[UPDATED R3]. Prediction, H2H of Maria Sakkari’s draw vs Gauff, Shnaider, Keys, Sabalenka, Swiatek to win the Indian Wells

Indian Wells draw preview with H2H - Maria Sakkari may need to oust Cori Gauff, Diana Shnaider, Madison Keys, Aryna Sabalenka, Iga Swiatek to conquer the tournament in the BNP Paribas Open.

Maria Sakkari Stats info

Maria Sakkari is 5 wins away to conquer the title in Indian Wells. Maria has defeated Viktoriya Tomova 6-0 6-3 to reach the 3rd round where she will face Cori Gauff.

Draw prediction with head to head records

This is Maria Sakkari’s projected draw includingherlikely opponents in BNP Paribas Open. Sakkari has a good record (17-14) against the projected opponents.

R1 – Bye
R2 – Viktoriya Tomova (63) – 6-0 6-3
R3 – Cori Gauff (3) – H2H 5-3
R4 – Diana Shnaider (13) – H2H 2-0
or Belinda Bencic (58) – H2H 1-1
1/4 – Madison Keys (5) – H2H 4-0
or Emma Navarro (8) – H2H 2-1
1/2 – Aryna Sabalenka (1) – H2H 3-7
or Jasmine Paolini (6) – H2H 1-1
Fin – Iga Swiatek (2) – H2H 3-4
or Jessica Pegula (4) – H2H 5-6
Sakkari
Latest Updated
Draw

See Updated Draw

R3 – Cori Gauff’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 5-3 for Maria Sakkari

48 - 16win/loss in 2025

Rank
3
High
2
LWLWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 48-16 29-9 18-3 1-2 0-2 0-0
2024 54-18 31-10 14-5 4-1 5-2 0-0
2023 51-16 40-9 7-4 0-0 4-3 0-0
2022 38-23 23-16 10-4 0-1 5-2 0-0
2021 36-16 16-10 16-4 0-0 4-2 0-0
2020 12-8 7-5 2-2 3-1 0-0 0-0
2019 29-15 9-6 7-5 7-3 6-1 0-0
2018 9-4 4-2 5-2 0-0 0-0 0-0

Cori Gauff has a 10-3 record in 2025, she played all matches on hard. In the course of the last 9 years, Cori has a 140-61 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Gauff won 7 of her last 10 matches.

Her most significant achievement of the year was conquering the tournament in Australia where she overcame Iga Swiatek in the final 6-4 6-4.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open Gauff was defeated by Maria Sakkari in the semifinal 6-4 6-7(5) 6-2.

H2H Maria Sakkari vs. Cori Gauff

This would be the 9th time that Maria Sakkari and Cori Gauff play each other. The head to head is 5-3 for Sakkari (see full H2H stats), 4-2 on hard in major tournaments.

R4 – Diana Shnaider’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 2-0 for Maria Sakkari

28 - 25win/loss in 2025

Rank
21
High
11
LWLWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 28-25 16-16 8-5 0-0 4-4 0-0
2024 55-23 31-15 15-5 0-0 9-3 0-0
2023 25-22 14-13 10-8 0-0 1-1 0-0
2022 58-17 11-4 46-11 1-2 0-0 0-0
2021 9-3 0-0 8-2 1-1 0-0 0-0
2020 2-2 0-0 2-2 0-0 0-0 0-0
2019 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0

Diana Shnaider has a 7-6 record in 2025, she played all matches on hard. As for the last 4 years, Diana has a 63-38 record on hard. Shnaider won 5 of her last 10 matches.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open Diana was overcome by Maria Sakkari in the 2nd round 5-7 6-4 6-0.

H2H Maria Sakkari vs. Diana Shnaider

This match would represent the 3rd time that Maria Sakkari and Diana Shnaider face off. The head to head is 2-0 for Sakkari (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard in major tournaments.

Possibly, Maria Sakkari could play Belinda Bencic. Their H2H record is 1-1.

1/4 – Madison Keys’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 4-0 for Maria Sakkari

37 - 15win/loss in 2025

Rank
7
High
5
LLLLWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 37-15 24-6 9-4 0-2 4-3 0-0
2024 24-12 7-6 13-4 0-0 4-2 0-0
2023 33-15 19-9 5-3 0-2 9-1 0-0
2022 30-20 25-12 4-4 0-3 1-1 0-0
2021 11-15 3-9 3-4 0-0 5-2 0-0
2020 8-5 8-4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0-0
2019 28-15 16-9 10-3 1-2 1-1 0-0
2018 29-14 16-9 11-4 0-0 2-1 0-0

Madison Keys has a 15-1 win-loss record in 2025, she played all matches on hard. In the last 17 years, Madison has a 244-138 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Madison will try to keep a positive momentum since she is on a 10 matches winning streak.

Her best achievement of the year was winning the title in Adelaide where she defeated Jessica Pegula in the final 6-3 4-6 6-1, and at the Australian Open where she overcame Aryna Sabalenka in the final 6-3 2-6 7-5.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open the American lost to Yulia Putintseva in the 3rd round 6-4 6-1.

H2H Maria Sakkari vs. Madison Keys

This match would represent the 5th time that Maria Sakkari and Madison Keys play each other. The head to head is 4-0 for Sakkari (see full H2H stats), 3-0 on hard in major tournaments.

Anyhow, Maria Sakkari could face Emma Navarro. Their head to head record is 2-1 for Maria Sakkari.

1/2 – Aryna Sabalenka’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 7-3 for Aryna Sabalenka

63 - 12win/loss in 2025

Rank
1
High
1
LWWWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 63-12 35-6 17-3 4-1 7-2 0-0
2024 56-14 38-7 15-4 2-2 1-1 0-0
2023 55-14 35-9 14-3 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 33-22 20-15 9-5 0-0 4-2 0-0
2021 45-18 24-11 13-3 1-1 7-3 0-0
2020 29-10 14-7 6-3 9-0 0-0 0-0
2019 39-22 28-12 5-5 4-1 2-4 0-0
2018 51-25 34-13 7-6 3-2 7-4 0-0

Aryna Sabalenka has a 13-3 win-loss record in 2025, she played all matches on hard. Talking about the last 10 years, the Belarussian has a 240-95 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Sabalenka won 7 of her last 10 matches.

Her best result of this current year was winning the tournament in Brisbane where she overcame Polina Kudermetova in the final 4-6 6-3 6-2.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open Aryna surrendered to Emma Navarro in the 4th round 6-3 3-6 6-2.

H2H Maria Sakkari vs. Aryna Sabalenka

This match would represent the 11th time that Maria Sakkari and Aryna Sabalenka play each other. The head to head is 7-3 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), 6-3 on hard in major tournaments.

On the other hand, Maria Sakkari could come up against Jasmine Paolini. Their head to head is 1-1.

Final – Iga Swiatek’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 4-3 for Iga Swiatek

64 - 17win/loss in 2025

Rank
2
High
1
WWLLWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 64-17 40-10 11-4 3-2 10-1 0-0
2024 64-9 29-5 26-2 7-1 2-1 0-0
2023 68-11 42-8 19-2 0-0 7-1 0-0
2022 67-9 42-6 18-1 5-1 2-1 0-0
2021 36-15 18-10 12-2 2-1 4-2 0-0
2020 16-5 6-4 7-1 3-0 0-0 0-0
2019 34-17 17-8 10-3 4-3 3-3 0-0
2018 43-6 8-1 34-5 1-0 0-0 0-0

Iga Swiatek has a 16-4 win-loss record in 2025, she played all matches on hard. Talking about the previous 10 years, Iga has a 178-46 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The Pole won 7 of her last 10 matches.

Iga’s most significant result of the current year was getting to the final Australia.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open Iga won the event after defeating Maria Sakkari 6-4 6-0.

H2H Maria Sakkari vs. Iga Swiatek

This contest would be 8th time that Maria Sakkari and Iga Swiatek clash against each other. The head to head is 4-3 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), 4-1 on hard in major tournaments.

Yet, Maria Sakkari could fight against Jessica Pegula. Their head to head record is 6-5 for Jessica Pegula.