Madison Keys is 5 wins away to conquer the title in Indian Wells. Madison has defeated Anastasia Potapova 6-3 6-0 to reach the 3rd round where she will face Elise Mertens.

Draw prediction with head to head records

This is Madison Keys’s projected draw andherpresumable opposition in BNP Paribas Open. Madison has a negative record (11-14) against the projected opponents.

R1 – Bye
R2 – Anastasia Potapova (34) – 6-3 6-0
R3 – Elise Mertens (28) – H2H 3-2
R4 – Emma Navarro (8) – H2H 1-2
or Donna Vekic (22) – H2H 2-1
1/4 – Cori Gauff (3) – H2H 3-2
or Diana Shnaider (13) – H2H 1-0
1/2 – Aryna Sabalenka (1) – H2H 2-4
or Jasmine Paolini (6) – H2H 1-1
Fin – Iga Swiatek (2) – H2H 2-4
or Jessica Pegula (4) – H2H 2-1
Latest Updated
Draw

R3 – Elise Mertens’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 3-2 for Madison Keys

14 - 4win/loss in 2025

Rank
28
High
12
WLWLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 14-4 9-4 0-0 5-0 0-0 0-0
2024 28-25 18-15 6-5 1-1 3-4 0-0
2023 30-22 24-16 5-4 0-0 1-2 0-0
2022 29-23 19-14 4-3 2-2 4-4 0-0
2021 33-20 20-10 9-5 2-2 2-3 0-0
2020 34-13 17-7 9-4 8-2 0-0 0-0
2019 35-27 23-14 4-6 1-3 7-4 0-0
2018 46-21 25-13 16-2 1-2 4-4 0-0

Elise Mertens has a 14-4 win-loss record in 2025, 9-4 on hard. In the course of the last 14 years, Mertens has a 272-140 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Mertens won 8 of her last 10 matches.

Her best result of this season was conquering the tournament in Singapore where she overcame Ann Li in the final 6-1 6-4.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open the Belgian lost to Cori Gauff in the 4th round 6-0 6-2.

H2H Madison Keys vs. Elise Mertens

This match would represent the 6th time that Madison Keys and Elise Mertens square off. The head to head is 3-2 for Keys (see full H2H stats), but they are 2-2 on hard in major tournaments.

R4 – Emma Navarro’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 2-1 for Emma Navarro

11 - 5win/loss in 2025

Rank
8
High
8
WWWWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 11-5 11-5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 54-24 33-14 14-7 0-0 7-3 0-0
2023 64-24 17-9 37-11 3-1 7-3 0-0
2022 31-18 8-8 23-10 0-0 0-0 0-0
2021 19-13 6-6 13-7 0-0 0-0 0-0
2020 2-7 0-4 2-2 0-1 0-0 0-0
2019 10-12 3-4 7-8 0-0 0-0 0-0
2018 19-9 2-3 12-5 5-1 0-0 0-0

Emma Navarro has a 11-5 win-loss record in 2025, she played all matches on hard. During the last 9 years, Emma has a 82-55 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Emma will try to keep a positive momentum since she is on a 5 matches winning streak.

Her most significant result of the current season was winning the tournament in Merida where she beat Emiliana Arango in the final 6-0 6-0.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open the American lost to Maria Sakkari in the quarter 5-7 6-2 6-4.

H2H Madison Keys vs. Emma Navarro

This contest would be 4th time that Madison Keys and Emma Navarro face off. The head to head is 2-1 for Navarro (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard in major tournaments.

Notwithstanding, Madison Keys may fight against Donna Vekic. Their head to head is 2-1 for Madison Keys.

1/4 – Cori Gauff’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 3-2 for Madison Keys

10 - 3win/loss in 2025

Rank
3
High
2
WLLLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 10-3 10-3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 54-18 31-10 14-5 4-1 5-2 0-0
2023 51-16 40-9 7-4 0-0 4-3 0-0
2022 38-23 23-16 10-4 0-1 5-2 0-0
2021 36-16 16-10 16-4 0-0 4-2 0-0
2020 12-8 7-5 2-2 3-1 0-0 0-0
2019 29-15 9-6 7-5 7-3 6-1 0-0
2018 9-4 4-2 5-2 0-0 0-0 0-0

Cori Gauff has a 10-3 win-loss record in 2025, she played all matches on hard. Regarding the previous 9 years, the American has a 140-61 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Cori won 7 of her last 10 matches.

Her best result of this year was winning the title in Australia where she beat Iga Swiatek in the final 6-4 6-4.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open Gauff was overcome by Maria Sakkari in the semifinal 6-4 6-7(5) 6-2.

H2H Madison Keys vs. Cori Gauff

This match would represent the 6th time that Madison Keys and Cori Gauff square off. The head to head is 3-2

for Keys (see full H2H stats), but Gauff leads 2-1 on hard in major tournaments.

Possibly, Madison Keys could square off with Diana Shnaider. Their head to head is 1-0 for Madison Keys.

1/2 – Aryna Sabalenka’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 4-2 for Aryna Sabalenka

13 - 3win/loss in 2025

Rank
1
High
1
WLWLLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 13-3 13-3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 56-14 38-7 15-4 2-2 1-1 0-0
2023 55-14 35-9 14-3 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 33-22 20-15 9-5 0-0 4-2 0-0
2021 45-18 24-11 13-3 1-1 7-3 0-0
2020 29-10 14-7 6-3 9-0 0-0 0-0
2019 39-22 28-12 5-5 4-1 2-4 0-0
2018 51-25 34-13 7-6 3-2 7-4 0-0

Aryna Sabalenka has a 13-3 record in 2025, she played all matches on hard. Talking about the last 10 years, the Belarussian has a 240-95 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Aryna won 7 of her last 10 matches.

Her most significant result of the year was winning the title in Brisbane where she defeated Polina Kudermetova in the final 4-6 6-3 6-2.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open the Belarussian was defeated by Emma Navarro in the 4th round 6-3 3-6 6-2.

H2H Madison Keys vs. Aryna Sabalenka

This contest would be 7th time that Madison Keys and Aryna Sabalenka fight against each other. The head to head is 4-2 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), 3-1 on hard in major tournaments.

Nonetheless, Madison Keys could fight against Jasmine Paolini. Their H2H record is 1-1.

Final – Iga Swiatek’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 4-2 for Iga Swiatek

16 - 4win/loss in 2025

Rank
2
High
1
WWLWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 16-4 16-4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 64-9 29-5 26-2 7-1 2-1 0-0
2023 68-11 42-8 19-2 0-0 7-1 0-0
2022 67-9 42-6 18-1 5-1 2-1 0-0
2021 36-15 18-10 12-2 2-1 4-2 0-0
2020 16-5 6-4 7-1 3-0 0-0 0-0
2019 34-17 17-8 10-3 4-3 3-3 0-0
2018 43-6 8-1 34-5 1-0 0-0 0-0

Iga Swiatek has a 16-4 win-loss record in 2025, she played all matches on hard. Regarding the last 10 years, the Pole has a 178-46 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Iga won 7 of her last 10 matches.

The Pole’s best achievement of the current season was getting to the final Australia.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open Iga conquered the competition after beating Maria Sakkari 6-4 6-0.

H2H Madison Keys vs. Iga Swiatek

This would be the 7th time that Madison Keys and Iga Swiatek clash against each other. The head to head is 4-2 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), but Keys leads 2-1 on hard in major tournaments.

However, Madison Keys could come up against Jessica Pegula. Their H2H is 2-1 for Madison Keys.