[UPDATED R3]. Prediction, H2H of Daria Kasatkina’s draw vs Samsonova, Paolini, Sabalenka, Gauff, Swiatek to win the Indian Wells

Indian Wells draw preview with H2H - Daria Kasatkina may need to oust Liudmila Samsonova, Jasmine Paolini, Aryna Sabalenka, Cori Gauff, Iga Swiatek to conquer the competition in the BNP Paribas Open.

Daria Kasatkina Stats info

Daria Kasatkina is 5 wins away to conquer the title in Indian Wells. Darya has defeated Sofia Kenin 3-6 7-5 6-4 to reach the 3rd round where she will face Liudmila Samsonova.

Draw prediction with head to head records

This is Daria Kasatkina’s projected draw together withherpresumable opponents in BNP Paribas Open. Kasatkina has a weak record (9-16) with the presumable opponents.

R1 – Bye
R2 – Sofia Kenin (47) – 3-6 7-5 6-4
R3 – Liudmila Samsonova (25) – H2H 0-0
R4 – Jasmine Paolini (6) – H2H 3-3
or Jaqueline Cristian (79) – H2H 3-0
1/4 – Aryna Sabalenka (1) – H2H 2-7
or Polina Kudermetova (60) – H2H 1-1
1/2 – Cori Gauff (3) – H2H 3-0
or Madison Keys (5) – H2H 2-10
Fin – Iga Swiatek (2) – H2H 1-6
or Jessica Pegula (4) – H2H 1-3
Kasatkina
Latest Updated
Draw

See Updated Draw

R3 – Liudmila Samsonova’s rankings and performance.

Head to head record 0-0

9 - 8win/loss in 2025

Rank
19
High
12
LLWWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 9-8 9-8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 26-23 12-15 6-5 0-0 8-3 0-0
2023 34-24 25-15 4-4 1-1 4-4 0-0
2022 30-17 26-10 3-4 0-0 1-3 0-0
2021 39-22 15-9 6-9 8-3 10-1 0-0
2020 20-12 10-6 4-4 6-2 0-0 0-0
2019 32-28 8-9 10-10 9-6 5-3 0-0
2018 65-23 12-4 49-16 1-2 0-0 3-1

Liudmila Samsonova has a 7-6 record in 2025, she played all matches on hard. In the course of the last 10 years, the Russian has a 117-75 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Samsonova won 5 of her last 10 matches.

Samsonova’s most significant result of this current season was getting to the semifinal Adelaide.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open Samsonova surrendered to Naomi Osaka in the 2nd round 7-5 6-3.

H2H Daria Kasatkina vs. Liudmila Samsonova

There is no head to head record between Daria Kasatkina and Liudmila Samsonova since this would be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

R4 – Jasmine Paolini’s rankings and performance.

Head to head record 3-3

12 - 6win/loss in 2025

Rank
6
High
4
LWWWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 12-6 12-6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 42-21 19-10 12-5 3-4 8-2 0-0
2023 43-30 20-16 16-8 5-3 2-3 0-0
2022 30-25 14-11 10-10 6-3 0-1 0-0
2021 34-24 17-13 12-7 5-3 0-1 0-0
2020 7-15 1-8 4-5 2-2 0-0 0-0
2019 48-29 12-8 32-14 4-6 0-1 0-0
2018 28-33 9-9 18-18 1-3 0-3 0-0

Jasmine Paolini has a 7-4 record in 2025, she played all matches on hard. In the previous 13 years, the Italian has a 134-101 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The Italian won 6 of her last 10 matches.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open the Italian lost to Anastasia Potapova in the 4th round 7-5 0-6 6-3.

H2H Daria Kasatkina vs. Jasmine Paolini

This would be the 7th time that Daria Kasatkina and Jasmine Paolini square off. The head to head is 3-3 for Kasatkina and Paolini (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard in major tournaments.

Possibly, Daria Kasatkina may come up against Jaqueline Cristian. Their H2H is 3-0 for Daria Kasatkina.

1/4 – Aryna Sabalenka’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 7-2 for Aryna Sabalenka

23 - 4win/loss in 2025

Rank
1
High
1
WWWWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 23-4 23-4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 56-14 38-7 15-4 2-2 1-1 0-0
2023 55-14 35-9 14-3 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 33-22 20-15 9-5 0-0 4-2 0-0
2021 45-18 24-11 13-3 1-1 7-3 0-0
2020 29-10 14-7 6-3 9-0 0-0 0-0
2019 39-22 28-12 5-5 4-1 2-4 0-0
2018 51-25 34-13 7-6 3-2 7-4 0-0

Aryna Sabalenka has a 13-3 win-loss record in 2025, she played all matches on hard. Talking about the last 10 years, the Belarussian has a 240-95 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Aryna won 7 of her last 10 matches.

Her most significant result of this year was winning the title in Brisbane where she beat Polina Kudermetova in the final 4-6 6-3 6-2.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open Aryna was overcome by Emma Navarro in the 4th round 6-3 3-6 6-2.

H2H Daria Kasatkina vs. Aryna Sabalenka

This match would represent the 10th time that Daria Kasatkina and Aryna Sabalenka square off. The head to head is 7-2 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), 4-2 on hard in major tournaments.

Anyhow, Daria Kasatkina may compete against Polina Kudermetova. Their head to head is 1-1.

1/2 – Cori Gauff’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 3-0 for Daria Kasatkina

13 - 5win/loss in 2025

Rank
4
High
2
LWWLWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 13-5 13-5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 54-18 31-10 14-5 4-1 5-2 0-0
2023 51-16 40-9 7-4 0-0 4-3 0-0
2022 38-23 23-16 10-4 0-1 5-2 0-0
2021 36-16 16-10 16-4 0-0 4-2 0-0
2020 12-8 7-5 2-2 3-1 0-0 0-0
2019 29-15 9-6 7-5 7-3 6-1 0-0
2018 9-4 4-2 5-2 0-0 0-0 0-0

Cori Gauff has a 10-3 record in 2025, she played all matches on hard. Talking about the previous 9 years, Gauff has a 140-61 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The American won 7 of her last 10 matches.

Her most significant achievement of the current year was conquering the tournament in Australia where she overcame Iga Swiatek in the final 6-4 6-4.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open Cori surrendered to Maria Sakkari in the semifinal 6-4 6-7(5) 6-2.

H2H Daria Kasatkina vs. Cori Gauff

This would be the 4th time that Daria Kasatkina and Cori Gauff face off. The head to head is 3-0 for Kasatkina (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard in major tournaments.

On the other hand, Daria Kasatkina could square off with Madison Keys. Their H2H record is 10-2 for Madison Keys.

Final – Iga Swiatek’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 6-1 for Iga Swiatek

21 - 6win/loss in 2025

Rank
2
High
1
LWWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 21-6 21-6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 64-9 29-5 26-2 7-1 2-1 0-0
2023 68-11 42-8 19-2 0-0 7-1 0-0
2022 67-9 42-6 18-1 5-1 2-1 0-0
2021 36-15 18-10 12-2 2-1 4-2 0-0
2020 16-5 6-4 7-1 3-0 0-0 0-0
2019 34-17 17-8 10-3 4-3 3-3 0-0
2018 43-6 8-1 34-5 1-0 0-0 0-0

Iga Swiatek has a 16-4 win-loss record in 2025, she played all matches on hard. In the course of the previous 10 years, Swiatek has a 178-46 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Iga won 7 of her last 10 matches.

The Pole’s best achievement of the year was getting to the final Australia.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open the Pole conquered the tournament after defeating Maria Sakkari 6-4 6-0.

H2H Daria Kasatkina vs. Iga Swiatek

This match would represent the 8th time that Daria Kasatkina and Iga Swiatek play each other. The head to head is 6-1 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), 4-0 on hard in major tournaments.

Notwithstanding, Daria Kasatkina could come up against Jessica Pegula. Their head to head is 3-1 for Jessica Pegula.