Iga Swiatek is 4 wins away to conquer the title in Indian Wells. Swiatek has defeated Caroline Garcia 6-2 6-0 and Dayana Yastremska 6-0 6-2 to reach the 4th round where she will face Karolina Muchova.

Draw prediction with head to head records

This is Iga Swiatek’s projected draw together withherpresumable opposition in BNP Paribas Open. The Pole has a positive record (23-10) against the projected opponents.

R1 – Bye
R2 – Caroline Garcia (71) – 6-2 6-0
R3 – Dayana Yastremska (46) – 6-0 6-2
R4 – Karolina Muchova (15) – H2H 3-1
1/4 – Qinwen Zheng (9) – H2H 6-1
or Marta Kostyuk (24) – H2H 3-0
1/2 – Jessica Pegula (4) – H2H 6-4
or Elena Rybakina (7) – H2H 4-4
Fin – Aryna Sabalenka (1) – H2H 8-4
or Cori Gauff (3) – H2H 11-3
Latest Updated
Draw

R4 – Karolina Muchova’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 3-1 for Iga Swiatek

11 - 5win/loss in 2025

Rank
15
High
8
WWLWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 11-5 9-4 0-0 2-1 0-0 0-0
2024 21-7 15-4 4-2 0-0 2-1 0-0
2023 38-13 28-9 10-3 0-0 0-1 0-0
2022 11-12 3-2 3-3 5-5 0-2 0-0
2021 19-9 10-4 5-3 0-0 4-2 0-0
2020 7-8 6-6 0-1 1-1 0-0 0-0
2019 38-14 25-9 6-2 3-1 4-2 0-0
2018 29-11 5-2 7-4 10-1 3-3 4-1

Karolina Muchova has a 11-5 record in 2025, 9-4 on hard. Regarding the last 10 years, Karolina has a 121-49 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The Czech won 8 of her last 10 matches.

Muchova’s best achievement of the year was getting to the semifinal Australia, Linz and Dubai.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open the Czech didn’t compete in this event.

H2H Iga Swiatek vs. Karolina Muchova

This would be the 5th time that Iga Swiatek and Karolina Muchova clash against each other. The head to head is 3-1 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats

), 2-0 on hard in major tournaments.

1/4 – Qinwen Zheng’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 6-1 for Iga Swiatek

3 - 3win/loss in 2025

Rank
9
High
5
WWLLLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 3-3 3-3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 52-18 31-10 17-4 3-2 1-2 0-0
2023 37-19 23-11 11-4 3-1 0-3 0-0
2022 39-19 27-12 10-4 0-0 2-3 0-0
2021 34-11 7-1 16-6 11-4 0-0 0-0
2020 38-8 3-3 26-3 9-2 0-0 0-0
2019 14-11 14-8 0-3 0-0 0-0 0-0
2018 14-9 12-8 2-1 0-0 0-0 0-0

Qinwen Zheng has a 3-3 record in 2025, she played all matches on hard. Regarding the previous 9 years, the Chinese has a 120-56 record on hard (Click here to see full career record).

Last year in BNP Paribas Open the Chinese lost to Yue Yuan in the 2nd round 6-4 6-3.

H2H Iga Swiatek vs. Qinwen Zheng

This would be the 8th time that Iga Swiatek and Qinwen Zheng clash against each other. The head to head is 6-1 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), 4-0 on hard in major tournaments.

Alternatively, Iga Swiatek may compete against Marta Kostyuk. Their H2H is 3-0 for Iga Swiatek.

1/2 – Jessica Pegula’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 6-4 for Iga Swiatek

15 - 4win/loss in 2025

Rank
4
High
3
WWWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 15-4 15-4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 39-16 29-9 4-2 0-2 6-3 0-0
2023 59-18 45-12 8-4 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 42-21 28-15 11-4 1-1 2-1 0-0
2021 39-19 29-12 6-4 0-0 4-3 0-0
2020 17-9 16-7 0-1 1-1 0-0 0-0
2019 25-19 14-10 4-5 4-1 3-3 0-0
2018 50-22 21-9 22-10 7-2 0-1 0-0

Jessica Pegula has a 15-4 win-loss record in 2025, she played all matches on hard. In the previous 17 years, the American has a 266-130 record on hard (Click here

to see full career record). Pegula will try to keep a positive momentum since she is on a 7 matches winning streak.

Her most significant achievement of the current year was winning the title in Austin where she beat Mccartney Kessler in the final 7-5 6-2.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open Pegula was overcome by Anna Blinkova in the 2nd round 6-2 3-6 6-3.

H2H Iga Swiatek vs. Jessica Pegula

This would be the 11th time that Iga Swiatek and Jessica Pegula fight against each other. The head to head is 6-4 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), 5-4 on hard in major tournaments.

Yet, Iga Swiatek may play Elena Rybakina. Their H2H is 4-4.

Final – Aryna Sabalenka’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 8-4 for Iga Swiatek

14 - 3win/loss in 2025

Rank
1
High
1
WWLWLLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 14-3 14-3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 56-14 38-7 15-4 2-2 1-1 0-0
2023 55-14 35-9 14-3 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 33-22 20-15 9-5 0-0 4-2 0-0
2021 45-18 24-11 13-3 1-1 7-3 0-0
2020 29-10 14-7 6-3 9-0 0-0 0-0
2019 39-22 28-12 5-5 4-1 2-4 0-0
2018 51-25 34-13 7-6 3-2 7-4 0-0

Aryna Sabalenka has a 14-3 win-loss record in 2025, she played all matches on hard. In the course of the last 10 years, Aryna has a 241-95 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Aryna won 7 of her last 10 matches.

Her most significant achievement of this season was winning the tournament in Brisbane where she beat Polina Kudermetova in the final 4-6 6-3 6-2.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open Sabalenka lost to Emma Navarro in the 4th round 6-3 3-6 6-2.

H2H Iga Swiatek vs. Aryna Sabalenka

This contest would be 13th time that Iga Swiatek and Aryna Sabalenka play each other. The head to head is 8-4 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), but they are 3-3 on hard in major tournaments.

However, Iga Swiatek could play Cori Gauff. Their H2H record is 11-3 for Iga Swiatek.