Qinwen Zheng and Marta Kostyuk will clash against each other in the 4th round of the BNP Paribas Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 8:00 pm on STADIUM 1. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Qinwen Zheng who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Qinwen Zheng is the pick to win this match.
Qinwen Zheng -> 1.56
Marta Kostyuk -> 2.43

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Prediction and head to head Qinwen Zheng vs. Marta Kostyuk

This will be the 3rd time that Qinwen Zheng and Marta Kostyuk play each other. The head to head is 1-1 (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Kostyuk won 6-2 4-6 7-5 in the 2nd round in Stuttgart back in 2024.

Qinwen Zheng

Qinwen Zheng

4 - 3win/loss

Hard
4-3
I Hard
0-0
Rank
9
High
5
LWWWLLLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 4-4 4-4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 52-18 31-10 17-4 3-2 1-2 0-0
2023 37-19 23-11 11-4 3-1 0-3 0-0
2022 39-19 27-12 10-4 0-0 2-3 0-0
2021 34-11 7-1 16-6 11-4 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 9, the Chinese reached the 4th round after beating Unknown Player bye, Victoria Azarenka 6-3 6-4 and Lulu Sun 6-4 7-5.

In the 3rd round, Zheng had a good straight sets win against Sun (6-4 7-5). During the match, Zheng scored 76 points vs Sun’s 66. The Chinese was extremely aggressive to blast 28 winners.

Talking about the service games, Zheng bagged 4 aces and she committed only 5 double faults. Qinwen Zheng lost the serve 4 times and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Zheng put 57% of her first serves in, winning 70% (28/40) of the points behind her 1st serve and 40% (12/30) on the 2nd serve. The Chinese broke Sun 6 times after converting 43% of her break points (6/14).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Qinwen hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this competition to conquer 55% of the points she played.

Zheng has a fantastic record in the last 9 years having won 70% of her matches (231-98). 3-3 on hard in 2025. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this competition, Zheng has an overall120-56 record in the last 9 years on hard.

Zheng has an aggregate 3-3 win-loss record in 2025, 3-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Indian Wells

Indian Wells
Zheng's Record

Marta Kostyuk

Marta Kostyuk

8 - 7win/loss

Hard
8-7
I Hard
0-0
Rank
29
High
16
LWWLLWLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 8-7 8-7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 34-22 24-14 8-5 0-0 2-3 0-0
2023 26-22 22-16 2-4 0-0 2-2 0-0
2022 28-20 18-11 3-4 4-3 3-2 0-0
2021 25-17 8-9 10-4 3-1 4-3 0-0

Ranked no. 24, Kostyuk got to the 4th round after defeating Unknown Player bye, Robin Montgomery 6-1 6-3 and Caroline Dolehide 6-3 6-3.

In the 3rd round, Kostyuk had a good straight sets win against Dolehide (6-3 6-3). During the match Kostyuk scored 82 points vs Dolehide’s 68. Kostyuk was quite aggressive to blast 33 winners.

About the serving games, Kostyuk managed to score 4 aces and she committed only 6 double faults. Marta Kostyuk lost the serve once and she saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Kostyuk put 65% of her first serves in, winning 72% (33/46) of the points behind her 1st serve and 44% (11/25) on the 2nd serve. The Ukrainian broke Dolehide 4 times after converting 31% of her break points (4/13).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Marta hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 58% of the points she played.

The Ukrainian has a composed 8-6 win-loss record in 2025, 8-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Indian Wells

Previously, her best result was reaching the semifinal in 2024. See her history.

Indian Wells
Kostyuk's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Q.Zheng
M.Kostyuk
3h:15
3h:15
Time on court​
2h:54
2h:54
1h:45
1h:45
Last match​
1h:43
1h:43
2
2
Match played
2
2
41
41
Games Played​
34
34
4
4
Set played​​
4
4
140
140
Total points​
140
140
70
70
Avg point​
70
70
52
52
Winners
54
54
26
26
Avg Winners​
27
27
37%
37%
Ratio winners
39%
39%
-- Serve --
8
8
Aces
6
6
4
4
Avg Aces
3
3
9
9
Double Faults
6
6
4.5
4.5
Avg Double Faults
3
3
52/74
52/74
1st won total​
54/75
54/75
70%
70%
1st won %
!
72%
72%
25/55
25/55
2nd won total​
22/42
22/42
45%
45%
2nd won %
52%
52%
-- Break Points --
11/23
11/23
BP won
9/19
9/19
5.5/11.5
5.5/11.5
Avg BP won
4.5/9.5
4.5/9.5
48%
48%
Won
47%
47%
11
11
Conceded
11
11
5.5
5.5
Avg Conceded
5.5
5.5
7
7
Broken
2
2
3.5
3.5
Avg Broken
1
1
4
4
Saved
9
9

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Zheng Kostyuk
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 4 4
Tot Games 41 34
Pts 140-114 140-102
Total Points 254 242
Winners 52 54
%Winners 37% 39%

Both Zheng and Kostyuk played 2 matches. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Zheng and Kostyuk have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Zheng played 7 games more than Kostyuk. Zheng scored 52 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Kostyuk bagged 54 winners (39%).

Serve Performance

Serve Zheng Kostyuk
Aces 8 6
Avg per match 4 3
1st in 74/129 75/117
%1st in 57% 64%
1st pts 52/74 54/75
%1st pts 70% 72%
2nd pts 25/55 22/42
%2nd pts 45% 52%

Zheng recorded 8 aces (4 per match). Kostyuk bagged 6 aces (3 per match). Zheng won 70% points on her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 45% of the points. On the other side, Kostyuk won 72% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 52% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Zheng Kostyuk
Won 11 9
Converted 11/23 9/19
% Converted 48% 47%
Conceded 11 11
Saved 4 9
% Saved 36% 82%
Times Broken 7 2

Qinwen broke her opponents 11 times with a 48% conversion rate. Qinwen dropped her serve 7 times and she saved 36% of the break points that she conceded. The Ukrainian broke her opponents 9 times with a 47% conversion rate. The Ukrainian conceded her serve twice and she saved 82% of the break points that she conceded.

Zheng
R2
Azarenka
R3
Sun
Total
Score 6-3 6-4 6-4 7-5
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 19 22 41
pts 64-48 76-66 140-114
Total points 112 142 254
Winners 24 28 52
%Winners 38% 37% 37%
SERVE
Aces 4 4 8
Double Faults 4 5 9
1st in 34/59 40/70 74/129
% 1st in 58% 57% 57%
1st pts 24/34 28/40 52/74
% 1st pts 71% 70% 70%
2nd pts 13/25 12/30 25/55
% 2nd pts 52% 40% 45%
Breaks
Won 5 6 11
Converted 5/9 6/14 11/23
Converted % 56% 43% 48%
Conceded 3 8 11
Saved 0/3 4/8 4
Saved % 0% 50% 25%
Times Broken 3 4 7
Kostyuk
R2
Montgomery
R3
Dolehide
Total
Score 6-1 6-3 6-3 6-3
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 16 18 34
pts 58-34 82-68 140-102
Total points 92 150 242
Winners 21 33 54
%Winners 36% 40% 39%
SERVE
Aces 2 4 6
Double Faults 0 6 6
1st in 29/46 46/71 75/117
% 1st in 63% 65% 64%
1st pts 21/29 33/46 54/75
% 1st pts 72% 72% 72%
2nd pts 11/17 11/25 22/42
% 2nd pts 65% 44% 52%
Breaks
Won 5 4 9
Converted 5/6 4/13 9/19
Converted % 83% 31% 47%
Conceded 2 9 11
Saved 1/2 8/9 9
Saved % 50% 89% 70%
Times Broken 1 1 2

Tennis Scores in Indian Wells

Upcoming matches in the draw