Arthur Fils and Marcos Giron will square off in the 4th round of the BNP Paribas Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 3:30 pm on STADIUM 1. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Arthur Fils who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Arthur Fils is the pick to win this match.
Arthur Fils -> 1.75
Marcos Giron -> 2.08

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Arthur Fils vs. Marcos Giron

There is no head to head record between Arthur Fils and Marcos Giron since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

Arthur Fils

Arthur Fils

8 - 4win/loss

Hard
6-3
I Hard
2-1
Rank
40
High
14
LWWWLWWLLW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 22-11 10-6 10-4 2-1 0-0 0-0
2024 42-28 15-9 14-10 7-6 6-3 0-0
2023 43-24 5-4 13-8 21-10 4-2 0-0
2022 43-28 0-1 23-15 20-12 0-0 0-0
2021 33-26 3-2 29-17 1-7 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 21, Arthur got to the 4th round after beating Unknown Player bye, Gabriel Diallo 6-2 6-2 and Lorenzo Musetti 3-6 7-6(4) 6-3.

In the 3rd round against Musetti, The French player recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 7-64 6-3). During the match, Fils scored 97 points vs Musetti’s 96. The French player was quite aggressive to blast 44 winners.

Talking about the service games, Fils made 6 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Arthur Fils lost the serve 4 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Fils put 63% of his first serves in, winning 68% (44/65) of the points behind his 1st serve and 53% (20/38) on the 2nd serve. Arthur broke Musetti 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Arthur has dropped 1 set in this event to conquer 55% of the points he played.

Fils has a solid record in the last 6 years having won 60% of his matches (169-112). 5-3 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Fils has an overall28-19 match record in the last 6 years on hard.

Fils has a composed 7-4 win-loss record in 2025, 5-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Indian Wells

Indian Wells
Fils's Record

Marcos Giron

Marcos Giron

10 - 5win/loss

Hard
9-5
I Hard
1-0
Rank
66
High
37
LWWLLLWLLL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 23-28 12-14 4-7 4-4 3-3 0-0
2024 29-27 6-11 3-8 11-4 9-4 0-0
2023 32-30 17-15 7-6 5-5 3-4 0-0
2022 23-31 11-13 3-9 6-5 3-4 0-0
2021 33-24 12-10 5-5 11-6 5-3 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 48, Giron reached the 4th round after defeating Nikoloz Basilashvili 7-5 7-6(3), Casper Ruud 7-6(4) 3-6 6-2 and Alexei Popyrin 5-7 6-3 6-3.

In the 3rd round against Popyrin, The American recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 6-3 6-3). During the match Giron scored 102 points vs Popyrin’s 95. Marcos was quite aggressive to blast 43 winners.

Talking about serving, Giron scored 7 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Marcos Giron lost the serve once and he saved 14 break points. Furthermore, Giron put 60% of his first serves in, winning 64% (43/67) of the points behind his 1st serve and 64% (28/44) on the 2nd serve. Giron broke Popyrin 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The American has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.

Marcos has a compiled 10-4 win-loss record in 2025, 9-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Indian Wells

Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2019. See his history.

Indian Wells
Giron's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

A.Fils
M.Giron
3h:38
3h:38
Time on court​
!
7h:00
7h:00
!
2h:31
2h:31
Last match​
!
2h:32
2h:32
2
2
Match played
!
3
3
47
47
Games Played​
85
85
5
5
Set played​​
8
8
157
157
Total points​
299
299
78.5
78.5
Avg point​
99.7
99.7
66
66
Winners
128
128
33
33
Avg Winners​
42.7
42.7
42%
42%
Ratio winners
43%
43%
-- Serve --
6
6
Aces
22
22
3
3
Avg Aces
7.3
7.3
3
3
Double Faults
6
6
1.5
1.5
Avg Double Faults
2
2
66/90
66/90
1st won total​
128/182
128/182
!
73%
73%
1st won %
70%
70%
27/50
27/50
2nd won total​
63/116
63/116
54%
54%
2nd won %
54%
54%
-- Break Points --
8/14
8/14
BP won
8/22
8/22
4/7
4/7
Avg BP won
2.7/7.3
2.7/7.3
!
57%
57%
Won
36%
36%
8
8
Conceded
28
28
4
4
Avg Conceded
9.3
9.3
5
5
Broken
5
5
2.5
2.5
Avg Broken
1.7
1.7
3
3
Saved
23
23
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Fils Giron
Match played 2 3
Tot Set 5 8
Tot Games 47 85
Pts 157-128 299-279
Total Points 285 578
Winners 66 128
%Winners 42% 43%

Fils played 2 matches while Giron competed in 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Arthur Fils dropped 1 set, while Marcos Giron conceded 2 sets. Fils has played 3 set(s) less than Giron (5 vs 8). Therefore, Fils played 38 games less than Giron. The French player scored 66 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Giron managed to score 128 winners (43%).

Serve Performance

Serve Fils Giron
Aces 6 22
Avg per match 3 7.3
1st in 90/140 182/298
%1st in 64% 61%
1st pts 66/90 128/182
%1st pts 73% 70%
2nd pts 27/50 63/116
%2nd pts 54% 54%

Fils bagged 6 aces (3 per match). Giron fired 22 aces (7.3 per match). Fils won 73% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Giron won 70% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Fils Giron
Won 8 8
Converted 8/14 8/22
% Converted 57% 36%
Conceded 8 28
Saved 3 23
% Saved 38% 82%
Times Broken 5 5

Fils broke his opponents 8 times with a 57% conversion rate. Arthur conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 38% of the break points that he conceded. The American broke his opponents 8 times with a 36% conversion rate. Marcos conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 82% of the break points that he conceded.

Fils
R2
Diallo		 R3
Musetti		 Total
Score 6-2 6-2 3-6 7-64 6-3
Tot Set 2 3 5
Tot Games 16 31 47
pts 60-32 97-96 157-128
Total points 92 193 285
Winners 22 44 66
%Winners 37% 45% 42%
SERVE
Aces 0 6 6
Double Faults 0 3 3
1st in 25/37 65/103 90/140
% 1st in 68% 63% 64%
1st pts 22/25 44/65 66/90
% 1st pts 88% 68% 73%
2nd pts 7/12 20/38 27/50
% 2nd pts 58% 53% 54%
Breaks
Won 5 3 8
Converted 5/8 3/6 8/14
Converted % 63% 50% 57%
Conceded 1 7 8
Saved 0/1 3/7 3
Saved % 0% 43% 22%
Times Broken 1 4 5
Giron
R1
Basilashvili		 R2
Ruud		 R3
Popyrin		 Total
Score 7-5 7-63 7-64 3-6 6-2 5-7 6-3 6-3
Tot Set 2 3 3 8
Tot Games 25 30 30 85
pts 86-79 111-105 102-95 299-279
Total points 165 216 197 578
Winners 33 52 43 128
%Winners 38% 47% 42% 43%
SERVE
Aces 11 4 7 22
Double Faults 1 3 2 6
1st in 45/72 70/115 67/111 182/298
% 1st in 63% 61% 60% 61%
1st pts 33/45 52/70 43/67 128/182
% 1st pts 73% 74% 64% 70%
2nd pts 16/27 19/45 28/44 63/116
% 2nd pts 59% 42% 64% 54%
Breaks
Won 2 3 3 8
Converted 2/7 3/7 3/8 8/22
Converted % 29% 43% 38% 36%
Conceded 2 11 15 28
Saved 1/2 8/11 14/15 23
Saved % 50% 73% 93% 108%
Times Broken 1 3 1 5

Tennis Scores in Indian Wells

Upcoming matches in the draw

Fils
More Stats
Click here
Giron

Click for FULL STATS