Nicolas Mejia and Petr Nesterov will play each other in the qualifications of the Cap Cana Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 5:30 pm on GRANDSTAND. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Nicolas Mejia who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Nicolas Mejia is the pick to win this match.
Nicolas Mejia -> 1.41
Petr Nesterov -> 2.73
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Prediction and head to head Nicolas Mejia vs. Petr Nesterov
There is no head to head record between Nicolas Mejia and Petr Nesterov since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Nicolas Mejia
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 7-7 | 5-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 44-33 | 18-21 | 23-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 24-33 | 6-13 | 18-18 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 31-35 | 13-12 | 15-13 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-28 | 16-10 | 5-13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 201 (career-high), Mejia got to the qualifications after beating Francisco Cabral 6-2 6-2.
In the qualifications, The Colombian had a good straight sets win against Cabral (6-2 6-2). During the match, Mejia scored 67 points vs Cabral’s 49. Nicolas was quite aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Talking about the service games, Mejia made 2 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Nicolas Mejia conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 5 break points. Furthermore, Mejia put 71% of his first serves in, winning 78% (29/37) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (7/15) on the 2nd serve. Mejia broke Cabral 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).
Mejia has good record in the last 10 years having won 53% of his matches (212-186). 3-4 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Mejia has a compiled 86-78 match record in the last years on hard.
Mejia has an overall 5-7 win-loss record in 2025, 3-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Cap Cana Challenger
The Colombian has never competed in this tournament before.
Petr Nesterov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 8-5 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 45-22 | 3-3 | 35-17 | 7-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-22 | 30-9 | 21-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 24-18 | 5-6 | 18-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 437, Petr reached the qualifications after defeating Enmanuel Munoz 6-0 6-2.
In the qualifications, Nesterov had a good straight sets win against Munoz (6-0 6-2). During the match Nesterov scored 65 points vs Munoz’s 42. Nesterov was quite aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Talking about serving, Nesterov fired 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Petr Nesterov conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 5 break points. Furthermore, Nesterov put 64% of his first serves in, winning 77% (27/35) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (9/20) on the 2nd serve. The Bulgarian broke Munoz 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).
Petr’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in M15 Bucharest.
Petr has a compiled 8-4 win-loss record in 2025, 5-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Mejia | Nesterov |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 16 | 14 |
| Pts | 67-49 | 65-42 |
| Total Points | 116 | 107 |
| Winners | 29 | 27 |
| %Winners | 43% | 42% |
Both Mejia and Nesterov played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Mejia and Nesterov have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Mejia played 2 games more than Nesterov. Nicolas scored 29 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Nesterov bagged 27 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Mejia | Nesterov |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 2 |
| 1st in | 37/52 | 35/55 |
| %1st in | 71% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 29/37 | 27/35 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 7/15 | 9/20 |
| %2nd pts | 47% | 45% |
Mejia recorded 2 aces . Nesterov recorded 2 aces . Mejia won 78% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Nesterov won 77% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 45% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Mejia | Nesterov |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 5 |
| Converted | 4/6 | 5/8 |
| % Converted | 67% | 63% |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 |
| Saved | 5 | 5 |
| % Saved | 100% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 |
The Colombian broke his opponent 4 times with a 67% conversion rate. Mejia extremely effective on his serve as he has never dropped a single service game after saving 5 break points. Petr broke his opponent 5 times with a 63% conversion rate. The Bulgarian was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 5 break points.
| Mejia | |||
| Q1 Cabral |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 16 | |
| pts | 67-49 | 67-49 | |
| Total points | 116 | 116 | |
| Winners | 29 | 29 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 37/52 | 37/52 | |
| % 1st in | 71% | 71% | |
| 1st pts | 29/37 | 29/37 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/15 | 7/15 | |
| % 2nd pts | 47% | 47% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 4/6 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 5/5 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Nesterov | |||
| Q1 Munoz |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 14 | 14 | |
| pts | 65-42 | 65-42 | |
| Total points | 107 | 107 | |
| Winners | 27 | 27 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 35/55 | 35/55 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 27/35 | 27/35 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/20 | 9/20 | |
| % 2nd pts | 45% | 45% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 5/8 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 63% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 5/5 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWLWWLLLW
LWLWWWLLWW 
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