Qinwen Zheng and Marta Kostyuk will clash against each other in the 4th round of the BNP Paribas Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 8:00 pm on STADIUM 1. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Qinwen Zheng who should win in 3 sets.
Qinwen Zheng -> 1.56
Marta Kostyuk -> 2.43
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Prediction and head to head Qinwen Zheng vs. Marta Kostyuk
This will be the 3rd time that Qinwen Zheng and Marta Kostyuk play each other. The head to head is 1-1 (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Kostyuk won 6-2 4-6 7-5 in the 2nd round in Stuttgart back in 2024.
Qinwen Zheng
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 4-4 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 52-18 | 31-10 | 17-4 | 3-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-19 | 23-11 | 11-4 | 3-1 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-19 | 27-12 | 10-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 34-11 | 7-1 | 16-6 | 11-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 9, the Chinese reached the 4th round after beating Unknown Player bye, Victoria Azarenka 6-3 6-4 and Lulu Sun 6-4 7-5.
In the 3rd round, Zheng had a good straight sets win against Sun (6-4 7-5). During the match, Zheng scored 76 points vs Sun’s 66. The Chinese was extremely aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Talking about the service games, Zheng bagged 4 aces and she committed only 5 double faults. Qinwen Zheng lost the serve 4 times and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Zheng put 57% of her first serves in, winning 70% (28/40) of the points behind her 1st serve and 40% (12/30) on the 2nd serve. The Chinese broke Sun 6 times after converting 43% of her break points (6/14).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Qinwen hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this competition to conquer 55% of the points she played.
Zheng has a fantastic record in the last 9 years having won 70% of her matches (231-98). 3-3 on hard in 2025. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this competition, Zheng has an overall120-56 record in the last 9 years on hard.
Zheng has an aggregate 3-3 win-loss record in 2025, 3-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Marta Kostyuk
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 8-7 | 8-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 34-22 | 24-14 | 8-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 26-22 | 22-16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 28-20 | 18-11 | 3-4 | 4-3 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-17 | 8-9 | 10-4 | 3-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 24, Kostyuk got to the 4th round after defeating Unknown Player bye, Robin Montgomery 6-1 6-3 and Caroline Dolehide 6-3 6-3.
In the 3rd round, Kostyuk had a good straight sets win against Dolehide (6-3 6-3). During the match Kostyuk scored 82 points vs Dolehide’s 68. Kostyuk was quite aggressive to blast 33 winners.
About the serving games, Kostyuk managed to score 4 aces and she committed only 6 double faults. Marta Kostyuk lost the serve once and she saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Kostyuk put 65% of her first serves in, winning 72% (33/46) of the points behind her 1st serve and 44% (11/25) on the 2nd serve. The Ukrainian broke Dolehide 4 times after converting 31% of her break points (4/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Marta hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 58% of the points she played.
The Ukrainian has a composed 8-6 win-loss record in 2025, 8-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Previously, her best result was reaching the semifinal in 2024. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Zheng | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 41 | 34 |
| Pts | 140-114 | 140-102 |
| Total Points | 254 | 242 |
| Winners | 52 | 54 |
| %Winners | 37% | 39% |
Both Zheng and Kostyuk played 2 matches. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Zheng and Kostyuk have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Zheng played 7 games more than Kostyuk. Zheng scored 52 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Kostyuk bagged 54 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Zheng | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 8 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 3 |
| 1st in | 74/129 | 75/117 |
| %1st in | 57% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 52/74 | 54/75 |
| %1st pts | 70% | 72% |
| 2nd pts | 25/55 | 22/42 |
| %2nd pts | 45% | 52% |
Zheng recorded 8 aces (4 per match). Kostyuk bagged 6 aces (3 per match). Zheng won 70% points on her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 45% of the points. On the other side, Kostyuk won 72% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Zheng | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 11 | 9 |
| Converted | 11/23 | 9/19 |
| % Converted | 48% | 47% |
| Conceded | 11 | 11 |
| Saved | 4 | 9 |
| % Saved | 36% | 82% |
| Times Broken | 7 | 2 |
Qinwen broke her opponents 11 times with a 48% conversion rate. Qinwen dropped her serve 7 times and she saved 36% of the break points that she conceded. The Ukrainian broke her opponents 9 times with a 47% conversion rate. The Ukrainian conceded her serve twice and she saved 82% of the break points that she conceded.
| Zheng | ||||
| R2 Azarenka | R3 Sun | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 6-4 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 22 | 41 | |
| pts | 64-48 | 76-66 | 140-114 | |
| Total points | 112 | 142 | 254 | |
| Winners | 24 | 28 | 52 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 37% | 37% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 5 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 34/59 | 40/70 | 74/129 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 57% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 24/34 | 28/40 | 52/74 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 70% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/25 | 12/30 | 25/55 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 40% | 45% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 6 | 11 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 6/14 | 11/23 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 43% | 48% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 8 | 11 | |
| Saved | 0/3 | 4/8 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 50% | 25% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| Kostyuk | ||||
| R2 Montgomery | R3 Dolehide | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-3 | 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 18 | 34 | |
| pts | 58-34 | 82-68 | 140-102 | |
| Total points | 92 | 150 | 242 | |
| Winners | 21 | 33 | 54 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 40% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 6 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 29/46 | 46/71 | 75/117 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 65% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 21/29 | 33/46 | 54/75 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 72% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/17 | 11/25 | 22/42 | |
| % 2nd pts | 65% | 44% | 52% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 9 | |
| Converted | 5/6 | 4/13 | 9/19 | |
| Converted % | 83% | 31% | 47% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 9 | 11 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 8/9 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 89% | 70% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
Tennis Scores in Indian Wells
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Lucia BronzettiBronzetti (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Belinda BencicBencic – Diana ShnaiderShnaider (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Madison KeysKeys – Elise MertensMertens (6-2 6-78 6-4) – See score progression
- Sonay KartalKartal – Polina KudermetovaKudermetova (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Cori GauffGauff – Maria SakkariSakkari (7-61 6-2) – See score progression
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Dayana YastremskaYastremska (6-0 6-2) – See score progression
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Katie BoulterBoulter (6-0 7-5) – See score progression
- Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Marta KostyukKostyuk – Caroline DolehideDolehide (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Mirra AndreevaAndreeva – Clara TausonTauson (6-3 6-0) – See score progression
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Xinyu WangWang (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Katerina SiniakovaSiniakova (7-5 6-1) – See score progression
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – Lulu SunSun (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Lucia BronzettiBronzetti (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Sonay KartalKartal – Polina KudermetovaKudermetova (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Liudmila SamsonovaSamsonova – Daria KasatkinaKasatkina (2-6 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Cori GauffGauff – Maria SakkariSakkari (7-6(1) 6-2) – See score progression
- Belinda BencicBencic – Diana ShnaiderShnaider (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Madison KeysKeys – Elise MertensMertens (6-2 6-7(8) 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Jaqueline CristianCristian – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Emma NavarroNavarro – Donna VekicVekic (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Cori GauffGauff – Belinda BencicBencic (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Jessica PegulaPegula (2-5) – H2H and prediction
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – Marta KostyukKostyuk (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (1-3) – H2H and prediction