Daniil Medvedev is 4 wins away to conquer the title in Indian Wells. Medvedev has defeated Bu Yunchaokete 6-2 6-2 and Alex Michelsen 2-0 ret. to reach the 4th round where he will face Tommy Paul.
Draw prediction with head to head records
This is Daniil Medvedev’s projected draw together withhisprojected opponents in BNP Paribas Open. Medvedev has a winning record (16-11) against the projected opponents.
R4 – Tommy Paul’s rankings and performance.
Head to head 3-1 for Daniil Medvedev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 29-13 | 13-6 | 12-4 | 3-1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 45-20 | 17-12 | 10-4 | 8-2 | 10-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-29 | 29-13 | 5-6 | 3-5 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-27 | 21-12 | 2-6 | 9-5 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-23 | 12-12 | 9-7 | 12-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 21-14 | 12-6 | 5-4 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2019 | 45-16 | 22-7 | 12-4 | 5-1 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2018 | 40-20 | 28-15 | 0-0 | 12-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Tommy Paul has a 12-3 win-loss record in 2025, 9-2 on hard. During the previous 11 years, the American has a 201-115 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Paul won 8 of his last 10 matches.
Paul’s most significant achievement of the season was reaching the semifinal Adelaide and Dallas.
Last year in BNP Paribas Open Paul lost to Daniil Medvedev in the semifinal 1-6 7-6(3) 6-2.
H2H Daniil Medvedev vs. Tommy Paul
This would be the 5th time that Daniil Medvedev and Tommy Paul face off. The head to head is 3-1 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard in major tournaments.
1/4 – Arthur Fils’s rankings and performance.
Head to head 1-0 for Daniil Medvedev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22-11 | 10-6 | 10-4 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 42-28 | 15-9 | 14-10 | 7-6 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-24 | 5-4 | 13-8 | 21-10 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 43-28 | 0-1 | 23-15 | 20-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-26 | 3-2 | 29-17 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Arthur Fils has a 7-4 record in 2025, 5-3 on hard. As for the previous 6 years, Fils has a 28-19 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The French player won 6 of his last 10 matches.
Last year in BNP Paribas Open Arthur surrendered to Casper Ruud in the 3rd round 6-2 6-4.
H2H Daniil Medvedev vs. Arthur Fils
This would be the 2nd time that Daniil Medvedev and Arthur Fils square off. The head to head is 1-0
for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard in major tournaments.Alternatively, Daniil Medvedev may come up against Marcos Giron. Their head to head record is 3-0 for Daniil Medvedev.
1/2 – Stefanos Tsitsipas’s rankings and performance.
Head to head 10-4 for Daniil Medvedev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22-18 | 12-10 | 7-5 | 2-1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 45-22 | 13-11 | 22-6 | 8-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-24 | 19-9 | 17-5 | 11-6 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 61-24 | 18-8 | 17-4 | 18-9 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 55-19 | 26-8 | 23-5 | 6-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 29-14 | 11-6 | 11-3 | 7-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2019 | 54-25 | 22-12 | 15-5 | 15-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2018 | 56-30 | 19-13 | 15-6 | 16-8 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
Stefanos Tsitsipas has a 10-4 win-loss record in 2025, 8-3 on hard. In connection to the last 11 years, the Greek has a 189-99 record on hard (Click here
to see full career record). The Greek will try to keep a positive momentum since he is on a 7 matches winning streak.His most significant achievement of this year was conquering the title in Dubai where he defeated Felix Auger-Aliassime in the final 6-3 6-3.
Last year in BNP Paribas Open Stefanos capitulated to Jiri Lehecka in the 4th round 6-2 6-4.
H2H Daniil Medvedev vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas
This would be the 15th time that Daniil Medvedev and Stefanos Tsitsipas square off. The head to head is 10-4 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), 6-1 on hard in major tournaments.
Alternatively, Daniil Medvedev may play Holger Rune. Their H2H is 2-1 for Daniil Medvedev.
Final – Carlos Alcaraz’s rankings and performance.
Head to head 6-2 for Carlos Alcaraz
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 71-9 | 28-4 | 22-1 | 10-3 | 11-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 54-13 | 22-5 | 17-4 | 7-3 | 8-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 65-12 | 26-6 | 25-3 | 2-3 | 12-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 57-13 | 21-4 | 27-4 | 6-4 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 48-19 | 15-8 | 22-7 | 10-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 39-7 | 10-0 | 29-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2019 | 18-10 | 3-2 | 15-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2018 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Carlos Alcaraz has a 13-2 win-loss record in 2025, 8-2 on hard. As for the last 8 years, the Spaniard has a 105-29 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Alcaraz won 9 of his last 10 matches.
His best achievement of the year was conquering the title in Rotterdam where he defeated Alex De Minaur in the final 6-4 3-6 6-2.
Last year in BNP Paribas Open the Spaniard won the tournament after besting Daniil Medvedev 7-6(5) 6-1.
H2H Daniil Medvedev vs. Carlos Alcaraz
This would be the 9th time that Daniil Medvedev and Carlos Alcaraz face off. The head to head is 6-2 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), 3-1 on hard in major tournaments.
However, Daniil Medvedev may take on Taylor Fritz. Their head to head is 1-1.