Cori Gauff and Maria Sakkari will square off in the 3rd round of the BNP Paribas Open for the 9th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 1:00 pm on STADIUM 1. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Cori Gauff who should win in 2 sets.
Cori Gauff -> 1.37
Maria Sakkari -> 3.1
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Prediction and head to head Cori Gauff vs. Maria Sakkari
This will be the 9th time that Cori Gauff and Maria Sakkari square off. The head to head is 5-3 for Sakkari (see full H2H stats), 4-2 on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Sakkari won 6-4 6-7(5) 6-2 in the semifinal in Indian Wells back in 2024.
Highlights Maria Sakkari vs Cori Gauff – Indian Wells 15-March-2024
Cori Gauff
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 48-16 | 29-9 | 18-3 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 54-18 | 31-10 | 14-5 | 4-1 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-16 | 40-9 | 7-4 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 38-23 | 23-16 | 10-4 | 0-1 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-16 | 16-10 | 16-4 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 3, Gauff reached the 3rd round after defeating Unknown Player bye and Moyuka Uchijima 6-4 3-6 7-6(4).
In the 2nd round, Cori defeated Uchijima (6-4 3-6 7-64). During the match, Gauff scored 120 points vs Uchijima’s 116. Gauff was pretty aggressive to blast 54 winners.
Talking about the service games, Gauff struck 4 aces and she was not very consistent on her 2nd serve to score 21 double faults. Cori Gauff lost the serve 8 times and she saved 11 break points. Furthermore, Gauff put 65% of her first serves in, winning 67% (54/81) of the points behind her 1st serve and 25% (11/44) on the 2nd serve. Cori broke Uchijima 7 times after converting 64% of her break points (7/11).
Gauff has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 70% of her matches (239-103). 10-3 on hard in 2025. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this competition, Gauff has an aggregate140-61 win-loss record in the last 9 years on hard.
Her best result of the season was winning the title in Australia where she beat Iga Swiatek in the final 6-4 6-4.
Cori has a composed 10-3 win-loss record in 2025, 10-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Maria Sakkari
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 25-29 | 14-19 | 7-5 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 25-17 | 12-8 | 11-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 38-25 | 26-17 | 5-4 | 3-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-23 | 21-12 | 8-5 | 4-2 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-20 | 23-13 | 9-4 | 5-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 29, Maria got to the 3rd
round after beating Unknown Player bye and Viktoriya Tomova 6-0 6-3.In the 2nd round, Sakkari had a good straight sets win against Tomova (6-0 6-3). During the match Sakkari scored 58 points vs Tomova’s 37. Sakkari was exceptionally aggressive to blast 22 winners.
Talking about serving, Sakkari fired 3 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Maria Sakkari lost the serve 3 times and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Sakkari put 63% of her first serves in, winning 69% (22/32) of the points behind her 1st serve and 26% (5/19) on the 2nd serve. Maria broke Tomova 7 times after converting 54% of her break points (7/13).
The Greek has an aggregate 5-9 win-loss record in 2025, 4-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Previously, her best result was reaching the final in 2022 and 2024. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Gauff | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 32 | 15 |
| Pts | 120-116 | 58-37 |
| Total Points | 236 | 95 |
| Winners | 54 | 22 |
| %Winners | 45% | 38% |
Both Gauff and Sakkari played 1 match. At the moment, Cori Gauff dropped 1 set while Maria Sakkari hasn’t lost a set so far. Gauff has played 1 set more than Sakkari (3 vs 2). Therefore, Gauff played 17 games more than Sakkari. The American scored 54 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Maria scored 22 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Gauff | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 3 |
| 1st in | 81/125 | 32/51 |
| %1st in | 65% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 54/81 | 22/32 |
| %1st pts | 67% | 69% |
| 2nd pts | 11/44 | 5/19 |
| %2nd pts | 25% | 26% |
Gauff made 4 aces . Sakkari scored 3 aces . Gauff won 67% points behind her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 25% of the points. On the other side, Sakkari won 69% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 26% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Gauff | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 7 |
| Converted | 7/11 | 7/13 |
| % Converted | 64% | 54% |
| Conceded | 19 | 7 |
| Saved | 11 | 4 |
| % Saved | 58% | 57% |
| Times Broken | 8 | 3 |
Cori broke her opponent 7 times with a 64% conversion rate. Gauff dropped her serve 8 times and she saved 58% of the break points that she conceded. Maria broke her opponent 7 times with a 54% conversion rate. Sakkari conceded her serve 3 times and she saved 57% of the break points that she conceded.
| Gauff | |||
| R2 Uchijima | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 3-6 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 32 | |
| pts | 120-116 | 120-116 | |
| Total points | 236 | 236 | |
| Winners | 54 | 54 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 21 | 21 | |
| 1st in | 81/125 | 81/125 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 54/81 | 54/81 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/44 | 11/44 | |
| % 2nd pts | 25% | 25% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 7 | 7 | |
| Converted | 7/11 | 7/11 | |
| Converted % | 64% | 64% | |
| Conceded | 19 | 19 | |
| Saved | 11/19 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 58% | 58% | |
| Times Broken | 8 | 8 | |
| Sakkari | |||
| R2 Tomova | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 15 | |
| pts | 58-37 | 58-37 | |
| Total points | 95 | 95 | |
| Winners | 22 | 22 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 32/51 | 32/51 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 22/32 | 22/32 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 5/19 | 5/19 | |
| % 2nd pts | 26% | 26% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 7 | 7 | |
| Converted | 7/13 | 7/13 | |
| Converted % | 54% | 54% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 | |
| Saved | 4/7 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 57% | 57% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
Tennis Scores in Indian Wells
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Katie BoulterBoulter (6-0 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins (6-2 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Katerina SiniakovaSiniakova (7-5 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Marta KostyukKostyuk – Caroline DolehideDolehide (6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Dayana YastremskaYastremska (6-0 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Xinyu WangWang (6-2 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Lucia BronzettiBronzetti (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Darya KasatkinaKasatkina – Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jaqueline CristianCristian – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Cori GauffGauff – Maria SakkariSakkari (3-5) – H2H and prediction
- Belinda BencicBencic – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Emma NavarroNavarro – Donna VekicVekic (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Elise MertensMertens – Madison KeysKeys (2-3) – H2H and prediction
- Clara TausonTauson – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – Lulu SunSun (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Jessica PegulaPegula (2-5) – H2H and prediction
- Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (1-3) – H2H and prediction