[UPDATED R3]. Prediction, H2H of Brandon Nakashima’s draw vs Arnaldi, Shelton, Fritz, Alcaraz, Medvedev to win the Indian Wells

Indian Wells draw preview with H2H - Brandon Nakashima may need to beat Matteo Arnaldi, Ben Shelton, Taylor Fritz, Carlos Alcaraz, Daniil Medvedev to conquer the competition in the BNP Paribas Open.

Brandon Nakashima Stats info

Brandon Nakashima is 5 wins away to conquer the title in Indian Wells. Nakashima has defeated Rinky Hijikata 7-5 6-1 to reach the 3rd round where he will face Matteo Arnaldi.

Draw prediction with head to head records

This is Brandon Nakashima’s projected draw withhislikely opponents in BNP Paribas Open. The American has a unfavourable record (2-9) with the likely opponents.

R1 – Bye
R2 – Rinky Hijikata (83) – 7-5 6-1
R3 – Matteo Arnaldi (35) – H2H 1-1
R4 – Ben Shelton (12) – H2H 0-3
or Karen Khachanov (23) – H2H 0-1
1/4 – Taylor Fritz (4) – H2H 1-2
or Jack Draper (14) – H2H 1-2
1/2 – Carlos Alcaraz (3) – H2H 0-2
or Alex De Minaur (10) – H2H 1-0
Fin – Daniil Medvedev (6) – H2H 0-1
or Stefanos Tsitsipas (9) – H2H 0-0
Nakashima
Latest Updated
Draw

See Updated Draw

R3 – Matteo Arnaldi’s rankings and performance.

Head to head record 1-1

8 - 7win/loss in 2025

Rank
35
High
30
LWLWWLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 8-7 6-6 0-0 2-1 0-0 0-0
2024 29-26 17-13 10-9 1-2 1-2 0-0
2023 51-26 21-15 23-7 4-3 3-1 0-0
2022 50-35 9-3 37-20 4-11 0-1 0-0
2021 56-24 2-1 51-18 3-5 0-0 0-0
2020 17-9 16-4 0-1 1-3 0-0 0-1
2019 6-12 2-3 4-9 0-0 0-0 0-0
2018 7-2 7-2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0

Matteo Arnaldi has a 7-5 win-loss record in 2025, 5-4 on hard. As for the previous 8 years, the Italian has a 79-45 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The Italian won 6 of his last 10 matches.

Arnaldi’s most significant achievement of this season was getting to the semifinal Delray Beach.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open the Italian was overcome by Carlos Alcaraz in the 2nd round 6-7(5) 6-0 6-1.

H2H Brandon Nakashima vs. Matteo Arnaldi

This would be the 3rd time that Brandon Nakashima and Matteo Arnaldi square off. The head to head is 1-1 (see full H2H stats), 1-0 for Arnaldi on hard in major tournaments.

R4 – Ben Shelton’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 3-0 for Ben Shelton

10 - 6win/loss in 2025

Rank
14
High
12
LLWWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 10-6 9-5 0-0 1-1 0-0 0-0
2024 42-26 22-13 8-4 8-5 4-4 0-0
2023 28-26 21-13 4-8 1-2 2-3 0-0
2022 40-11 16-9 0-0 24-2 0-0 0-0
2021 18-7 7-3 5-2 6-2 0-0 0-0

Ben Shelton has a 8-4 record in 2025, 7-3 on hard. In connection to the previous 5 years, Shelton has a 73-41 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The American won 7 of his last 10 matches.

Shelton’s best achievement of the current season was getting to the semifinal at the Australian Open .

Last year in BNP Paribas Open the American was defeated by Jannik Sinner in the 4th round 7-6(4) 6-1.

H2H Brandon Nakashima vs. Ben Shelton

This match would represent the 4th time that Brandon Nakashima and Ben Shelton fight against each other. The head to head is 3-0 for Shelton (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard in major tournaments.

However, Brandon Nakashima could fight against Karen Khachanov. Their head to head is 1-0 for Karen Khachanov.

1/4 – Taylor Fritz’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 2-1 for Taylor Fritz

11 - 5win/loss in 2025

Rank
4
High
4
WLWWLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 11-5 10-4 0-0 1-1 0-0 0-0
2024 54-23 23-10 15-7 6-4 10-2 0-0
2023 54-24 35-11 11-6 5-3 3-4 0-0
2022 46-21 24-8 5-3 9-7 8-3 0-0
2021 34-22 20-13 4-5 8-3 2-1 0-0
2020 15-16 11-9 2-3 2-4 0-0 0-0
2019 40-30 17-14 12-8 4-5 7-3 0-0
2018 45-28 29-12 6-5 5-6 5-5 0-0

Taylor Fritz has a 9-4 win-loss record in 2025, 8-3 on hard. Talking about the previous 12 years, Taylor has a 244-124 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Fritz won 7 of his last 10 matches.

His best result of the season was conquering the title in Australia where he overcame Hubert Hurkacz in the final 6-4 5-7 7-6(4).

Last year in BNP Paribas Open Fritz lost to Holger Rune in the 4th round 2-6 7-6(2) 6-3.

H2H Brandon Nakashima vs. Taylor Fritz

This would be the 4th time that Brandon Nakashima and Taylor Fritz fight against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Fritz (see full H2H stats), but they are 1-1 on hard in major tournaments.

Yet, Brandon Nakashima may play Jack Draper. Their H2H is 2-1 for Jack Draper.

1/2 – Carlos Alcaraz’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 2-0 for Carlos Alcaraz

15 - 4win/loss in 2025

Rank
3
High
1
LLWWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 15-4 10-4 0-0 5-0 0-0 0-0
2024 54-13 22-5 17-4 7-3 8-1 0-0
2023 65-12 26-6 25-3 2-3 12-0 0-0
2022 57-13 21-4 27-4 6-4 3-1 0-0
2021 48-19 15-8 22-7 10-3 1-1 0-0
2020 39-7 10-0 29-7 0-0 0-0 0-0
2019 18-10 3-2 15-8 0-0 0-0 0-0
2018 6-2 0-0 6-2 0-0 0-0 0-0

Carlos Alcaraz has a 12-2 win-loss record in 2025, 7-2 on hard. In connection to the previous 8 years, Alcaraz has a 104-29 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Alcaraz won 8 of his last 10 matches.

His best result of the current season was conquering the title in Rotterdam where he overcame Alex De Minaur in the final 6-4 3-6 6-2.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open Carlos conquered the tournament after ousting Daniil Medvedev 7-6(5) 6-1.

H2H Brandon Nakashima vs. Carlos Alcaraz

This match would represent the 3rd time that Brandon Nakashima and Carlos Alcaraz face off. The head to head is 2-0 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard in major tournaments.

Possibly, Brandon Nakashima may play Alex De Minaur. Their H2H record is 1-0 for Brandon Nakashima.

Final – Daniil Medvedev’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 1-0 for Daniil Medvedev

12 - 7win/loss in 2025

Rank
8
High
1
LLWWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 12-7 9-5 0-0 3-2 0-0 0-0
2024 46-21 28-9 11-5 1-5 6-2 0-0
2023 66-18 38-8 10-3 11-4 7-3 0-0
2022 45-19 26-8 3-2 8-6 8-3 0-0
2021 63-13 33-5 5-3 18-3 7-2 0-0
2020 28-10 14-4 0-2 14-4 0-0 0-0
2019 59-21 34-8 8-5 12-5 5-3 0-0
2018 53-25 27-9 1-5 21-7 4-4 0-0

Daniil Medvedev has a 10-5 record in 2025, 7-3 on hard. As for the previous 13 years, Medvedev has a 254-82 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The Russian won 7 of his last 10 matches.

Daniil’s most significant result of this season was getting to the semifinal Marseille.

Last year in BNP Paribas Open Medvedev was defeated by Carlos Alcaraz in the final 7-6(5) 6-1.

H2H Brandon Nakashima vs. Daniil Medvedev

This match would represent the 2nd time that Brandon Nakashima and Daniil Medvedev clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard in major tournaments.

Anyhow, Brandon Nakashima may fight against Stefanos Tsitsipas. Their H2H is 0-0.