| %Winners | 31% | 31% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 25/47 | 25/47 | |
| % 1st in | 53% | 53% | |
| 1st pts | 19/25 | 19/25 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/22 | 16/22 | |
| % 2nd pts | 73% | 73% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 4/8 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Basilashvili | |||
| Q1 Atmane |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 4-6 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 30 | |
| pts | 103-102 | 103-102 | |
| Total points | 205 | 205 | |
| Winners | 54 | 54 | |
| %Winners | 52% | 52% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 15 | 15 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 72/110 | 72/110 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 54/72 | 54/72 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/38 | 16/38 | |
| % 2nd pts | 42% | 42% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/9 | 3/9 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 9 | |
| Saved | 7/9 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 78% | 78% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWLLWWLLW
LLLWWLWWLL 
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Mikhail KukushkinKukushkin – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Taro DanielDaniel – Nikoloz BasilashviliBasilashvili (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Li TuTu – Giulio ZeppieriZeppieri (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander BublikBublik – Aleksandar VukicVukic (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Christopher EubanksEubanks – Roman SafiullinSafiullin (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Arthur RinderknechRinderknech – Reilly OpelkaOpelka (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Pavel KotovKotov – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Chun Hsin TsengHsin Tseng – Yasutaka UchiyamaUchiyama (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Adam WaltonWalton – Hugo GastonGaston (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Rinky HijikataHijikata – Brandon HoltHolt (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Jacob FearnleyFearnley – James DuckworthDuckworth (0-0) – H2H and prediction
