Denis Shapovalov is 5 wins away to conquer the title in Indian Wells. The Canadian has defeated Adam Walton 6-3 6-2 to reach the 3rd round where he will face Carlos Alcaraz.

Draw prediction with head to head records

This is Denis Shapovalov’s projected draw alongsidehisprojected opponents in BNP Paribas Open. Denis has a unfavourable record (11-15) with the projected opponents.

R1 – Bye
R2 – Adam Walton (96) – 6-3 6-2
R3 – Carlos Alcaraz (3) – H2H 0-1
R4 – Grigor Dimitrov (15) – H2H 2-2
or Gael Monfils (42) – H2H 1-2
1/4 – Alex De Minaur (10) – H2H 1-4
or Hubert Hurkacz (22) – H2H 1-5
1/2 – Taylor Fritz (4) – H2H 6-4
or Ben Shelton (12) – H2H 0-3
Fin – Daniil Medvedev (6) – H2H 2-4
or Stefanos Tsitsipas (9) – H2H 4-2
Latest Updated
Draw

R3 – Carlos Alcaraz’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 1-0 for Carlos Alcaraz

12 - 2win/loss in 2025

Rank
3
High
1
WLWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 12-2 7-2 0-0 5-0 0-0 0-0
2024 54-15 22-7 17-4 7-3 8-1 0-0
2023 65-12 26-6 25-3 2-3 12-0 0-0
2022 57-13 21-4 27-4 6-4 3-1 0-0
2021 48-19 15-8 22-7 10-3 1-1 0-0
2020 39-7 10-0 29-7 0-0 0-0 0-0
2019 18-10 3-2 15-8 0-0 0-0 0-0
2018 6-2 0-0 6-2 0-0 0-0 0-0

Carlos Alcaraz has a 12-2 win-loss record in 2025, 7-2 on hard. In the course of the last 8 years, the Spaniard has a 104-29 record on hard (Click here

to see full career record). Carlos won 8 of his last 10 matches.

His most significant achievement of the current season was winning the competition in Rotterdam where he beat Alex De Minaur in the final 6-4 3-6 6-2.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open the Spaniard conquered the event after downing Daniil Medvedev 7-6(5) 6-1.

H2H Denis Shapovalov vs. Carlos Alcaraz

This contest would be 2nd time that Denis Shapovalov and Carlos Alcaraz clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard in major tournaments.

R4 – Grigor Dimitrov’s rankings and performance.

Head to head record 2-2

4 - 4win/loss in 2025

Rank
15
High
3
WLLLLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 4-4 4-4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 46-18 21-7 8-4 13-5 4-2 0-0
2023 43-21 16-10 10-5 10-4 7-2 0-0
2022 26-22 10-11 10-5 5-4 1-2 0-0
2021 24-18 18-10 3-5 2-2 1-1 0-0
2020 18-11 8-5 6-2 4-4 0-0 0-0
2019 24-21 12-10 7-6 5-3 0-2 0-0
2018 25-19 11-9 7-5 6-3 1-2 0-0

Grigor Dimitrov has a 4-4 win-loss record in 2025, he played all matches on hard. Regarding the last 19 years, Dimitrov has a 271-158 record on hard (Click here to see full career record).

Dimitrov’s best achievement of the current season was reaching the semifinal Brisbane.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open the Bulgarian lost to Daniil Medvedev in the 4th round 6-4 6-4.

H2H Denis Shapovalov vs. Grigor Dimitrov

This contest would be 5th time that Denis Shapovalov and Grigor Dimitrov clash against each other. The head to head is 2-2 for Shapovalov and Dimitrov (see full H2H stats), but they are 1-1 on hard in major tournaments.

Possibly, Denis Shapovalov could play Gael Monfils. Their head to head record is 2-1 for Gael Monfils.

1/4 – Alex De Minaur’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 4-1 for Alex De Minaur

14 - 4win/loss in 2025

Rank
10
High
6
WLLWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 14-4 9-3 0-0 5-1 0-0 0-0
2024 47-21 19-6 10-5 11-9 7-1 0-0
2023 46-26 26-12 4-5 10-6 6-3 0-0
2022 47-25 19-10 9-6 12-5 7-4 0-0
2021 25-25 10-10 4-5 3-7 8-3 0-0
2020 13-10 6-5 0-2 7-3 0-0 0-0
2019 41-20 25-10 1-4 13-3 2-3 0-0
2018 51-30 24-13 9-9 5-4 13-4 0-0

Alex De Minaur has a 14-4 record in 2025, 9-3 on hard. As for the last 11 years, Alex has a 180-89 record on hard (Click here

to see full career record). The Australian won 7 of his last 10 matches.

De Minaur’s best result of the current season was reaching the final Rotterdam.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open De Minaur was overcome by Alexander Zverev in the 4th round 5-7 6-2 6-3.

H2H Denis Shapovalov vs. Alex De Minaur

This contest would be 6th time that Denis Shapovalov and Alex De Minaur square off. The head to head is 4-1 for De Minaur (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard in major tournaments.

Possibly, Denis Shapovalov may fight against Hubert Hurkacz. Their head to head record is 5-1 for Hubert Hurkacz.

1/2 – Taylor Fritz’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 6-4 for Denis Shapovalov

9 - 4win/loss in 2025

Rank
4
High
4
WLWLWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 9-4 8-3 0-0 1-1 0-0 0-0
2024 54-23 23-10 15-7 6-4 10-2 0-0
2023 54-24 35-11 11-6 5-3 3-4 0-0
2022 46-21 24-8 5-3 9-7 8-3 0-0
2021 34-22 20-13 4-5 8-3 2-1 0-0
2020 15-16 11-9 2-3 2-4 0-0 0-0
2019 40-30 17-14 12-8 4-5 7-3 0-0
2018 45-28 29-12 6-5 5-6 5-5 0-0

Taylor Fritz has a 9-4 win-loss record in 2025, 8-3 on hard. In connection to the last 12 years, Taylor has a 244-124 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Fritz won 7 of his last 10 matches.

His most significant achievement of the current year was conquering the competition in Australia where he overcame Hubert Hurkacz in the final 6-4 5-7 7-6(4).

Last year in BNP Paribas Open Fritz lost to Holger Rune in the 4th round 2-6 7-6(2) 6-3.

H2H Denis Shapovalov vs. Taylor Fritz

This contest would be 11th time that Denis Shapovalov and Taylor Fritz play each other. The head to head is 6-4 for Shapovalov (see full H2H stats), but Fritz has a winning record of 4-3 on hard in major tournaments.

Yet, Denis Shapovalov could come up against Ben Shelton. Their H2H record is 3-0 for Ben Shelton.

Final – Daniil Medvedev’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 4-2 for Daniil Medvedev

10 - 5win/loss in 2025

Rank
6
High
1
WWLWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 10-5 7-3 0-0 3-2 0-0 0-0
2024 46-21 28-9 11-5 1-5 6-2 0-0
2023 66-18 38-8 10-3 11-4 7-3 0-0
2022 45-19 26-8 3-2 8-6 8-3 0-0
2021 63-13 33-5 5-3 18-3 7-2 0-0
2020 28-10 14-4 0-2 14-4 0-0 0-0
2019 59-21 34-8 8-5 12-5 5-3 0-0
2018 53-25 27-9 1-5 21-7 4-4 0-0

Daniil Medvedev has a 10-5 record in 2025, 7-3 on hard. During the previous 13 years, Daniil has a 254-82 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Medvedev won 7 of his last 10 matches.

The Russian’s most significant result of this year was getting to the semifinal Marseille.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open Medvedev capitulated to Carlos Alcaraz in the final 7-6(5) 6-1.

H2H Denis Shapovalov vs. Daniil Medvedev

This would be the 7th time that Denis Shapovalov and Daniil Medvedev play each other. The head to head is 4-2 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), but Shapovalov has a winning record of 2-1 on hard in major tournaments.

Nonetheless, Denis Shapovalov may come up against Stefanos Tsitsipas. Their H2H record is 4-2 for Denis Shapovalov.