Holger Rune is 4 wins away to conquer the title in Indian Wells. Holger has defeated Corentin Moutet 6-2 6-4 and Ugo Humbert 5-7 6-4 7-5 to reach the 4th round where he will face Stefanos Tsitsipas.

Draw prediction with head to head records

This is Holger Rune’s projected draw withhislikely opposition in BNP Paribas Open. Rune has a losing record (5-6) with the presumable opponents.

R1 – Bye
R2 – Corentin Moutet (79) – 6-2 6-4
R3 – Ugo Humbert (19) – 5-7 6-4 7-5
R4 – Stefanos Tsitsipas (9) – H2H 3-0
1/4 – Tallon Griekspoor (43) – H2H 0-2
or Yosuke Watanuki (349) – H2H 0-0
1/2 – Daniil Medvedev (6) – H2H 1-2
or Tommy Paul (11) – H2H 0-0
Fin – Carlos Alcaraz (3) – H2H 1-2
or Taylor Fritz (4) – H2H 1-3
Latest Updated
Draw

R4 – Stefanos Tsitsipas’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 3-0 for Holger Rune

22 - 18win/loss in 2025

Rank
34
High
3
LWLWLLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 22-18 12-10 7-5 2-1 1-2 0-0
2024 45-22 13-11 22-6 8-3 2-2 0-0
2023 51-24 19-9 17-5 11-6 4-4 0-0
2022 61-24 18-8 17-4 18-9 8-3 0-0
2021 55-19 26-8 23-5 6-5 0-1 0-0
2020 29-14 11-6 11-3 7-5 0-0 0-0
2019 54-25 22-12 15-5 15-5 2-3 0-0
2018 56-30 19-13 15-6 16-8 6-3 0-0

Stefanos Tsitsipas has a 10-4 win-loss record in 2025, 8-3 on hard. Regarding the last 11 years, Tsitsipas has a 189-99 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The Greek will try to keep a positive momentum since he is on a 7 matches winning streak.

His most significant result of the current year was winning the tournament in Dubai where he beat Felix Auger-Aliassime in the final 6-3 6-3.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open Stefanos was overcome by Jiri Lehecka in the 4th round 6-2 6-4.

H2H Holger Rune vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas

This contest would be 4th time that Holger Rune and Stefanos Tsitsipas play each other. The head to head is 3-0 for Rune (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard in major tournaments.

1/4 – Tallon Griekspoor’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 2-0 for Tallon Griekspoor

32 - 24win/loss in 2025

Rank
25
High
21
LWWLLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 32-24 10-11 13-8 5-4 4-1 0-0
2024 33-30 10-11 8-8 11-8 4-3 0-0
2023 36-24 14-10 3-5 12-7 7-2 0-0
2022 28-27 5-6 12-6 4-11 7-4 0-0
2021 59-17 11-3 36-10 9-3 3-1 0-0
2020 18-9 3-1 12-5 3-3 0-0 0-0
2019 25-26 4-4 16-11 4-9 1-1 0-1
2018 22-13 3-4 14-6 5-2 0-0 0-1

Tallon Griekspoor has a 10-5 win-loss record in 2025, 7-3 on hard. As for the previous 11 years, Tallon has a 134-71 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Griekspoor won 7 of his last 10 matches.

Tallon’s best result of this year was reaching the semifinal Dubai.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open Griekspoor was defeated by Alexander Zverev in the 3rd

round 7-6(7) 6-3.

H2H Holger Rune vs. Tallon Griekspoor

This contest would be 3rd time that Holger Rune and Tallon Griekspoor clash against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Griekspoor (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard in major tournaments.

Anyhow, Holger Rune could square off with Yosuke Watanuki. Their head to head is 0-0.

1/2 – Daniil Medvedev’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 2-1 for Daniil Medvedev

41 - 23win/loss in 2025

Rank
13
High
1
LWWLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 41-23 20-12 6-4 10-4 5-3 0-0
2024 46-21 28-9 11-5 1-5 6-2 0-0
2023 66-18 38-8 10-3 11-4 7-3 0-0
2022 45-19 26-8 3-2 8-6 8-3 0-0
2021 63-13 33-5 5-3 18-3 7-2 0-0
2020 28-10 14-4 0-2 14-4 0-0 0-0
2019 59-21 34-8 8-5 12-5 5-3 0-0
2018 53-25 27-9 1-5 21-7 4-4 0-0

Daniil Medvedev has a 10-5 win-loss record in 2025, 7-3 on hard. In the previous 13 years, the Russian has a 254-82 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Daniil won 7 of his last 10 matches.

Medvedev’s best achievement of the year was getting to the semifinal Marseille.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open Daniil was overcome by Carlos Alcaraz in the final 7-6(5) 6-1.

H2H Holger Rune vs. Daniil Medvedev

This would be the 4th time that Holger Rune and Daniil Medvedev fight against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard in major tournaments.

Yet, Holger Rune could come up against Tommy Paul. Their H2H is 0-0.

Final – Carlos Alcaraz’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 2-1 for Carlos Alcaraz

71 - 9win/loss in 2025

Rank
1
High
1
LWWWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 71-9 28-4 22-1 10-3 11-1 0-0
2024 54-13 22-5 17-4 7-3 8-1 0-0
2023 65-12 26-6 25-3 2-3 12-0 0-0
2022 57-13 21-4 27-4 6-4 3-1 0-0
2021 48-19 15-8 22-7 10-3 1-1 0-0
2020 39-7 10-0 29-7 0-0 0-0 0-0
2019 18-10 3-2 15-8 0-0 0-0 0-0
2018 6-2 0-0 6-2 0-0 0-0 0-0

Carlos Alcaraz has a 13-2 win-loss record in 2025, 8-2 on hard. During the previous 8 years, Carlos has a 105-29 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The Spaniard won 9 of his last 10 matches.

His most significant result of the year was conquering the competition in Rotterdam where he overcame Alex De Minaur in the final 6-4 3-6 6-2.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open the Spaniard conquered the event after ousting Daniil Medvedev 7-6(5) 6-1.

H2H Holger Rune vs. Carlos Alcaraz

This contest would be 4th time that Holger Rune and Carlos Alcaraz fight against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard in major tournaments.

Notwithstanding, Holger Rune could face Taylor Fritz. Their head to head is 3-1 for Taylor Fritz.