Carlos Alcaraz is 5 wins away to conquer the title in Indian Wells. Carlos has defeated Quentin Halys 6-4 6-2 to reach the 3rd round where he will face Denis Shapovalov.

Draw prediction with head to head records

This is Carlos Alcaraz’s projected draw includinghislikely opposition in BNP Paribas Open. The Spaniard has a positive record (15-4) with the projected opponents.

R1 – Bye
R2 – Quentin Halys (59) – 6-4 6-2
R3 – Denis Shapovalov (28) – H2H 1-0
R4 – Grigor Dimitrov (15) – H2H 3-2
or Gael Monfils (42) – H2H 3-1
1/4 – Alex De Minaur (10) – H2H 3-0
or Hubert Hurkacz (22) – H2H 4-0
1/2 – Taylor Fritz (4) – H2H 2-0
or Ben Shelton (12) – H2H 2-0
Fin – Daniil Medvedev (6) – H2H 6-2
or Stefanos Tsitsipas (9) – H2H 6-0
Latest Updated
Draw

R3 – Denis Shapovalov’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 1-0 for Carlos Alcaraz

11 - 4win/loss in 2025

Rank
28
High
10
WLWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 11-4 6-4 0-0 5-0 0-0 0-0
2024 33-25 9-10 5-6 16-6 3-3 0-0
2023 13-13 6-6 3-3 0-1 4-3 0-0
2022 34-26 22-12 4-4 7-6 1-4 0-0
2021 30-23 11-11 7-6 4-3 8-3 0-0
2020 17-15 8-6 5-2 4-7 0-0 0-0
2019 38-28 20-11 4-6 14-8 0-3 0-0
2018 35-28 18-13 8-6 7-5 2-4 0-0

Denis Shapovalov has a 11-4 win-loss record in 2025, 6-4 on hard. As for the previous 11 years, Shapovalov has a 139-93 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Shapovalov won 9 of his last 10 matches.

His most significant achievement of this season was winning the title in Dallas where he defeated Casper Ruud in the final 7-6(5) 6-3.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open the Canadian lost to Lorenzo Musetti in the 2nd round 6-4 2-6 7-5.

H2H Carlos Alcaraz vs. Denis Shapovalov

This match would represent the 2nd time that Carlos Alcaraz and Denis Shapovalov square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard in major tournaments.

R4 – Grigor Dimitrov’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 3-2 for Carlos Alcaraz

4 - 4win/loss in 2025

Rank
15
High
3
WLLLLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 4-4 4-4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 46-18 21-7 8-4 13-5 4-2 0-0
2023 43-21 16-10 10-5 10-4 7-2 0-0
2022 26-22 10-11 10-5 5-4 1-2 0-0
2021 24-18 18-10 3-5 2-2 1-1 0-0
2020 18-11 8-5 6-2 4-4 0-0 0-0
2019 24-21 12-10 7-6 5-3 0-2 0-0
2018 25-19 11-9 7-5 6-3 1-2 0-0

Grigor Dimitrov has a 4-4 win-loss record in 2025, he played all matches on hard. As for the last 19 years, Grigor has a 271-158 record on hard (Click here to see full career record).

Grigor’s most significant achievement of the year was getting to the semifinal Brisbane.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open the Bulgarian was defeated by Daniil Medvedev in the 4th round 6-4 6-4.

H2H Carlos Alcaraz vs. Grigor Dimitrov

This match would represent the 6th time that Carlos Alcaraz and Grigor Dimitrov clash against each other. The head to head is 3-2

for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats
), but Dimitrov has a winning record of 2-0 on hard in major tournaments.

Nonetheless, Carlos Alcaraz may take on Gael Monfils. Their head to head record is 3-1 for Carlos Alcaraz.

1/4 – Alex De Minaur’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 3-0 for Carlos Alcaraz

14 - 4win/loss in 2025

Rank
10
High
6
WLLWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 14-4 9-3 0-0 5-1 0-0 0-0
2024 47-21 19-6 10-5 11-9 7-1 0-0
2023 46-26 26-12 4-5 10-6 6-3 0-0
2022 47-25 19-10 9-6 12-5 7-4 0-0
2021 25-25 10-10 4-5 3-7 8-3 0-0
2020 13-10 6-5 0-2 7-3 0-0 0-0
2019 41-20 25-10 1-4 13-3 2-3 0-0
2018 51-30 24-13 9-9 5-4 13-4 0-0

Alex De Minaur has a 14-4 win-loss record in 2025, 9-3 on hard. Regarding the last 11 years, De Minaur has a 180-89 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). De Minaur won 7 of his last 10 matches.

De Minaur’s best achievement of the season was getting to the final Rotterdam.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open the Australian capitulated to Alexander Zverev in the 4th round 5-7 6-2 6-3.

H2H Carlos Alcaraz vs. Alex De Minaur

This would be the 4th time that Carlos Alcaraz and Alex De Minaur clash against each other. The head to head is 3-0 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard in major tournaments.

Nonetheless, Carlos Alcaraz could face Hubert Hurkacz. Their head to head is 4-0 for Carlos Alcaraz.

1/2 – Taylor Fritz’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 2-0 for Carlos Alcaraz

9 - 4win/loss in 2025

Rank
4
High
4
WLWLWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 9-4 8-3 0-0 1-1 0-0 0-0
2024 54-23 23-10 15-7 6-4 10-2 0-0
2023 54-24 35-11 11-6 5-3 3-4 0-0
2022 46-21 24-8 5-3 9-7 8-3 0-0
2021 34-22 20-13 4-5 8-3 2-1 0-0
2020 15-16 11-9 2-3 2-4 0-0 0-0
2019 40-30 17-14 12-8 4-5 7-3 0-0
2018 45-28 29-12 6-5 5-6 5-5 0-0

Taylor Fritz has a 9-4 record in 2025, 8-3 on hard. As for the last 12 years, the American has a 244-124 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The American won 7 of his last 10 matches.

His most significant achievement of this current season was conquering the title in Australia where he beat Hubert Hurkacz in the final 6-4 5-7 7-6(4).

Last year in BNP Paribas Open Fritz lost to Holger Rune in the 4th round 2-6 7-6(2) 6-3.

H2H Carlos Alcaraz vs. Taylor Fritz

This contest would be 3rd time that Carlos Alcaraz and Taylor Fritz square off. The head to head is 2-0 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard in major tournaments.

Notwithstanding, Carlos Alcaraz may square off with Ben Shelton. Their H2H record is 2-0 for Carlos Alcaraz.

Final – Daniil Medvedev’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 6-2 for Carlos Alcaraz

10 - 5win/loss in 2025

Rank
6
High
1
WWLWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 10-5 7-3 0-0 3-2 0-0 0-0
2024 46-21 28-9 11-5 1-5 6-2 0-0
2023 66-18 38-8 10-3 11-4 7-3 0-0
2022 45-19 26-8 3-2 8-6 8-3 0-0
2021 63-13 33-5 5-3 18-3 7-2 0-0
2020 28-10 14-4 0-2 14-4 0-0 0-0
2019 59-21 34-8 8-5 12-5 5-3 0-0
2018 53-25 27-9 1-5 21-7 4-4 0-0

Daniil Medvedev has a 10-5 win-loss record in 2025, 7-3 on hard. Regarding the last 13 years, Medvedev has a 254-82 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Medvedev won 7 of his last 10 matches.

Medvedev’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal Marseille.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open the Russian capitulated to Carlos Alcaraz in the final 7-6(5) 6-1.

H2H Carlos Alcaraz vs. Daniil Medvedev

This would be the 9th time that Carlos Alcaraz and Daniil Medvedev play each other. The head to head is 6-2 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), 3-1 on hard in major tournaments.

Possibly, Carlos Alcaraz may face Stefanos Tsitsipas. Their H2H record is 6-0 for Carlos Alcaraz.