Elise Mertens is 5 wins away to conquer the title in Indian Wells. Mertens has defeated Kimberly Birrell 6-4 7-5 to reach the 3rd round where she will face Madison Keys.

Draw prediction with head to head records

This is Elise Mertens’s projected draw andherprojected opponents in BNP Paribas Open. Mertens has a losing record (5-18) with the presumable opposition.

R1 – Bye
R2 – Kimberly Birrell (76) – 6-4 7-5
R3 – Madison Keys (5) – H2H 2-3
R4 – Emma Navarro (8) – H2H 0-2
or Donna Vekic (22) – H2H 0-1
1/4 – Cori Gauff (3) – H2H 1-4
or Diana Shnaider (13) – H2H 1-0
1/2 – Aryna Sabalenka (1) – H2H 2-8
or Jasmine Paolini (6) – H2H 4-2
Fin – Iga Swiatek (2) – H2H 0-1
or Jessica Pegula (4) – H2H 3-1
Latest Updated
Draw

R3 – Madison Keys’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 3-2 for Madison Keys

15 - 1win/loss in 2025

Rank
5
High
5
WWWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 15-1 15-1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 24-12 7-6 13-4 0-0 4-2 0-0
2023 33-15 19-9 5-3 0-2 9-1 0-0
2022 30-20 25-12 4-4 0-3 1-1 0-0
2021 11-15 3-9 3-4 0-0 5-2 0-0
2020 8-5 8-4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0-0
2019 28-15 16-9 10-3 1-2 1-1 0-0
2018 29-14 16-9 11-4 0-0 2-1 0-0

Madison Keys has a 15-1 win-loss record in 2025, she played all matches on hard. As for the last 17 years, Keys has a 244-138 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The American will try to keep a positive momentum since she is on a 10 matches winning streak.

Her most significant result of this season was winning the tournament in Adelaide where she beat Jessica Pegula in the final 6-3 4-6 6-1, and at the Australian Open where she defeated Aryna Sabalenka in the final 6-3 2-6 7-5.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open Keys lost to Yulia Putintseva in the 3rd round 6-4 6-1.

H2H Elise Mertens vs. Madison Keys

This would be the 6th time that Elise Mertens and Madison Keys fight against each other. The head to head is 3-2 for Keys (see full H2H stats), but they are 2-2 on hard in major tournaments.

R4 – Emma Navarro’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 2-0 for Emma Navarro

11 - 5win/loss in 2025

Rank
8
High
8
WWWWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 11-5 11-5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 54-24 33-14 14-7 0-0 7-3 0-0
2023 64-24 17-9 37-11 3-1 7-3 0-0
2022 31-18 8-8 23-10 0-0 0-0 0-0
2021 19-13 6-6 13-7 0-0 0-0 0-0
2020 2-7 0-4 2-2 0-1 0-0 0-0
2019 10-12 3-4 7-8 0-0 0-0 0-0
2018 19-9 2-3 12-5 5-1 0-0 0-0

Emma Navarro has a 11-5 record in 2025, she played all matches on hard. During the last 9 years, the American has a 82-55 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The American will try to keep a positive momentum since she is on a 5 matches winning streak.

Her best achievement of the season was winning the title in Merida where she beat Emiliana Arango in the final 6-0 6-0.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open the American surrendered to Maria Sakkari in the quarter 5-7 6-2 6-4.

H2H Elise Mertens vs. Emma Navarro

This would be the 3rd time that Elise Mertens and Emma Navarro square off. The head to head is 2-0 for Navarro (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard in major tournaments.

Alternatively, Elise Mertens could face Donna Vekic. Their head to head is 1-0 for Donna Vekic.

1/4 – Cori Gauff’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 4-1 for Cori Gauff

10 - 3win/loss in 2025

Rank
3
High
2
WLLLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 10-3 10-3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 54-18 31-10 14-5 4-1 5-2 0-0
2023 51-16 40-9 7-4 0-0 4-3 0-0
2022 38-23 23-16 10-4 0-1 5-2 0-0
2021 36-16 16-10 16-4 0-0 4-2 0-0
2020 12-8 7-5 2-2 3-1 0-0 0-0
2019 29-15 9-6 7-5 7-3 6-1 0-0
2018 9-4 4-2 5-2 0-0 0-0 0-0

Cori Gauff has a 10-3 record in 2025, she played all matches on hard. In the last 9 years, the American has a 140-61 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The American won 7 of her last 10 matches.

Her most significant result of the current season was winning the competition in Australia where she defeated Iga Swiatek in the final 6-4 6-4.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open Cori capitulated to Maria Sakkari in the semifinal 6-4 6-7(5) 6-2

.

H2H Elise Mertens vs. Cori Gauff

This contest would be 6th time that Elise Mertens and Cori Gauff fight against each other. The head to head is 4-1 for Gauff (see full H2H stats), 2-1 on hard in major tournaments.

Alternatively, Elise Mertens could square off with Diana Shnaider. Their head to head is 1-0 for Elise Mertens.

1/2 – Aryna Sabalenka’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 8-2 for Aryna Sabalenka

13 - 3win/loss in 2025

Rank
1
High
1
WLWLLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 13-3 13-3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 56-14 38-7 15-4 2-2 1-1 0-0
2023 55-14 35-9 14-3 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 33-22 20-15 9-5 0-0 4-2 0-0
2021 45-18 24-11 13-3 1-1 7-3 0-0
2020 29-10 14-7 6-3 9-0 0-0 0-0
2019 39-22 28-12 5-5 4-1 2-4 0-0
2018 51-25 34-13 7-6 3-2 7-4 0-0

Aryna Sabalenka has a 13-3 win-loss record in 2025, she played all matches on hard. As for the last 10 years, Sabalenka has a 240-95 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The Belarussian won 7 of her last 10 matches.

Her most significant result of the season was winning the title in Brisbane where she beat Polina Kudermetova in the final 4-6 6-3 6-2.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open Sabalenka capitulated to Emma Navarro in the 4th round 6-3 3-6 6-2.

H2H Elise Mertens vs. Aryna Sabalenka

This would be the 11th time that Elise Mertens and Aryna Sabalenka play each other. The head to head is 8-2 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), 5-1 on hard in major tournaments.

However, Elise Mertens could fight against Jasmine Paolini. Their head to head is 4-2 for Elise Mertens.

Final – Iga Swiatek’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 1-0 for Iga Swiatek

16 - 4win/loss in 2025

Rank
2
High
1
WWLWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 16-4 16-4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 64-9 29-5 26-2 7-1 2-1 0-0
2023 68-11 42-8 19-2 0-0 7-1 0-0
2022 67-9 42-6 18-1 5-1 2-1 0-0
2021 36-15 18-10 12-2 2-1 4-2 0-0
2020 16-5 6-4 7-1 3-0 0-0 0-0
2019 34-17 17-8 10-3 4-3 3-3 0-0
2018 43-6 8-1 34-5 1-0 0-0 0-0

Iga Swiatek has a 16-4 record in 2025, she played all matches on hard. In the course of the last 10 years, Swiatek has a 178-46 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Swiatek won 7 of her last 10 matches.

Swiatek’s best result of this current season was reaching the final Australia.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open Swiatek won the event after beating Maria Sakkari 6-4 6-0.

H2H Elise Mertens vs. Iga Swiatek

This would be the 2nd time that Elise Mertens and Iga Swiatek fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard in major tournaments.

Notwithstanding, Elise Mertens could fight against Jessica Pegula. Their H2H record is 3-1 for Elise Mertens.