Tallon Griekspoor and Yosuke Watanuki will play each other in the 4th round of the BNP Paribas Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 11:00 am on STADIUM 2. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Tallon Griekspoor who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Tallon Griekspoor is the pick to win this match.
Tallon Griekspoor -> 1.46
Yosuke Watanuki -> 2.71

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Tallon Griekspoor vs. Yosuke Watanuki

There is no head to head record between Tallon Griekspoor and Yosuke Watanuki since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.

Tallon Griekspoor

Tallon Griekspoor

11 - 5win/loss

Hard
8-3
I Hard
3-2
Rank
25
High
21
LWWLLWWLLL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 32-24 10-11 13-8 5-4 4-1 0-0
2024 33-30 10-11 8-8 11-8 4-3 0-0
2023 36-24 14-10 3-5 12-7 7-2 0-0
2022 28-27 5-6 12-6 4-11 7-4 0-0
2021 59-17 11-3 36-10 9-3 3-1 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 43, Griekspoor reached the 4th round after beating Miomir Kecmanovic 6-7(5) 6-4 6-3, Alexander Zverev 4-6 7-6(5) 7-6(4) and Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 7-6(3) 6-3.

In the 3rd round, Tallon had a good straight sets win against Mpetshi Perricard (7-63 6-3). During the match, Griekspoor scored 63 points vs Mpetshi Perricard’s 52. The Dutch was extremely aggressive to blast 26 winners.

Regarding the service games, Griekspoor fired 10 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Tallon Griekspoor was very efficient on serve to win 81% (26/32) of his 1st serve and 75% (21/28) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Dutch broke Mpetshi Perricard twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Tallon has dropped 2 set in this tournament to conquer 52% of the points he played.

Griekspoor has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 63% of his matches (343-200). 7-3 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Griekspoor has a composed 116-60 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

Griekspoor’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in Dubai.

The Dutch has an overall 10-5 win-loss record in 2025, 7-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Indian Wells

Indian Wells
Griekspoor's Record

Yosuke Watanuki

Yosuke Watanuki

9 - 5win/loss

Hard
8-4
I Hard
1-1
Rank
159
High
72
WWWWWLLLWL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 31-24 18-18 0-0 6-1 7-5 0-0
2024 11-11 9-8 0-1 2-2 0-0 0-0
2023 43-23 29-12 7-5 1-2 6-4 0-0
2022 40-22 19-11 6-4 15-7 0-0 0-0
2021 18-17 8-9 2-3 6-4 2-1 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 349, Yousuke reached the 4th round after beating Mattia Bellucci 6-1 6-2, Rudy Quan 6-3 6-2, Alexander Bublik 6-3 3-6 6-3, Tomas Machac 4-6 4-2 ret. and Frances Tiafoe 6-4 7-6(6).

In the 3rd round, Watanuki had a good straight sets win against Tiafoe (6-4 7-66). During the match Watanuki scored 88 points vs Tiafoe’s 70. The Japanese was very aggressive to blast 28 winners.

About the serving games, Watanuki managed to score 16 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Yosuke Watanuki was quite efficient on serve to win 76% (28/37) of his 1st serve and 65% (22/34) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Watanuki broke Tiafoe 3 times after converting 25% of his break points (3/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Watanuki started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.

The Japanese has a compiled 9-4 win-loss record in 2025, 8-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Indian Wells

Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2023. See his history.

Indian Wells
Watanuki's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

T.Griekspoor
Y.Watanuki
6h:38
6h:38
Time on court​
6h:55
6h:55
1h:16
1h:16
Last match​
1h:53
1h:53
3
3
Match played
!
5
5
90
90
Games Played​
98
98
8
8
Set played​​
12
12
283
283
Total points​
339
339
94.3
94.3
Avg point​
67.8
67.8
135
135
Winners
131
131
45
45
Avg Winners​
26.2
26.2
48%
48%
Ratio winners
39%
39%
-- Serve --
32
32
Aces
45
45
!
10.7
10.7
Avg Aces
9
9
16
16
Double Faults
9
9
!
5.3
5.3
Avg Double Faults
1.8
1.8
135/181
135/181
1st won total​
131/171
131/171
!
75%
75%
1st won %
!
77%
77%
63/113
63/113
2nd won total​
78/134
78/134
56%
56%
2nd won %
58%
58%
-- Break Points --
9/19
9/19
BP won
16/39
16/39
3/6.3
3/6.3
Avg BP won
3.2/7.8
3.2/7.8
47%
47%
Won
41%
41%
19
19
Conceded
20
20
6.3
6.3
Avg Conceded
4
4
6
6
Broken
7
7
2
2
Avg Broken
1.4
1.4
13
13
Saved
13
13
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Griekspoor Watanuki
Match played 3 5
Tot Set 8 12
Tot Games 90 98
Pts 283-265 339-266
Total Points 548 605
Winners 135 131
%Winners 48% 39%

Griekspoor played 3 matches while Watanuki competed in 5 matches. Watanuki started his run from the qualifications while Griekspoor had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Tallon Griekspoor conceded 2 sets, while Yosuke Watanuki conceded 2 sets. Griekspoor has played 4 set(s) less than Watanuki (8 vs 12). Therefore, Griekspoor played 8 games less than Watanuki. Tallon scored 135 winners (48% of the total points). On the other side, The Japanese struck 131 winners (39%).

Serve Performance

Serve Griekspoor Watanuki
Aces 32 45
Avg per match 10.7 9
1st in 181/294 171/305
%1st in 62% 56%
1st pts 135/181 131/171
%1st pts 75% 77%
2nd pts 63/113 78/134
%2nd pts 56% 58%

Griekspoor blasted 32 aces (10.7 per match). Watanuki recorded 45 aces (9 per match). Griekspoor won 75% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Watanuki won 77% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Griekspoor Watanuki
Won 9 16
Converted 9/19 16/39
% Converted 47% 41%
Conceded 19 20
Saved 13 13
% Saved 68% 65%
Times Broken 6 7

Griekspoor broke his opponents 9 times with a 47% conversion rate. Tallon lost his serve 6 times and he saved 68% of the break points that he conceded. The Japanese broke his opponents 16 times with a 41% conversion rate. Yousuke conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 65% of the break points that he conceded.

Griekspoor
R1
Kecmanovic		 R2
Zverev		 R3
Mpetshi		 Total
Score 6-75 6-4 6-3 4-6 7-65 7-64 7-63 6-3
Tot Set 3 3 2 8
Tot Games 32 36 22 90
pts 100-92 120-121 63-52 283-265
Total points 192 241 115 548
Winners 46 63 26 135
%Winners 46% 53% 41% 48%
SERVE
Aces 12 10 10 32
Double Faults 6 9 1 16
1st in 59/99 90/135 32/60 181/294
% 1st in 60% 67% 53% 62%
1st pts 46/59 63/90 26/32 135/181
% 1st pts 78% 70% 81% 75%
2nd pts 23/40 19/45 21/28 63/113
% 2nd pts 58% 42% 75% 56%
Breaks
Won 3 4 2 9
Converted 3/5 4/9 2/5 9/19
Converted % 60% 44% 40% 47%
Conceded 3 14 2 19
Saved 3/3 9/14 1/2 13
Saved % 100% 64% 50% 71%
Times Broken 0 5 1 6
Watanuki
Q1
Bellucci		 Q3
Quan		 R1
Bublik		 R2
Machac		 R3
Tiafoe		 Total
Score 6-1 6-2 6-3 6-2 6-3 3-6 6-3 4-6 4-2 ret. 6-4 7-66
Tot Set 2 2 3 2 2 11
Tot Games 15 17 27 16 23 98
pts 64-46 58-36 84-73 45-41 88-70 339-266
Total points 110 94 157 86 158 605
Winners 28 19 37 19 28 131
%Winners 44% 33% 44% 42% 32% 39%
SERVE
Aces 7 5 13 4 16 45
Double Faults 1 2 2 2 2 9
1st in 39/68 24/48 49/76 22/42 37/71 171/305
% 1st in 57% 50% 64% 52% 52% 56%
1st pts 28/39 19/24 37/49 19/22 28/37 131/171
% 1st pts 72% 79% 76% 86% 76% 77%
2nd pts 15/29 13/24 18/27 10/20 22/34 78/134
% 2nd pts 52% 54% 67% 50% 65% 58%
Breaks
Won 4 5 2 2 3 16
Converted 4/8 5/6 2/11 2/2 3/12 16/39
Converted % 50% 83% 18% 100% 25% 41%
Conceded 3 3 4 4 6 20
Saved 3/3 1/3 3/4 2/4 4/6 13
Saved % 100% 33% 75% 50% 67% 108%
Times Broken 0 2 1 2 2 7

Tennis Scores in Indian Wells

Upcoming matches in the draw

Griekspoor
More Stats
Click here
Watanuki

Click for FULL STATS